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Current PAC-Bayes generalisation bounds are restricted to scalar metrics of performance, such as the loss or error rate. However, one ideally wants more information-rich certificates that control the entire distribution of possible…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-10 Reuben Adams , John Shawe-Taylor , Benjamin Guedj

This paper presents four theoretical contributions that improve the usability of risk certificates for neural networks based on PAC-Bayes bounds. First, two bounds on the KL divergence between Bernoulli distributions enable the derivation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Diego García-Pérez , Emilio Parrado-Hernández , John Shawe-Taylor

Probably Approximately Correct (PAC) bounds are widely used to derive probabilistic guarantees for the generalisation of machine learning models. They highlight the components of the model which contribute to its generalisation capacity.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Thomas Walker , Alessio Lomuscio

There has been increasing interest on summary-free solutions for approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) which replace distances among summaries with discrepancies between the empirical distributions of the observed data and the synthetic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-27 Sirio Legramanti , Daniele Durante , Pierre Alquier

This paper studies the truncation method from Alquier [1] to derive high-probability PAC-Bayes bounds for unbounded losses with heavy tails. Assuming that the $p$-th moment is bounded, the resulting bounds interpolate between a slow rate $1…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-26 Borja Rodríguez-Gálvez , Omar Rivasplata , Ragnar Thobaben , Mikael Skoglund

We present a distributionally robust PAC-Bayesian framework for certifying the performance of learning-based finite-horizon controllers. While existing PAC-Bayes control literature typically assumes bounded losses and matching training and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Domagoj Herceg , Duarte Antunes

Goldwasser et al. (2021) recently proposed the setting of PAC verification, where a hypothesis (machine learning model) that purportedly satisfies the agnostic PAC learning objective is verified using an interactive proof. In this paper we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-06 Saachi Mutreja , Jonathan Shafer

We present a set of high-probability inequalities that control the concentration of weighted averages of multiple (possibly uncountably many) simultaneously evolving and interdependent martingales. Our results extend the PAC-Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-31 Yevgeny Seldin , François Laviolette , Nicolò Cesa-Bianchi , John Shawe-Taylor , Peter Auer

Variational inference (VI) is widely used for approximate inference in Bayesian machine learning. In addition to this practical success, generalization bounds for variational inference and related algorithms have been developed, mostly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Yadi Wei , Roni Khardon

Since their inception, Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) have become central in machine learning. Despite their widespread use, numerous questions regarding their theoretical properties remain open. Using PAC-Bayesian theory, this work…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-11 Sokhna Diarra Mbacke , Florence Clerc , Pascal Germain

We provide a novel dimension-free uniform concentration bound for the empirical risk function of constrained logistic regression. Our bound yields a milder sufficient condition for a uniform law of large numbers than conditions derived by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-15 Shogo Nakakita

We establish disintegrated PAC-Bayesian generalisation bounds for models trained with gradient descent methods or continuous gradient flows. Contrary to standard practice in the PAC-Bayesian setting, our result applies to optimisation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-12 Eugenio Clerico , Tyler Farghly , George Deligiannidis , Benjamin Guedj , Arnaud Doucet

In this paper, we establish generalization bounds for transductive learning algorithms in the context of information theory and PAC-Bayes, covering both the random sampling and the random splitting setting. First, we show that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Huayi Tang , Yong Liu

We propose a novel class of deep stochastic predictors for classifying metric data on graphs within the PAC-Bayes risk certification paradigm. Classifiers are realized as linearly parametrized deep assignment flows with random initial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-21 Bastian Boll , Alexander Zeilmann , Stefania Petra , Christoph Schnörr

Understanding and certifying the generalization performance of machine learning algorithms -- i.e. obtaining theoretical estimates of the test error from the training error -- is a central theme of statistical learning theory. Among the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Sho Sonoda , Kazumi Kasaura , Yuma Mizuno , Kei Tsukamoto , Naoto Onda

While there has been progress in developing non-vacuous generalization bounds for deep neural networks, these bounds tend to be uninformative about why deep learning works. In this paper, we develop a compression approach based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Sanae Lotfi , Marc Finzi , Sanyam Kapoor , Andres Potapczynski , Micah Goldblum , Andrew Gordon Wilson

PAC-Bayes learning is a comprehensive setting for (i) studying the generalisation ability of learning algorithms and (ii) deriving new learning algorithms by optimising a generalisation bound. However, optimising generalisation bounds might…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-27 Antoine Picard-Weibel , Roman Moscoviz , Benjamin Guedj

PAC-Bayes generalisation bounds are derived via change-of-measure inequalities that transfer concentration properties from a reference measure to all posterior measures. The specific choice of change of measure determines the assumptions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-15 Antoine Picard-Weibel , Benjamin Guedj

We study Rademacher processes where the coefficients are functions evaluated at fixed, but arbitrary covariables. Specifically, we assume the function class under consideration to be parametrized by the standard cocube in l dimensions and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-10 Johannes Christof Lederer

Bayesian classification labels observations based on given prior information, namely class-a priori and class-conditional probabilities. Bayes' risk is the minimum expected classification cost that is achieved by the Bayes' test, the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-07 Frank Nielsen
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