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We propose a novel family of test statistics to detect the presence of changepoints in a sequence of dependent, possibly multivariate, functional-valued observations. Our approach allows to test for a very general class of changepoints,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-10 B. Cooper Boniece , Lajos Horváth , Lorenzo Trapani

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are widely used in multivariate time series analysis for describing the short-time dynamics of the data. The reduced-rank VAR models are of particular interest when dealing with high-dimensional and highly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-02 Farida Enikeeva , Olga Klopp , Mathilde Rousselot

Transfer learning, also referred as knowledge transfer, aims at reusing knowledge from a source dataset to a similar target one. While many empirical studies illustrate the benefits of transfer learning, few theoretical results are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-19 David Obst , Badih Ghattas , Jairo Cugliari , Georges Oppenheim , Sandra Claudel , Yannig Goude

An important assumption in the work on testing for structural breaks in time series consists in the fact that the model is formulated such that the stochastic process under the null hypothesis of "no change-point" is stationary. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-31 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu , Zhou Zhou

Detecting change-points in data is challenging because of the range of possible types of change and types of behaviour of data when there is no change. Statistically efficient methods for detecting a change will depend on both of these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-29 Jie Li , Paul Fearnhead , Piotr Fryzlewicz , Tengyao Wang

From a sequence of similarity networks, with edges representing certain similarity measures between nodes, we are interested in detecting a change-point which changes the statistical property of the networks. After the change, a subset of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-06 Shanshan Cao , Yao Xie

In this paper the problem of retrospective change-point detection and estimation in multivariate linear models is considered. The lower bounds for the error of change-point estimation are proved in different cases (one change-point:…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-10-27 Boris Brodsky , Boris Darkhovsky

We consider the testing and estimation of change-points, locations where the distribution abruptly changes, in a sequence of multivariate or non-Euclidean observations. We study a nonparametric framework that utilizes similarity information…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-23 Lynna Chu , Hao Chen

Changepoints are abrupt variations in the underlying distribution of data. Detecting changes in a data stream is an important problem with many applications. In this paper, we are interested in changepoint detection algorithms which operate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-12 Zhaohui Wang , Xiao Lin , Abhinav Mishra , Ram Sriharsha

A common approach to detect multiple changepoints is to minimise a measure of data fit plus a penalty that is linear in the number of changepoints. This paper shows that the general finite sample behaviour of such a method can be related to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-15 Chao Zheng , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

Change point analysis has become an important research topic in many fields of applications. Several research work has been carried out to detect changes and its locations in time series data. In this paper, a nonparametric method based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-28 Ramadha D. Piyadi Gamage , Wei Ning

Time irreversibility, defined as the lack of invariance of the statistical properties of a system or time series under the operation of time reversal, has received an increasing attention during the last decades, thanks to the information…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-11-03 Massimiliano Zanin

Linear regression on network-linked observations has been an essential tool in modeling the relationship between response and covariates with additional network structures. Previous methods either lack inference tools or rely on restrictive…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-22 Can M. Le , Tianxi Li

When analysing multiple time series that may be subject to changepoints, it is sometimes possible to specify a priori, by means of a graph, which pairs of time series are likely to be impacted by simultaneous changepoints. This article…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-10 Karl L. Hallgren , Nicholas A. Heard , Melissa J. M. Turcotte

Linear time-invariant systems are very popular models in system theory and applications. A fundamental problem in system identification that remains rather unaddressed in extant literature is to leverage commonalities amongst related linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-03 Aditya Modi , Mohamad Kazem Shirani Faradonbeh , Ambuj Tewari , George Michailidis

In this paper, we establish an iterative data-driven approach to derive guaranteed bounds on nonlinearity measures of unknown nonlinear systems. In this context, nonlinearity measures quantify the strength of the nonlinearity of a dynamical…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-13 Tim Martin , Frank Allgöwer

The objective of the change-point detection is to discover the abrupt property changes lying behind the time-series data. In this paper, we firstly summarize the definition and in-depth implication of the changepoint detection. The next…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-21 Yixiao Li , Gloria Lin , Thomas Lau , Ruochen Zeng

Moments when a time series changes its behavior are called change points. Occurrence of change point implies that the state of the system is altered and its timely detection might help to prevent unwanted consequences. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Mikhail Hushchyn , Kenenbek Arzymatov , Denis Derkach

Deep sequence models are receiving significant interest in current machine learning research. By representing probability distributions that are fit to data using maximum likelihood estimation, such models can model data on general…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-09 Kristian Løvland , Bjarne Grimstad , Lars Struen Imsland

This article introduces a novel Bayesian method for asynchronous change-point detection in multivariate time series. This method allows for change-points to occur earlier in some (leading) series followed, after a short delay, by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-28 Carson McKee , Maria Kalli
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