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This paper introduces a new fixed effects estimator for linear panel data models with clustered time patterns of unobserved heterogeneity. The method avoids non-convex and combinatorial optimization by combining a preliminary consistent…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-21 Martin Mugnier

Maximum pseudolikelihood (MPL) estimators are useful alternatives to maximum likelihood (ML) estimators when likelihood functions are more difficult to manipulate than their marginal and conditional components. Furthermore, MPL estimators…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-30 Hien D. Nguyen

It is well-known that the approximate factor models have the rotation indeterminacy. It has been considered that the principal component (PC) estimators estimate some rotations of the true factors and factor loadings, but the rotation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-02 Peiyun Jiang , Yoshimasa Uematsu , Takashi Yamagata

Estimating network formation models with degree heterogeneity raises two problems in empirical networks. First, agents that send no links, receive no links, or link to all remaining agents can make the fixed-effects MLE fail to exist.…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-04 Zizhong Yan , Jingrong Li , Yi Zhang

In real data, missing values occur frequently, which affects the interpretation with interpretable machine learning (IML) methods. Recent work considers bias and shows that model explanations may differ between imputation methods, while…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-22 Pegah Golchian , Marvin N. Wright

Player-Compatible Equilibrium (PCE) imposes cross-player restrictions on the magnitudes of the players' "trembles" onto different strategies. These restrictions capture the idea that trembles correspond to deliberate experiments by agents…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-04-13 Drew Fudenberg , Kevin He

Linear mixed models (LMMs) are used as an important tool in the data analysis of repeated measures and longitudinal studies. The most common form of LMMs utilize a normal distribution to model the random effects. Such assumptions can often…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-16 Hien D. Nguyen , Geoffrey J. McLachlan

Recently, Cronie et al. (2024) introduced the notion of cross-validation for point processes and a new statistical methodology called Point Process Learning (PPL). In PPL one splits a point process/pattern into a training and a validation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-04 Julia Jansson , Ottmar Cronie

Doubly-stochastic point processes model the occurrence of events over a spatial domain as an inhomogeneous Poisson process conditioned on the realization of a random intensity function. They are flexible tools for capturing spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-28 Si Cheng , Jon Wakefield , Ali Shojaie

Recently, high dimensional vector auto-regressive models (VAR), have attracted a lot of interest, due to novel applications in the health, engineering and social sciences. The presence of temporal dependence poses additional challenges to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Sagnik Halder , George Michailidis

The quantification and inference of predictive importance for exposure covariates have recently gained significant attention in the context of interpretable machine learning. Contemporary scientific investigations often involve data…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-31 Zitao Wang , Nian Si , Zijian Guo , Molei Liu

We consider ordered logit models for directed network data that allow for flexible sender and receiver fixed effects that can vary arbitrarily across outcome categories. This structure poses a significant incidental parameter problem,…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-23 Chris Muris , Cavit Pakel , Qichen Zhang

Recent deep trajectory predictors (e.g., Jiang et al., 2023; Zhou et al., 2022) have achieved strong average accuracy but remain unreliable in complex long-tail driving scenarios. These limitations reveal the weakness of the prevailing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Lu Bowen

Marginal structural models are a popular tool for investigating the effects of time-varying treatments, but they require an assumption of no unobserved confounders between the treatment and outcome. With observational data, this assumption…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-10 Matthew Blackwell , Soichiro Yamauchi

The Latent Block Model (LBM) is a model-based method to cluster simultaneously the $d$ columns and $n$ rows of a data matrix. Parameter estimation in LBM is a difficult and multifaceted problem. Although various estimation strategies have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-26 Vincent Brault , Christine Keribin , Mahendra Mariadassou

Tsetlin Machines (TMs) have emerged as a compelling alternative to conventional deep learning methods, offering notable advantages such as smaller memory footprint, faster inference, fault-tolerant properties, and interpretability. Although…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-14 K. Darshana Abeyrathna , Sara El Mekkaoui , Andreas Hafver , Christian Agrell

We investigate a robust penalized logistic regression algorithm based on a minimum distance criterion. Influential outliers are often associated with the explosion of parameter vector estimates, but in the context of standard logistic…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-21 Eric C. Chi , David W. Scott

Feature selection procedures for spatial point processes parametric intensity estimation have been recently developed since more and more applications involve a large number of covariates. In this paper, we investigate the setting where the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-29 Achmad Choiruddin , Jean-François Coeurjolly , Frédérique Letué

We present a chance-constrained model predictive control (MPC) framework under Gaussian mixture model (GMM) uncertainty. Specifically, we consider the uncertainty that arises from predicting future behaviors of moving obstacles, which may…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-21 Kai Ren , Colin Chen , Hyeontae Sung , Heejin Ahn , Ian Mitchell , Maryam Kamgarpour

Robust decision making involves making decisions in the presence of uncertainty and is often used in critical domains such as healthcare, supply chains, and finance. Causality plays a crucial role in decision-making as it predicts the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Saideep Nannapaneni , Joseph Sakaya , Kyle Caron , Pedro HM Albuquerque , Zaid Tashman