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In this paper we propose a class of structural vector autoregressions (SVARs) characterized by structural breaks (SVAR-WB). Together with standard restrictions on the parameters and on functions of them, we also consider constraints across…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-10 Emanuele Bacchiocchi , Toru Kitagawa

Robust inference for stochastic dynamical systems is often hampered by sparse sampling and the absence of closed-form likelihoods. We introduce a Monte Carlo path-inference framework that leverages full-path statistics and bridge processes…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-10-07 Javier Aguilar , Miguel A. Muñoz , Sandro Azaele

We consider the estimation of approximate factor models for time series data, where strong serial and cross-sectional correlations amongst the idiosyncratic component are present. This setting comes up naturally in many applications, but…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-10 Jiahe Lin , George Michailidis

To facilitate the design and optimization of nanomaterials for a given application it is necessary to understand the relationship between structure and physical properties. For large nanomaterials, there is imprecise structural information…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2015-02-10 Vladan Mlinar

Calibration, the practice of choosing the parameters of a structural model to match certain empirical moments, can be viewed as minimum distance estimation. Existing standard error formulas for such estimators require a consistent estimate…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-19 Matthew D. Cocci , Mikkel Plagborg-Møller

Profile likelihood provides a general framework to infer on a scalar parameter of a statistical model. A confidence interval is obtained by numerically finding the two abscissas where the profile log-likelihood curve intersects an…

Computation · Statistics 2024-04-04 Yves Deville

Optimization with orthogonality constraints frequently arises in various fields such as machine learning. Riemannian optimization offers a powerful framework for solving these problems by equipping the constraint set with a Riemannian…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-20 Andi Han , Pierre-Louis Poirion , Akiko Takeda

Frailty models are often the model of choice for heterogeneous survival data. A frailty model contains both random effects and fixed effects, with the random effects accommodating for the correlation in the data. Different estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-17 Oodally Ajmal , Luc Duchateau , Estelle Kuhn

Gaussian process regression is a popular Bayesian framework for surrogate modeling of expensive data sources. As part of a broader effort in scientific machine learning, many recent works have incorporated physical constraints or other a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-07 Laura Swiler , Mamikon Gulian , Ari Frankel , Cosmin Safta , John Jakeman

This paper considers inference for a function of a parameter vector in a partially identified model with many moment inequalities. This framework allows the number of moment conditions to grow with the sample size, possibly at exponential…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-02 Alexandre Belloni , Federico Bugni , Victor Chernozhukov

Econometricians have usefully separated study of estimation into identification and statistical components. Identification analysis, which assumes knowledge of the probability distribution generating observable data, places an upper bound…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-03 Charles F. Manski

We show that sparsity constrained optimization problems over low dimensional spaces tend to have a small duality gap. We use the Shapley-Folkman theorem to derive both data-driven bounds on the duality gap, and an efficient primalization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-16 Armin Askari , Alexandre d'Aspremont , Laurent El Ghaoui

The generalization error of a learning algorithm refers to the discrepancy between the loss of a learning algorithm on training data and that on unseen testing data. Various information-theoretic bounds on the generalization error have been…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Xuetong Wu , Jonathan H. Manton , Uwe Aickelin , Jingge Zhu

We propose and analyze a constrained level-set method for semi-automatic image segmentation. Our level-set model with constraints on the level-set function enables us to specify which parts of the image lie inside respectively outside the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-12-11 Vladimír Klement , Tomáš Oberhuber , Daniel Ševčovič

We propose and analyze a constrained level-set method for semi-automatic image segmentation. Our level-set model with constraints on the level-set function enables us to specify which parts of the image lie inside respectively outside the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-01-07 Vladimír Klement , Tomáš Oberhuber , Daniel Ševčovič

Maximizing the precision in estimating parameters in a quantum system subject to instrumentation constraints is cast as a convex optimization problem. We account for prior knowledge about the parameter range by developing a worst-case and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2008-04-01 Robert L. Kosut

We extend the constrained maximum likelihood estimation theory for parameters of a completely identified model, proposed by Aitchison and Silvey (1958), to parameters arising from a partially identified model. With a partially identified…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-01 Hao Luo , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , Gabriela Cohen Freue , Paul Gustafson

To model combinatorial decision problems involving uncertainty and probability, we extend the stochastic constraint programming framework proposed in [Walsh, 2002] along a number of important dimensions (e.g. to multiple chance constraints…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-05-26 Suresh Manandhar , Armagan Tarim , Toby Walsh

In this paper, a shape optimization problem constrained by a random elliptic partial differential equation with a pure Neumann boundary is presented. The model is motivated by applications in interface identification, where we assume…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Caroline Geiersbach , Estefania Loayza , Kathrin Welker

Linear optimization problems are investigated whose parameters are uncertain. We apply coherent distortion risk measures to capture the possible violation of a restriction. Each risk constraint induces an uncertainty set of coefficients,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-18 Karl Mosler , Pavel Bazovkin