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This study provided a model for the publication dynamics of researchers, which is based on the relationship between the publication productivity of researchers and two covariates: time and historical publication quantity. The relationship…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2019-10-15 Zheng Xie

Predicting the number of coauthors for researchers contributes to understanding the development of team science. However, it is an elusive task due to diversity in the collaboration patterns of researchers. This study provides a learning…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2020-03-23 Zheng Xie

An original cross sectional dataset referring to a medium sized Italian university is implemented in order to analyze the determinants of scientific research production at individual level. The dataset includes 942 permanent researchers of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-07-29 Alberto Baccini , Lucio Barabesi , Martina Cioni , Caterina Pisani

In this work we propose a metric to assess academic productivity based on publication outputs. We are interested in knowing how well a research group in an area of knowledge is doing relatively to a pre-selected set of reference groups,…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2015-03-26 Sabir Ribas , Berthier Ribeiro-Neto , Edmundo de Souza e Silva , Alberto Ueda , Nivio Ziviani

Policy makers and managers sometimes assess the share of research produced by a group (country, department, institution). This takes the form of the percentage of publications in a journal, field or broad area that has been published by the…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2017-11-27 Mike Thelwall , Ruth Fairclough

Academic administrators and funding agencies must predict the publication productivity of research groups and individuals to assess authors' abilities. However, such prediction remains an elusive task due to the randomness of individual…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2021-04-30 Wumei Du , Zheng Xie , Yiqin Lv

We develop a method to estimate producers' productivity beliefs when output quantities and input prices are unobservable, and we use it to evaluate the market for science. Our model of researchers' labor supply shows how their willingness…

General Economics · Economics 2025-10-30 Fabio Bertolotti , Kyle Myers , Wei Yang Tham

A fundamental problem in citation analysis is the prediction of the long-term citation impact of recent publications. We propose a model to predict a probability distribution for the future number of citations of a publication. Two…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2015-09-10 Clara Stegehuis , Nelly Litvak , Ludo Waltman

The expectation that scientific productivity follows regular patterns over a career underpins many scholarly evaluations. However, recent studies of individual productivity patterns reveal a puzzle: the average number of papers published…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-13 Sam Zhang , Nicholas LaBerge , Samuel F. Way , Daniel B. Larremore , Aaron Clauset

Productivity is the quintessential indicator of efficiency in any production system. It seems it has become a norm in bibliometrics to define research productivity as the number of publications per researcher, distinguishing it from impact.…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2018-10-31 Giovanni Abramo , Ciriaco Andrea D'Angelo

In response to growing concern about the reliability and reproducibility of published science, researchers have proposed adopting measures of greater statistical stringency, including suggestions to require larger sample sizes and to lower…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-09 Harlan Campbell , Paul Gustafson

Research teams are the fundamental social unit of science, and yet there is currently no model that describes their basic property: size. In most fields teams have grown significantly in recent decades. We show that this is partly due to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-03-13 Staša Milojević

Citation prediction of scholarly papers is of great significance in guiding funding allocations, recruitment decisions, and rewards. However, little is known about how citation patterns evolve over time. By exploring the inherent involution…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2020-08-13 Xiaomei Bai , Fuli Zhang , Ivan Lee

The last few years have seen the proliferation of measures that quantify the scientific output of researches. Yet, these measures focus on productivity, thus fostering the "publish or perish" paradigm. This article proposes a measure that…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2013-04-15 Alejandro M. Aragón

Understanding how institutional changes within academia may affect the overall potential of science requires a better quantitative representation of how careers evolve over time. Since knowledge spillovers, cumulative advantage,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-04-04 Alexander M. Petersen , Massimo Riccaboni , H. Eugene Stanley , Fabio Pammolli

Collaborations and citations within scientific research grow simultaneously and interact dynamically. Modelling the coevolution between them helps to study many phenomena that can be approached only through combining citation and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-29 Zheng Xie , Zonglin Xie , Miao Li , Jianping Li , Dongyun Yi

Individual, excellent scientists have become increasingly important in the research funding landscape. Accurate bibliometric measures of an individual's performance could help identify excellent scientists, but still present a challenge.…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2014-09-09 Nadine Rons

There is a worldwide trend towards application of bibliometric research evaluation, in support of the needs of policy makers and research administrators. However the assumptions and limitations of bibliometric measurements suggest a…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2018-10-31 Giovanni Abramo , Corrado Costa , Ciriaco Andrea D'Angelo

In this paper, we study the causal impact of the web-search activity on the research publication. We considered observational prospective study design, where research activity of 267 scientists is being studied. We considered the Poisson…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-07 Bharathi Manjula . K , Sourish Das , Jehadeesan . R

Classifying researchers according to the quality of their published work rather than the quantity is a curtail issue. We attempt to introduce a new formula of the percentage range to be used for evaluating qualitatively the researchers'…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2013-05-28 Mahmoud Abdel-Aty
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