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We develop and analyze a method for stochastic simulation optimization based on Gaussian process models within a trust-region framework. We focus on settings where the variance of the objective function is large, making accurate estimation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Mickael Binois , Jeffrey Larson

Managing a large-scale portfolio with many assets is one of the most challenging tasks in the field of finance. It is partly because estimation of either covariance or precision matrix of asset returns tends to be unstable or even…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-08 Sakae Oya

This paper examines the implementation of a statistical arbitrage trading strategy based on co-integration relationships where we discover candidate portfolios using multiple factors rather than just price data. The portfolio selection…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-13 Wenbin Zhang , Zhen Dai , Bindu Pan , Milan Djabirov

Several classical adaptive optimization algorithms, such as line search and trust region methods, have been recently extended to stochastic settings where function values, gradients, and Hessians in some cases, are estimated via stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-02 Billy Jin , Katya Scheinberg , Miaolan Xie

Feature-based offline algorithm selection has shown its effectiveness in a wide range of optimization problems, including the black-box optimization problem. An algorithm selection system selects the most promising optimizer from an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Takushi Yoshikawa , Ryoji Tanabe

In the research field of big data, one of important issues is how to recover the sequentially changing sets of true features when the data sets arrive sequentially. The paper presents a general framework for online updating variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-22 Xiaoyu Ma , Lu Lin , Yujie Gai

This study examines portfolio selection using predictive models for portfolio returns. Portfolio selection is a fundamental task in finance, and a variety of methods have been developed to achieve this goal. For instance, the mean-variance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-14 Masahiro Kato

This study first reviews fuzzy random Portfolio selection theory and describes the concept of portfolio optimization model as a useful instrument for helping finance practitioners and researchers. Second, this paper specifically aims at…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-02-18 Mir Ehsan Hesam Sadati , Ali Doniavi

Robust optimization is a common framework in optimization under uncertainty when the problem parameters are not known, but it is rather known that the parameters belong to some given uncertainty set. In the robust optimization framework the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-02-27 Aharon Ben-Tal , Elad Hazan , Tomer Koren , Shie Mannor

With the fast development of quantitative portfolio optimization in financial engineering, lots of AI-based algorithmic trading strategies have demonstrated promising results, among which reinforcement learning begins to manifest…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-10 Huifang Huang , Ting Gao , Pengbo Li , Jin Guo , Peng Zhang , Nan Du

With the advent of Web 2.0, various types of data are being produced every day. This has led to the revolution of big data. Huge amount of structured and unstructured data are produced in financial markets. Processing these data could help…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-27 Dhanya Jothimani , Ravi Shankar , Surendra S. Yadav

Stochastic algorithms are among the best for solving computationally hard search and reasoning problems. The runtime of such procedures is characterized by a random variable. Different algorithms give rise to different probability…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Carla P. Gomes , Bart Selman

In this paper we present an evolutionary optimization approach to solve the risk parity portfolio selection problem. While there exist convex optimization approaches to solve this problem when long-only portfolios are considered, the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-14 Ronald Hochreiter

Accurate uncertainty estimates are important in sequential model-based decision-making tasks such as Bayesian optimization. However, these estimates can be imperfect if the data violates assumptions made by the model (e.g., Gaussianity).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-27 Shachi Deshpande , Charles Marx , Volodymyr Kuleshov

This paper presents how the most recent improvements made on covariance matrix estimation and model order selection can be applied to the portfolio optimisation problem. The particular case of the Maximum Variety Portfolio is treated but…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-03 Emmanuelle Jay , Eugénie Terreaux , Jean-Philippe Ovarlez , Frédéric Pascal

In this thesis, we introduce Bayesian filtering as a principled framework for tackling diverse sequential machine learning problems, including online (continual) learning, prequential (one-step-ahead) forecasting, and contextual bandits. To…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-13 Gerardo Duran-Martin

We consider adaptive decision-making problems where an agent optimizes a cumulative performance objective by repeatedly choosing among a finite set of options. Compared to the classical prediction-with-expert-advice set-up, we consider…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-10 Michael Muehlebach

Financial markets are notoriously complex environments, presenting vast amounts of noisy, yet potentially informative data. We consider the problem of forecasting financial time series from a wide range of information sources using online…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-12 Sid Ghoshal , Stephen Roberts

The field of algorithmic optimization has significantly advanced with the development of methods for the automatic configuration of algorithmic parameters. This article delves into the Algorithm Configuration Problem, focused on optimizing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Gabriele Iommazzo , Claudia D'Ambrosio , Antonio Frangioni , Leo Liberti

In order for an e-commerce platform to maximize its revenue, it must recommend customers items they are most likely to purchase. However, the company often has business constraints on these items, such as the number of each item in stock.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Andrea Boskovic , Qinyi Chen , Dominik Kufel , Zijie Zhou