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The ability to interpret machine learning models has become increasingly important as their usage in data science continues to rise. Most current interpretability methods are optimized to work on either (\textit{i}) a global scale, where…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-11 Emily T. Winn-Nuñez , Maryclare Griffin , Lorin Crawford

The points of a moment variety are the vectors of all moments up to some order of a family of probability distributions. We study this variety for mixtures of Gaussians. Following up on Pearson's classical work from 1894, we apply current…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2017-04-06 Carlos Améndola , Jean-Charles Faugère , Bernd Sturmfels

In many temporally ordered data sets, it is observed that the parameters of the underlying distribution change abruptly at unknown times. The detection of such changepoints is important for many applications. While this problem has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-30 Surojit Biswas , Buddhananda Banerjee , Arnab Kumar Laha

We propose a variational tail bound for norms of random vectors under moment assumptions on their one-dimensional marginals. A simplified version of the bound that parametrizes the ``aggregating distribution'' using a certain pushforward of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Sohail Bahmani

In this paper we introduce a novel statistical framework based on the first two quantile conditional moments that facilitates effective goodness-of-fit testing for one-sided L\'evy distributions. The scale-ratio framework introduced in this…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-28 Kewin Pączek , Damian Jelito , Marcin Pitera , Agnieszka Wyłomańska

We develop a numerical scheme for subdiffusion of variable exponent by combining the $L2-1_\sigma$ temporal discretization with finite element spatial approximation. In existing works, determining the superconvergence points requires…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Hongying Huang , Huili Zhang , Xiangcheng Zheng

We develop efficient algorithms for estimating low-degree moments of unknown distributions in the presence of adversarial outliers. The guarantees of our algorithms improve in many cases significantly over the best previous ones, obtained…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-12-27 Pravesh K. Kothari , David Steurer

We consider the problem of estimating the conditional mean of a real Gaussian variable $\nolinebreak Y=\sum_{i=1}^p\nolinebreak\theta_iX_i+\nolinebreak \epsilon$ where the vector of the covariates $(X_i)_{1\leq i\leq p}$ follows a joint…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-28 Nicolas Verzelen

Existing deterministic variational inference approaches for diffusion processes use simple proposals and target the marginal density of the posterior. We construct the variational process as a controlled version of the prior process and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-02 Christian Wildner , Heinz Koeppl

In this work, an inverse problem in the fractional diffusion equation with random source is considered. The measurements used are the statistical moments of the realizations of single point data $u(x_0,t,\omega).$ We build the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-04-09 Shubin Fu , Zhidong Zhang

Graphical models are commonly used tools for modeling multivariate random variables. While there exist many convenient multivariate distributions such as Gaussian distribution for continuous data, mixed data with the presence of discrete…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-04-30 Jianqing Fan , Han Liu , Yang Ning , Hui Zou

There are several ways to establish the asymptotic normality of $L$-statistics, which depend on the choice of the weights-generating function and the cumulative distribution selection of the underlying model. In this study, we focus on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-23 Chudamani Poudyal

Many statistical methods have been proposed to estimate causal models in classical situations with fewer variables than observations (p<n, p: the number of variables and n: the number of observations). However, modern datasets including…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-04-08 Shohei Shimizu , Takashi Washio , Aapo Hyvarinen , Seiya Imoto

We describe an elementary method to get non-asymptotic estimates for the moments of Hermitian random matrices whose elements are Gaussian independent random variables. As the basic example, we consider the GUE matrices. Immediate…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 O. Khorunzhiy

We consider the Bayesian analysis of models in which the unknown distribution of the outcomes is specified up to a set of conditional moment restrictions. The nonparametric exponentially tilted empirical likelihood function is constructed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-27 Siddhartha Chib , Minchul Shin , Anna Simoni

We describe and use two different statistical approaches to try and detect low-frequency solar oscillations in Sun-as-a-star data: a frequentist approach and a Bayesian approach. We have used frequentist statistics to search contemporaneous…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-18 A. -M. Broomhall , W. J. Chaplin , Y. Elsworth , T. Appourchaux , R. New

In the statistical inference for long range dependent time series the shape of the limit distribution typically depends on unknown parameters. Therefore, we propose to use subsampling. We show the validity of subsampling for general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-20 Annika Betken , Martin Wendler

Many problems arising in applications result in the need to probe a probability distribution for functions. Examples include Bayesian nonparametric statistics and conditioned diffusion processes. Standard MCMC algorithms typically become…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-20 S. L. Cotter , G. O. Roberts , A. M. Stuart , D. White

Precision medicine is a paradigm shift in healthcare relying heavily on genomics data. However, the complexity of biological interactions, the large number of genes as well as the lack of comparisons on the analysis of data, remain a…

We present a new subspace-based method to construct probabilistic models for high-dimensional data and highlight its use in anomaly detection. The approach is based on a statistical estimation of probability density using densities of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-16 Cetin Savkli , Catherine Schwartz