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Population dynamics in random ecological networks are investigated by analyzing a simple deterministic equation. It is found that a sequence of abrupt changes of populations punctuating quiescent states characterize the long time behavior.…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Shin-ichi Sasa , Tsuyoshi Chawanya

We present an analysis of six deterministic models for epidemic spreading. The evolution of the number of individuals of each class is given by ordinary differential equations of the first order in time, which are set up by using the laws…

Biological Physics · Physics 2020-12-25 Tânia Tomé , Mário J. de Oliveira

We study a class of branching processes in which the offspring distribution is not specified directly but is induced by a cycle of internal colony growth, catastrophic reduction and structured dispersal. The parameters governing growth,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-07 Lucas R. de Lima , Fábio P. Machado

This article examines how diseases on random networks spread in time. The disease is described by a probability distribution function for the number of infected and recovered individuals, and the probability distribution is described by a…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2013-05-29 M. Marder

We introduce and study the dynamics of an \emph{immortal} critical branching process. In the classic, critical branching process, particles give birth to a single offspring or die at the same rates. Even though the average population is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-22 P. L. Krapivsky , S. Redner

In this article, a stochastic individual-based model describing Darwinian evolution of asexual, phenotypic trait-structured population, is studied. We consider a large population with constant population size characterised by a resampling…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Nicolas Champagnat , Vincent Hass

We study a model for the spread of an infectious disease which incorporates spatial and temporal effects. The model is a delayed multi-type branching process in which types represent geographic regions while infected individuals reproduce…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-27 Andrew Hart , Servet Martínez

Multiple-type branching processes that model the spread of infectious diseases are investigated. In these stochastic processes, the disease goes through multiple stages before it eventually disappears. We mostly focus on the critical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-04 Tibor Antal , P. L. Krapivsky

The diffusive epidemic process is a paradigmatic example of an absorbing state phase transition in which healthy and infected individuals spread with different diffusion constants. Using stochastic activity spreading simulations in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-02 Borislav Polovnikov , Patrick Wilke , Erwin Frey

Consider the continuous-time Markov Branching Process. In critical case we consider a situation when the generating function of intensity of transformation of particles has the infinite second moment, but its tail regularly varies in sense…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-07 Azam Imomov

In this article, we consider time-changed models of population evolution $\mathcal{X}^f(t)=\mathcal{X}(H^f(t))$, where $\mathcal{X}$ is a counting process and $H^f$ is a subordinator with Laplace exponent $f$. In the case $\mathcal{X}$ is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-02 Enzo Orsingher , Costantino Ricciuti , Bruno Toaldo

In this paper, we consider a class of generalized continuous-state branching processes obtained by Lamperti type time changes of spectrally positive L\'evy processes using different rate functions. When explosion occurs to such a process,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Bo Li , Xiaowen Zhou

A birth-death-move process with mutations is a Markov model for a system of marked particles in interaction, that move over time, with births and deaths. In addition the mark of each particle may also change, which constitutes a mutation.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Lisa Balsollier , Frédéric Lavancier

In proliferating cell populations, adaptive changes to biochemical reactions can change a cell's division time, which in turn can change the population size. However, biochemical reactions are subject to noise, and therefore the conditions…

Biological Physics · Physics 2026-05-06 Krishna P. Ramachandran , Motasem ElGamel , Farshid Jafarpour , Andrew Mugler

We study here the dynamics (and stability) of Probabilistic Population Protocols, via the differential equations approach. We provide a quite general model and we show that it includes the model of Angluin et. al. in the case of very large…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2008-07-02 Ioannis Chatzigiannakis , Paul G. Spirakis

We propose a compartmental model for epidemiology wherein the population is split into groups with either comply or refuse to comply with protocols designed to slow the spread of a disease. Parallel to the disease spread, we assume that…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Christian Parkinson , Weinan Wang

In this paper, we study a class of self-exciting point processes. The intensity of the point process has a nonlinear dependence on the past history and time. When a new jump occurs, the intensity increases and we expect more jumps to come.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-12 Tzu-Wei Yang , Lingjiong Zhu

Compartmentalization of biochemical processes underlies all biological systems, from the organelle to the tissue scale. Theoretical models to study the interplay between noisy reaction dynamics and compartmentalization are sparse, and…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-08 Lorenzo Duso , Christoph Zechner

Stochastic models of sequential mutation acquisition are widely used to quantify cancer and bacterial evolution. Across manifold scenarios, recurrent research questions are: how many cells are there with $n$ alterations, and how long will…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-07-07 Michael D. Nicholson , David Cheek , Tibor Antal

We consider an exactly solvable model of branching random walk with random selection, which describes the evolution of a population with $N$ individuals on the real line. At each time step, every individual reproduces independently, and its…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-09 Aser Cortines , Bastien Mallein