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We introduce a `double-difference' method for the inversion for seismic wavespeed structure based on adjoint tomography. Differences between seismic observations and model predictions at individual stations may arise from factors other than…

Geophysics · Physics 2016-07-08 Yanhua O. Yuan , Frederik J. Simons , Jeroen Tromp

In recent years, Full-Waveform Inversion (FWI) has been extensively used to derive high-resolution subsurface velocity models from seismic data. However, due to the nonlinearity and ill-posed nature of the problem, FWI requires a good…

Geoscientists use observed data to estimate properties of the Earth's interior. This often requires non-linear inverse problems to be solved and uncertainties to be estimated. Bayesian inference solves inverse problems under a probabilistic…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-01-01 Xuebin Zhao , Andrew Curtis

In this article we consider importance sampling (IS) and sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods in the context of 1-dimensional random walks with absorbing barriers. In particular, we develop a very precise variance analysis for several IS…

Computation · Statistics 2016-11-11 Pierre Del Moral , Ajay Jasra

Estimating a distribution given access to its unnormalized density is pivotal in Bayesian inference, where the posterior is generally known only up to an unknown normalizing constant. Variational inference and Markov chain Monte Carlo…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-06 Daniel Ward , Mark Beaumont , Matteo Fasiolo

To obtain high-resolution images of subsurface structures from seismic data, seismic imaging techniques such as Full Waveform Inversion (FWI) serve as crucial tools. However, FWI involves solving a nonlinear and often non-unique inverse…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-06-10 Yuke Xie , Hervé Chauris , Nicolas Desassis

Recent advances in stochastic gradient variational inference have made it possible to perform variational Bayesian inference with posterior approximations containing auxiliary random variables. This enables us to explore a new synthesis of…

Computation · Statistics 2015-05-20 Tim Salimans , Diederik P. Kingma , Max Welling

Bayesian inference represents a principled way to incorporate Earth structure uncertainty in full-waveform moment tensor inversions, but traditional approaches generally require significant approximations that risk biasing the resulting…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-03-20 A. A. Saoulis , T. -S. Pham , A. M. G. Ferreira

Seismic tomography is a methodology to image subsurface properties of the Earth. In order to better interpret the resulting images, it is important to assess uncertainty in the results. Mixture density networks (MDNs) provide an efficient…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-12-12 Xin Zhang , Yan Wang , Haijiang Zhang

This paper introduces methodology for performing Bayesian inference sequentially on a sequence of posteriors on spaces of different dimensions. We show how this may be achieved through the use of sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) samplers (Del…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-02 Richard G Everitt , Richard Culliford , Felipe Medina-Aguayo , Daniel J Wilson

We present a new, variational, fully nonlinear, probabilistic ambient noise tomography method, which estimates subsurface structure and quantifies the corresponding uncertainties directly in three dimensions (3D) from inter-receiver seismic…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-01-13 Xuebin Zhao , Lily Irvin , Erica Galetti , Andrew Curtis

Bayesian inference allows us to define a posterior distribution over the weights of a generic neural network (NN). Exact posteriors are usually intractable, in which case approximations can be employed. One such approximation - variational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Andrew Millard , Joshua Murphy , Peter Green , Simon Maskell

Ensembles of deep neural networks have achieved great success recently, but they do not offer a proper Bayesian justification. Moreover, while they allow for averaging of predictions over several hypotheses, they do not provide any…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-23 Francesco D'Angelo , Vincent Fortuin , Florian Wenzel

Efficiently accessing the information contained in non-linear and high dimensional probability distributions remains a core challenge in modern statistics. Traditionally, estimators that go beyond point estimates are either categorized as…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-06 Philipp Frank , Reimar Leike , Torsten A. Enßlin

Through the Bayesian lens of data assimilation, uncertainty on model parameters is traditionally quantified through the posterior covariance matrix. However, in modern settings involving high-dimensional and computationally expensive…

Computation · Statistics 2023-11-16 Michael Stanley , Mikael Kuusela , Brendan Byrne , Junjie Liu

Structural equation models are commonly used to capture the relationship between sets of observed and unobservable variables. Traditionally these models are fitted using frequentist approaches but recently researchers and practitioners have…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-22 Khue-Dung Dang , Luca Maestrini

Effective structural assessment of urban infrastructure is essential for sustainable land use and resilience to climate change and natural hazards. Seismic wave methods are widely applied in these areas for subsurface characterization and…

Time-lapse images carry out important information about dynamic changes in Earth's interior which can be inferred using different Full Waveform Inversion (FWI) schemes. The estimation process is performed by manipulating more than one…

Seismic inversion refers to the process of estimating reservoir rock properties from seismic reflection data. Conventional and machine learning-based inversion workflows usually work in a trace-by-trace fashion on seismic data, utilizing…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-30 Ahmad Mustafa , Motaz Alfarraj , Ghassan AlRegib

Scientific machine learning has become an increasingly important tool in materials science and engineering. It is particularly well suited to tackle material problems involving many variables or to allow rapid construction of surrogates of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-05-25 Ting Wang , Jaroslaw Knap