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Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

Questions are posed regarding the influence that the column sums of the transition probabilities of a stochastic matrix (with row sums all one) have on the stationary distribution, the mean first passage times and the Kemeny constant of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-05 Jeffrey J. Hunter

We provide explicit expressions for the constants involved in the characterisation of ergodicity of sub-geometric Markov chains. The constants are determined in terms of those appearing in the assumed drift and one-step minorisation…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-18 Christophe Andrieu , Gersende Fort , Matti Vihola

Efforts to reconstruct phylogenetic trees and understand evolutionary processes depend fundamentally on stochastic models of speciation and mutation. The simplest continuous-time model for speciation in phylogenetic trees is the Yule…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-08-18 Willem H. Mulder , Forrest W. Crawford

This paper considers the speed of convergence (mixing) of a finite Markov kernel $P$ with respect to the Kullback-Leibler divergence (entropy). Given a Markov kernel one defines either a discrete-time Markov chain (with the $n$-step…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-13 Pietro Caputo , Zongchen Chen , Yuzhou Gu , Yury Polyanskiy

For different reversible Markov kernels on finite state spaces, we look for families of probability measures for which the time evolution almost remains in their convex hull. Motivated by signal processing problems and metastability studies…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-21 Luca Avena , Fabienne Castell , Alexandre Gaudillière , Clothilde Melot

We introduce equivariant tree models in algebraic statistics, which unify and generalise existing tree models such as the general Markov model, the strand symmetric model, and group based models. We focus on the ideals of such models. We…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2017-10-10 Jan Draisma , Jochen Kuttler

A new family of tree-structured Markov random fields for a vector of discrete counting random variables is introduced. According to the characteristics of the family, the marginal distributions of the Markov random fields are all Poisson…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-20 Benjamin Côté , Hélène Cossette , Etienne Marceau

Understanding the effects of the choice of the tree on the joint distribution of a tree-structured Markov random field (MRF) is crucial for fully exploiting the intelligibility of such probabilistic graphical models. Tools must be developed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Benjamin Côté , Hélène Cossette , Etienne Marceau

We analyze the eigenvalues of the adjacency matrices of a wide variety of random trees. Using general, broadly applicable arguments based on the interlacing inequalities for the eigenvalues of a principal submatrix of a Hermitian matrix and…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-12 Shankar Bhamidi , Steven N. Evans , Arnab Sen

We study the low-degree hardness of broadcasting on trees. Broadcasting on trees has been extensively studied in statistical physics, in computational biology in relation to phylogenetic reconstruction and in statistics and computer science…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-22 Han Huang , Elchanan Mossel

In this paper, we study uniform rooted plane trees with given degree sequence. We show, under some natural hypotheses on the degree sequence, that these trees converge toward the so-called Inhomogeneous Continuum Random Tree after…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Gabriel Berzunza Ojeda , Cecilia Holmgren , Paul Thévenin

In this work, we characterise the statistics of Markov chains by constructing an associated sequence of periodic differential operators. Studying the density of states of these operators reveals the absolutely continuous invariant measure…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-09-22 Bryn Davies , Angelica Yu Xiao

We investigate the mixed spin-$(s,\tfrac12)$ Ising model on a Cayley tree of order three ($k=3$), extending the approach of \cite{Akin2024}. For the representative case $s=5$, the associated recursion leads to an 11-dimensional dynamical…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2026-02-17 Hasan Akin

Broadcasting on trees is a fundamental model from statistical physics that plays an important role in information theory, noisy computation and phylogenetic reconstruction within computational biology and linguistics. While this model…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Han Huang , Elchanan Mossel

We show, under natural conditions, that uniform rooted trees with fixed degree sequence converge after renormalization toward inhomogeneous continuum random trees (ICRT). We also provide a sharp upper-bound for the tail of their heights. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Arthur Blanc-Renaudie

The martingale method is used to establish concentration inequalities for a class of dependent random sequences on a countable state space, with the constants in the inequalities expressed in terms of certain mixing coefficients. Along the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-01-22 Leonid , Kontorovich , Kavita Ramanan

We provide a new approach for proving the indistinguishability of connected components of random one-or-two-ended oriented forests on unimodular random graphs. In particular, this approach leads to a new and simpler proof for the wired…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Francois Baccelli , Ali Khezeli

We investigate recurrence and transience of Branching Markov Chains (BMC) in discrete time. Branching Markov Chains are clouds of particles which move (according to an irreducible underlying Markov Chain) and produce offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Nina Gantert , Sebastian Mueller

We use a classical combinatorial inequality to establish a Markov inequality for multivariate binary Markov processes on trees. We then apply this result, alongside with the FKG inequality, to compare the expected loss of biodiversity under…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-19 Beata Faller , Mike Steel