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Related papers: Introduction to Geodetic Time Series Analysis

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This paper explores the versatility and depth of Bayesian modeling by presenting a comprehensive range of applications and methods, combining Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques and variational approximations. Covering topics such as…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-18 Yifei Yan , Juan Sosa , Carlos A. Martínez

A new algorithm is presented for reconstructing stochastic nonlinear dynamical models from noisy time-series data. The approach is analytical; consequently, the resulting algorithm does not require an extensive global search for the model…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-10 V. N. Smelyanskiy , D. G. Luchinsky , D. A. Timucin , A. Bandrivskyy

In this paper we consider the problem of the limits concerning the physical information that can be extracted from the analysis of one or more time series (light curves) typical of astrophysical objects. On the basis of theoretical…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 R. Vio , N. R. Kristensen , H. Madsen , W. Wamsteker

A methodology is developed for data analysis based on empirically constructed geodesic metric spaces. For a probability distribution, the length along a path between two points can be defined as the amount of probability mass accumulated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-18 Kei Kobayashi , Henry P. Wynn

In this paper it is reconsidered the prediction problem in time series framework by using a new non-parametric approach. Through this reconsideration, the prediction is obtained by a weighted sum of past observed data. These weights are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-27 Pedro Cadahía , Jose Manuel Bravo Caro

Semiparametric forecasting and filtering are introduced as a method of addressing model errors arising from unresolved physical phenomena. While traditional parametric models are able to learn high-dimensional systems from small data sets,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-17 Tyrus Berry , John Harlim

This paper offers a new method for estimation and forecasting of the volatility of financial time series when the stationarity assumption is violated. Our general local parametric approach particularly applies to general varying-coefficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-03-27 P. Čížek , W. Härdle , V. Spokoiny

We propose a new method for determining the stochastic or ordered nature of trajectories in non-integrable Hamiltonian dynamical systems. The method consists of constructing a time-series from the divergence of nearby trajectories and then…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Ch. L. Vozikis , H. Varvoglis , K. Tsiganis

This chapter covers methodological issues related to estimation, testing and computation for models involving structural changes. Our aim is to review developments as they relate to econometric applications based on linear models.…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-05-11 Alessandro Casini , Pierre Perron

This paper is aimed at the problem of predicting the land subsidence or upheave in an area, using GNSS position time series. Since machine learning algorithms have presented themselves as strong prediction tools in different fields of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-09 M. Kiani

Transport-based metrics and related embeddings (transforms) have recently been used to model signal classes where nonlinear structures or variations are present. In this paper, we study the geodesic properties of time series data with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Shiying Li , Abu Hasnat Mohammad Rubaiyat , Gustavo K. Rohde

Most decision and optimization problems encountered in practice fall into one of two categories with respect to any particular solving method or algorithm: either the problem is solved quickly (easy) or else demands an impractically long…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-31 Simona Cocco , Remi Monasson

In this paper, we are concerned with improving the forecast capabilities of the Global approach to Time Series. We assume that the normal techniques of Global mapping are applied, the noise reduction is performed, etc. Then, using the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-11 L. M. C. R. Barbosa , L. G. S. Duarte , C. A. Linhares , L. A. C. P. da Mota

We develop algorithms for performing semiparametric regression analysis in real time, with data processed as it is collected and made immediately available via modern telecommunications technologies. Our definition of semiparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-07 Jan Luts , Tamara Broderick , Matt P. Wand

This paper presents a performance comparison of different estimation and prediction techniques applied to the problem of tracking multiple robots. The main performance criteria are the magnitude of the estimation or prediction error, the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Jose Luis Peralta-Cabezas , Miguel Torres-Torriti , Marcelo Guarini-Hermann

With the rise of the Internet of Things, strategies for effectively processing big data are essential for discovering meaningul insights. The time series datasets produced by groups of interconnected devices contain valuable underlying…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-04 Turner Richmond , Namita Lokare , Qian Ge , Edgar Lobaton

The availability of temporal geospatial data in multiple modalities has been extensively leveraged to enhance the performance of machine learning models. While efforts on the design of adequate model architectures are approaching a level of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-22 Hiba Najjar , Marlon Nuske , Andreas Dengel

We analyze the equilibrium space of an ideal gas using the formalism of geometrothermodynamics. We introduce the concept of thermodynamic geodesics to show that the equilibrium space around a particular initial state can be divided into two…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-10-11 Hernando Quevedo

We propose an algorithm to impute and forecast a time series by transforming the observed time series into a matrix, utilizing matrix estimation to recover missing values and de-noise observed entries, and performing linear regression to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-29 Anish Agarwal , Muhammad Jehangir Amjad , Devavrat Shah , Dennis Shen

Uncertainty is an inherent characteristic of biological and geospatial data which is almost made by measurement error in the observed values of the quantity of interest. Ignoring measurement error can lead to biased estimates and inflated…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-16 Vahid Tadayon