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Infectious disease dynamics operate across multiple biological scales, with within-host viral dynamics being a key driver of between-host transmission. However, while models that explicitly link these scales exist, none have been developed…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-23 Dylan J. Morris , Lauren Kennedy , Andrew J. Black

We consider a human-assisted autonomy sensor fusion for dynamic target localization in a Bayesian framework. Autonomous sensor-based tracking systems can suffer from observability and target detection failure. Humans possess valuable…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Min-Won Seo , Solmaz S. Kia

Deep reinforcement learning is used in various domains, but usually under the assumption that the environment has stationary conditions like transitions and state distributions. When this assumption is not met, performance suffers. For this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Zihe Liu , Jie Lu , Guangquan Zhang , Junyu Xuan

Offline Reinforcement learning is commonly used for sequential decision-making in domains such as healthcare and education, where the rewards are known and the transition dynamics $T$ must be estimated on the basis of batch data. A key…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-10 Leo Benac , Sonali Parbhoo , Finale Doshi-Velez

We introduce a new predictive mechanism that operates in the presence of hidden confounding across distributionally diverse data sources while ensuring consistent estimation of causal parameters-despite their recognized suboptimality for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-01 Carlos García Meixide , David Ríos Insua

Clinical machine learning models are increasingly trained using large scale, multimodal foundation paradigms, yet deployment environments often differ systematically from the data generating settings used during training. Such shifts arise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Yuanyun Zhang , Shi Li

Accurate and reliable predictions of infectious disease dynamics can be valuable to public health organizations that plan interventions to decrease or prevent disease transmission. A great variety of models have been developed for this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-04 Evan L. Ray , Nicholas G. Reich

Making predictions in an unseen environment given data from multiple training environments is a challenging task. We approach this problem from an invariance perspective, focusing on binary classification to shed light on general nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-08 Austin Goddard , Kang Du , Yu Xiang

Modern epidemiological analytics increasingly use machine learning models that offer strong prediction but often lack calibrated uncertainty. Bayesian methods provide principled uncertainty quantification, yet are viewed as difficult to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-18 Debashis Chatterjee

An important goal common to domain adaptation and causal inference is to make accurate predictions when the distributions for the source (or training) domain(s) and target (or test) domain(s) differ. In many cases, these different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-31 Sara Magliacane , Thijs van Ommen , Tom Claassen , Stephan Bongers , Philip Versteeg , Joris M. Mooij

The analysis of population-wide datasets can provide insight on the health status of large populations so that public health officials can make data-driven decisions. The analysis of such datasets often requires highly parameterized models…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-03 Dorota Młynarczyk , Carmen Armero , Virgilio Gómez-Rubio , Pedro Puig

Effective intervention strategies for epidemics rely on the identification of their origin and on the robustness of the predictions made by network disease models. We introduce a Bayesian uncertainty quantification framework to infer model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-02 Karen Larson , Clark Bowman , Zhizhong Chen , Panagiotis Hadjidoukas , Costas Papadimitriou , Petros Koumoutsakos , Anastasios Matzavinos

Mapping people dynamics is a crucial skill for robots, because it enables them to coexist in human-inhabited environments. However, learning a model of people dynamics is a time consuming process which requires observation of large amount…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-01-09 Francesco Verdoja , Tomasz Piotr Kucner , Ville Kyrki

This paper addresses the problem of matching pedestrians across multiple camera views, known as person re-identification. Variations in lighting conditions, environment and pose changes across camera views make re-identification a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-12-01 Rahul Rama Varior , Gang Wang

Recent years have experienced increasing utilization of complex machine learning models across multiple sources of data to inform more generalizable decision-making. However, distribution shifts across data sources and privacy concerns…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-16 Yi Liu , Alexander W. Levis , Sharon-Lise Normand , Larry Han

It is often of interest to combine available estimates of a similar quantity from multiple data sources. When the corresponding variances of each estimate are also available, a model should take into account the uncertainty of the estimates…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-17 Yujing Yao , R. Todd Ogden , Chubing Zeng , Qixuan Chen

The hypothesis that computational models can be reliable enough to be adopted in prognosis and patient care is revolutionizing healthcare. Deep learning, in particular, has been a game changer in building predictive models, thus leading to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-17 Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Deepta Rajan , Prasanna Sattigeri

Variational inference provides approximations to the computationally intractable posterior distribution in Bayesian networks. A prominent medical application of noisy-or Bayesian network is to infer potential diseases given observed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-23 Yusheng Xie , Nan Du , Wei Fan , Jing Zhai , Weicheng Zhu

Machine learning methods can be unreliable when deployed in domains that differ from the domains on which they were trained. There are a wide range of proposals for mitigating this problem by learning representations that are ``invariant''…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-09 Zihao Wang , Victor Veitch

Domain generalization aims to apply knowledge gained from multiple labeled source domains to unseen target domains. The main difficulty comes from the dataset bias: training data and test data have different distributions, and the training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-24 Ya Li , Mingming Gong , Xinmei Tian , Tongliang Liu , Dacheng Tao