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Large Language Models are increasingly used to simulate human opinion dynamics, yet the effect of genuine interaction is often obscured by systematic biases. We develop a Bayesian framework to disentangle and quantify three such biases: (i)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-25 Vincent C. Brockers , David A. Ehrlich , Viola Priesemann

Opinion dynamics of random-walking agents on finite two-dimensional lattices is studied. In the model, the opinion is continuous, and both the lattice and the opinion can be either periodic or non-periodic. At each time step, all agents…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-04-27 Suhan Ree

A model needs to make verifiable predictions to have any scientific value. In opinion dynamics, the study of how individuals exchange opinions with one another, there are many theoretical models which attempt to model opinion exchange, one…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-01-11 Johnathan A. Adams , Gentry White , Robyn P. Araujo

A new agent-based, bounded-confidence model for discrete one-dimensional opinion dynamics is presented. The agents interact if their opinions do not differ more than a tolerance parameter. In pairwise interactions, one of the pair, randomly…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2013-02-19 M. Kaan Öztürk

Background: Confirmation bias is the tendency to acquire or evaluate new information in a way that is consistent with one's preexisting beliefs. It is omnipresent in psychology, economics, and even scientific practices. Prior theoretical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-11-18 A. E. Allahverdyan , Aram Galstyan

In the bounded confidence model the opinions of a set of agents evolve over discrete time steps. In each round an agent averages the opinion of all agents whose opinions are at most a certain threshold apart. Here we assume that the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-23 Sascha Kurz

We introduce an agent-based model for co-evolving opinion and social dynamics, under the influence of multiplicative noise. In this model, every agent is characterized by a position in a social space and a continuous opinion state variable.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-10-05 Natasa Djurdjevac Conrad , Jonas Köppl , Ana Djurdjevac

In this work an opinion formation model with heterogeneous agents is proposed. Each agent is supposed to have different power of persuasion, and besides its own level of zealotry, that is, an individual willingness to being convinced by…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Mayte Pérez-Llanos , Juan Pablo Pinasco , Nicolas Saintier , Analía Silva

Recent work has considered theoretical models for the behavior of agents with specific behavioral biases: rather than making decisions that optimize a given payoff function, the agent behaves inefficiently because its decisions suffer from…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-06-06 Jon Kleinberg , Sigal Oren , Manish Raghavan

Individuals increasingly rely on social networking platforms to form opinions. However, these platforms typically aim to maximize engagement, which may not align with social good. In this paper, we introduce an opinion dynamics model where…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-06-06 Ozan Candogan , Nicole Immorlica , Bar Light , Jerry Anunrojwong

In recent years, numerous mathematical models of opinion formation have been developed, incorporating diverse interaction mechanisms such as imitation and majority rule. However, limited attention has been given to models grounded in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-12-24 Lucía Pedraza , Nicolas Saintier , Juan Pablo Pinasco , Pablo Balenzuela , Celia Anteneodo

Classical models of opinion dynamics assume human participants with bounded rationality and limited coordination. The rise of LLM-based agents introduces a qualitative shift: agents can now participate in online discussions at scale,…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Xin He , Junxi Shen , Yuchen Mou , David M. Bossens , Caishun Chen , Ivor W. Tsang , Yew Soon Ong

Accurate modeling of opinion dynamics has the potential to help us understand polarization and what makes effective political discourse possible or impossible. Here, we use physics-based methods to model the evolution of political opinions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-07 David Sabin-Miller , Daniel M. Abrams

This work introduces a Bayesian framework that unifies a wide class of opinion dynamics models. In this framework, an individual's opinion on a topic is the expected value of their belief, represented as a random variable with a prior…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-25 Yen-Shao Chen , Tauhid Zaman

Models of opinion dynamics play a major role in various disciplines, including economics, political science, psychology, and social science, as they provide a framework for analysis and intervention. In spite of the numerous mathematical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-17 Armineh Rahmanian , Sadegh Bolouki , S. Rasoul Etesami , Abolfazl Mohebbi

According to mass media theory, the dissemination of messages and the evolution of opinions in social networks follow a two-step process. First, opinion leaders receive the message from the message sources, and then they transmit their…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-09-12 Huisheng Wang , Yuejiang Li , Yiqing Lin , H. Vicky Zhao

This work explores models of opinion dynamics with opinion-dependent connectivity. Our starting point is that individuals have limited capabilities to engage in interactions with their peers. Motivated by this observation, we propose a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-01 Francesca Ceragioli , Paolo Frasca , Wilbert Samuel Rossi

When communicating agents form opinions about a set of possible options, agreement and disagreement are both possible outcomes. Depending on the context, either can be desirable or undesirable. We show that for nonlinear opinion dynamics on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Anastasia Bizyaeva , Ayanna Matthews , Alessio Franci , Naomi Ehrich Leonard

Why do people who disagree about one subject tend to disagree about other subjects as well? In this paper, we introduce a model to explore this phenomenon of "epistemic factionization". Agents attempt to discover the truth about multiple…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-05-04 James Owen Weatherall , Cailin O'Connor

Opinion polarization is a ubiquitous phenomenon in opinion dynamics. In contrast to the traditional consensus oriented group decision making (GDM) framework, this paper proposes a framework with the co-evolution of both opinions and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-05-18 Qingxing Dong , Xin Zhou
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