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In regression problems where there is no known true underlying model, conformal prediction methods enable prediction intervals to be constructed without any assumptions on the distribution of the underlying data, except that the training…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-31 Wenyu Chen , Kelli-Jean Chun , Rina Foygel Barber

There is significant need for principled uncertainty reasoning in machine learning systems as they are increasingly deployed in safety-critical domains. A new approach with uncertainty-aware neural networks (NNs), based on learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-25 Nis Meinert , Alexander Lavin

Deep learning has enjoyed tremendous success in a variety of applications but its application to quantile regressions remains scarce. A major advantage of the deep learning approach is its flexibility to model complex data in a more…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-14 Qixian Zhong , Jane-Ling Wang

Traditional neural network regression models provide only point estimates, failing to capture predictive uncertainty. Probabilistic neural networks (PNNs) address this limitation by producing output distributions, enabling the construction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Farhad Pourkamali-Anaraki

A key challenge in probabilistic regression is ensuring that predictive distributions accurately reflect true empirical uncertainty. Minimizing overall prediction error often encourages models to prioritize informativeness over calibration,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-17 Ádám Jung , Domokos M. Kelen , András A. Benczúr

In this paper, we provide a novel Model-free approach based on Deep Neural Network (DNN) to accomplish point prediction and prediction interval under a general regression setting. Usually, people rely on parametric or non-parametric models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-13 Kejin Wu , Dimitris N. Politis

We propose a deep neural network (DNN) based least distance (LD) estimator (DNN-LD) for a multivariate regression problem, addressing the limitations of the conventional methods. Due to the flexibility of a DNN structure, both linear and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-09 Jungmin Shin , Seung Jun Shin , Sungwan Bang

There are relatively few works dealing with conformal prediction for multi-task learning issues, and this is particularly true for multi-target regression. This paper focuses on the problem of providing valid (i.e., frequency calibrated)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-29 Soundouss Messoudi , Sébastien Destercke , Sylvain Rousseau

Deep Neural Networks (DNN) have shown great promise in many classification applications, yet are widely known to have poorly calibrated predictions when they are over-parametrized. Improving DNN calibration without comprising on model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Mikkel Jordahn , Pablo M. Olmos

Recent research has used margin theory to analyze the generalization performance for deep neural networks (DNNs). The existed results are almost based on the spectrally-normalized minimum margin. However, optimizing the minimum margin…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-10 Shen-Huan Lyu , Lu Wang , Zhi-Hua Zhou

A deep neural network (DNN) has been developed to generate the distributions of nuclear charge density, utilizing the training data from the relativistic density functional theory and incorporating available experimental charge radii of…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2024-07-09 Tian Shuai Shang , Hui Hui Xie , Jian Li , Haozhao Liang

We propose distributed deep neural networks (DDNNs) over distributed computing hierarchies, consisting of the cloud, the edge (fog) and end devices. While being able to accommodate inference of a deep neural network (DNN) in the cloud, a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-09-08 Surat Teerapittayanon , Bradley McDanel , H. T. Kung

Deploying deep models in real-world scenarios entails a number of challenges, including computational efficiency and real-world (e.g., long-tailed) data distributions. We address the combined challenge of learning long-tailed distributions…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-02 Jihun Kim , Dahyun Kim , Hyungrok Jung , Taeil Oh , Jonghyun Choi

Deep neural network (DNN) generally takes thousands of iterations to optimize via gradient descent and thus has a slow convergence. In addition, softmax, as a decision layer, may ignore the distribution information of the data during…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-16 Rui Zhang , Ziheng Jiao , Hongyuan Zhang , Xuelong Li

Although Gaussian processes (GPs) with deep kernels have been successfully used for meta-learning in regression tasks, its uncertainty estimation performance can be poor. We propose a meta-learning method for calibrating deep kernel GPs for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-14 Tomoharu Iwata , Atsutoshi Kumagai

Deep neural networks have been shown to be highly miscalibrated. often they tend to be overconfident in their predictions. It poses a significant challenge for safety-critical systems to utilise deep neural networks (DNNs), reliably. Many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-05 Aditya Singh , Alessandro Bay , Biswa Sengupta , Andrea Mirabile

Deterministic neural networks (NNs) are increasingly being deployed in safety critical domains, where calibrated, robust, and efficient measures of uncertainty are crucial. In this paper, we propose a novel method for training non-Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Alexander Amini , Wilko Schwarting , Ava Soleimany , Daniela Rus

Mobile devices can offload deep neural network (DNN)-based inference to the cloud, overcoming local hardware and energy limitations. However, offloading adds communication delay, thus increasing the overall inference time, and hence it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-29 Roberto G. Pacheco , Rodrigo S. Couto , Osvaldo Simeone

Deep neural network (DNN) models have achieved state-of-the-art predictive accuracy in a wide range of supervised learning applications. However, accurately quantifying the uncertainty in DNN predictions remains a challenging task. For…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-14 Daiwei Zhang , Tianci Liu , Jian Kang

Many applications of classification methods not only require high accuracy but also reliable estimation of predictive uncertainty. However, while many current classification frameworks, in particular deep neural networks, achieve high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-28 Jonathan Wenger , Hedvig Kjellström , Rudolph Triebel