Related papers: Vector Autoregressive Moving Average Model with Sc…

We study an $\ell_{1}$-regularized generalized least-squares (GLS) estimator for high-dimensional regressions with autocorrelated errors. Specifically, we consider the case where errors are assumed to follow an autoregressive process,…

Generalized autoregressive score (GAS) models are a class of observation-driven time series models that employ the score to dynamically update time-varying parameters of the underlying probability distribution. GAS models have been…

A class of monotone operator equations, which can be decomposed into sum of the gradient of a strongly convex function and a linear and skew-symmetric operator, is considered in this work. Based on discretization of the generalized gradient…

We introduce a recursive algorithm of conveniently general form for estimating the coefficient of a moving average model of order one and obtain convergence results for both correct and misspecified MA(1) models. The algorithm encompasses…

We address the component-based regularisation of a multivariate Generalized Linear Mixed Model (GLMM). A set of random responses Y is modelled by a GLMM, using a set X of explanatory variables, a set T of additional covariates, and random…

We propose a shrinkage procedure for simultaneous variable selection and estimation in generalized linear models (GLMs) with an explicit predictive motivation. The procedure estimates the coefficients by minimizing the Kullback-Leibler…

We propose methods to improve the forecasts from generalized autoregressive score (GAS) models (Creal et. al, 2013; Harvey, 2013) by localizing their parameters using decision trees and random forests. These methods avoid the curse of…

The problem of test of fit for Vector AutoRegressive (VAR) processes with unconditionally heteroscedastic errors is studied. The volatility structure is deterministic but time-varying and allows for changes that are commonly observed in…

Generalized linear models (GLMs) are fundamental tools for statistical modeling, with maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) serving as the classical approach for parameter inference. While MLE performs well for canonical GLMs, it can become…

This article introduces a nonlinear generalized matrix factor model (GMFM) that allows for mixed-type variables, extending the scope of linear matrix factor models (LMFM) that are so far limited to handling continuous variables. We…

Gaussian Process (GP) regression models typically assume that residuals are Gaussian and have the same variance for all observations. However, applications with input-dependent noise (heteroscedastic residuals) frequently arise in practice,…

A moderate deviation principle for functionals, with at most quadratic growth, of moving average processes is established. The main assumptions on the moving average process are a Logarithmic Sobolev inequality for the driving random…

Variational inference has had great success in scaling approximate Bayesian inference to big data by exploiting mini-batch training. To date, however, this strategy has been most applicable to models of independent data. We propose an…

The use of the Preconditioned Conjugate Gradient (PCG) method for computing the Generalized Least Squares (GLS) estimator of the General Linear Model (GLM) is considered. The GLS estimator is expressed in terms of the solution of an…

We propose a general framework for non-normal multivariate data analysis called multivariate covariance generalized linear models (McGLMs), designed to handle multivariate response variables, along with a wide range of temporal and spatial…

Hyper-parameter optimization remains as the core issue of Gaussian process (GP) for machine learning nowadays. The benchmark method using maximum likelihood (ML) estimation and gradient descent (GD) is impractical for processing big data…

This paper introduces a unified framework for accelerated gradient methods through the variable and operator splitting (VOS). The operator splitting decouples the optimization process into simpler subproblems, and more importantly, the…

We clarify relationships between conditional (CAR) and simultaneous (SAR) autoregressive models. We review the literature on this topic and find that it is mostly incomplete. Our main result is that a SAR model can be written as a unique…

In this paper, we investigate seemingly unrelated regression (SUR) models that allow the number of equations (N) to be large, and to be comparable to the number of the observations in each equation (T). It is well known in the literature…

We consider the convergence of moving averages in the general setting of ergodic theory or stationary ergodic processes. We characterize when there is universal convergence of moving averages based on complete convergence to zero of the…