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Nonlinear stochastic motion presents significant challenges for Bayesian particle tracking. To address this challenge, this paper proposes a framework to construct an invertible transformation that maps the nonlinear state-space model (SSM)…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-13 Yonatan L. Ashenafi

We introduce a methodology for nonlinear inverse problems using a variational Bayesian approach where the unknown quantity is a spatial field. A structured Bayesian Gaussian process latent variable model is used both to construct a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-20 Steven Atkinson , Nicholas Zabaras

Rotating turbulent flows form a challenging test case for large-eddy simulation (LES). We, therefore, propose and validate a new subgrid-scale (SGS) model for such flows. The proposed SGS model consists of a dissipative eddy viscosity term…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-04-30 Maurits H. Silvis , H. Jane Bae , F. Xavier Trias , Mahdi Abkar , Roel Verstappen

We develop a new computational framework to solve the partial differential equations (PDEs) governing the flow of the joint probability density functions (PDFs) in continuous-time stochastic nonlinear systems. The need for computing the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-08-08 Kenneth F. Caluya , Abhishek Halder

We propose a simple stochastic model of cascading transport in wave number space to clarify the origin of intermittent behavior of fully-developed fluid turbulence. In spite of lack of nonlinearity and viscosity the model gives non-Gaussian…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Hideki Takayasu , Y-h. Taguchi , Tomoo Katsuyama

Deterministic flow models, such as rectified flows, offer a general framework for learning a deterministic transport map between two distributions, realized as the vector field for an ordinary differential equation (ODE). However, they are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-04 Saurabh Singh , Ian Fischer

This study proposes a rotationally invariant data-driven subgrid-scale (SGS) model for large-eddy simulation (LES) of wall-bounded turbulent flows. Building upon the multiscale convolutional neural network subgrid-scale model, which outputs…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-02-03 Bahrul Jalaali , Kie Okabayashi

Filtering the passive scalar transport equation in the large-eddy simulation (LES) of turbulent transport gives rise to the closure term corresponding to the unresolved scalar flux. Understanding and respecting the statistical features of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-07-12 Ali Akhavan-Safaei , Mehdi Samiee , Mohsen Zayernouri

This article develops a stochastic differential equation (SDE) for modeling the temporal evolution of queue length dynamics at signalized intersections. Inspired by the observed quasiperiodic and self-similar characteristics of the queue…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-18 Shakib Mustavee , Shaurya Agarwal , Arvind Singh

Multiscale dynamical systems characterized by interacting fast and slow processes are ubiquitous across scientific domains, from climate dynamics to fluid mechanics. Accurate modeling of such systems requires capturing both the long-term…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-11-07 Giulio Del Felice , Ludovico Theo Giorgini

We introduce a novel procedure that, given sparse data generated from a stationary deterministic nonlinear dynamical system, can characterize specific local and/or global dynamic behavior with rigorous probability guarantees. More…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-09-19 Bogdan Batko , Marcio Gameiro , Ying Hung , William Kalies , Konstantin Mischaikow , Ewerton Vieira

Dynamical systems driven by nonlinear delay SDEs with small noise can exhibit important rare events on long timescales. When there is no delay, classical large deviations theory quantifies rare events such as escapes from metastable fixed…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-04 Robert Azencott , Brett Geiger , William Ott

We propose a modeling framework for stochastic systems, termed Gaussian behaviors, that describes finite-length trajectories of a system as a Gaussian process. The proposed model naturally quantifies the uncertainty in the trajectories, yet…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-02 András Sasfi , Ivan Markovsky , Alberto Padoan , Florian Dörfler

Effectively modeling phenomena present in highly nonlinear dynamical systems whilst also accurately quantifying uncertainty is a challenging task, which often requires problem-specific techniques. We present a novel, domain-agnostic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-26 Thomas M. McDonald , Mauricio A. Álvarez

We propose a novel framework for Network Stochastic Differential Equations (N-SDE), where each node in a network is governed by an SDE influenced by interactions with its neighbors. The evolution of each node is driven by the interplay of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Francesco Iafrate , Stefano Iacus

Learning unknown stochastic differential equations (SDEs) from observed data is a significant and challenging task with applications in various fields. Current approaches often use neural networks to represent drift and diffusion functions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Aiqing Zhu , Qianxiao Li

Spatial fields in the Earth and environmental sciences are often available at multiple scales or resolutions. While coarse-scale data (e.g., from global circulation models) are often abundant, they lack the local detail provided by…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-01 Alejandro Calle-Saldarriaga , Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

Generating high-quality time series data has emerged as a critical research topic due to its broad utility in supporting downstream time series mining tasks. A major challenge lies in modeling the intrinsic stochasticity of temporal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-20 He Panjing , Cheng Mingyue , Li Li , Zhang XiaoHan

Sampling conditional distributions is a fundamental task for Bayesian inference and density estimation. Generative models, such as normalizing flows and generative adversarial networks, characterize conditional distributions by learning a…

Learning continuous-time stochastic dynamics is a fundamental and essential problem in modeling sporadic time series, whose observations are irregular and sparse in both time and dimension. For a given system whose latent states and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Yingru Liu , Yucheng Xing , Xuewen Yang , Xin Wang , Jing Shi , Di Jin , Zhaoyue Chen