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Sparse model identification enables nonlinear dynamical system discovery from data. However, the control of false discoveries for sparse model identification is challenging, especially in the low-data and high-noise limit. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-28 L. Mars Gao , Urban Fasel , Steven L. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

The maximum mean discrepancy (MMD) is a kernel-based distance between probability distributions useful in many applications (Gretton et al. 2012), bearing a simple estimator with pleasing computational and statistical properties. Being able…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-16 Danica J. Sutherland , Namrata Deka

Generalized approximate message passing (GAMP) is a computationally efficient algorithm for estimating an unknown signal $w_0\in\mathbb{R}^N$ from a random linear measurement $y= Xw_0 + \epsilon\in\mathbb{R}^M$, where…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-08-06 Takashi Takahashi

Integrating heterogeneous datasets across different measurement platforms is a fundamental challenge in many scientific applications. A common example arises in deconvolution problems, such as cell type deconvolution, where one aims to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-30 Dongyue Xie , Lin Gui , Jingshu Wang

Probabilistic models of data sets often exhibit salient geometric structure. Such a phenomenon is summed up in the manifold distribution hypothesis, and can be exploited in probabilistic learning. Here we present normal-bundle bootstrap…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-29 Ruda Zhang , Roger Ghanem

We propose a new unsupervised and non-parametric method to detect change points in intricate quasi-periodic signals. The detection relies on optimal transport theory combined with topological analysis and the bootstrap procedure. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Nikolay Shvetsov , Nazar Buzun , Dmitry V. Dylov

Standard approaches to constructing nonparametric confidence bands for functions are frustrated by the impact of bias, which generally is not estimated consistently when using the bootstrap and conventionally smoothed function estimators.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-30 Peter Hall , Joel Horowitz

We study an AMOC time series model with an abrupt change in the mean and dependent errors that fulfill certain mixing conditions. We obtain confidence intervals for the unknown change-point via bootstrapping methods. Precisely we use a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-10-30 Marie Huskova , Claudia Kirch

Machine learning models trained with \emph{stochastic} gradient descent (SGD) can generalize better than those trained with deterministic gradient descent (GD). In this work, we study SGD's impact on generalization through the lens of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Hongjian Lan , Yucong Liu , Florian Schäfer

The standardized mean difference (SMD) is a widely used measure of effect size, particularly common in psychology, clinical trials, and meta-analysis involving continuous outcomes. Traditionally, under the equal variance assumption, the SMD…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-05 Jiandong Shi , Xiaochen Zhang , Lu Lin , Hiu Yee Kwan , Tiejun Tong

Biometric recognition is used across a variety of applications from cyber security to border security. Recent research has focused on ensuring biometric performance (false negatives and false positives) is fair across demographic groups.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-24 Michael Schuckers , Sandip Purnapatra , Kaniz Fatima , Daqing Hou , Stephanie Schuckers

We propose a general method to carry out a valid Bayesian analysis of a finite-dimensional `targeted' parameter in the presence of a finite-dimensional nuisance parameter. We apply our methods to causal inference based on estimating…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Magid Sabbagh , David A. Stephens

Mack's distribution-free chain ladder reserving model belongs to the most popular approaches in non-life insurance mathematics. Proposed to determine the first two moments of the reserve, it does not allow to identify the whole distribution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-13 Julia Steinmetz , Carsten Jentsch

This technical note presents a new approach to carrying out the kind of exploration achieved by Thompson sampling, but without explicitly maintaining or sampling from posterior distributions. The approach is based on a bootstrap technique…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-02 Ian Osband , Benjamin Van Roy

This paper develops a variance estimation framework for matching estimators that enables valid population inference for treatment effects. We provide theoretical analysis of a variance estimator that addresses key limitations in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-16 Xiang Meng , Aaron Smith , Luke Miratrix

Westling and Carone (2020) proposed a framework for studying the large sample distributional properties of generalized Grenander-type estimators, a versatile class of nonparametric estimators of monotone functions. The limiting distribution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-08 Matias D. Cattaneo , Michael Jansson , Kenichi Nagasawa

The paper considers simultaneous nonparametric inference for a wide class of M-regression models with time-varying coefficients. The covariates and errors of the regression model are tackled as a general class of nonstationary time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-10 Miaoshiqi Liu , Zhou Zhou

Motivated by a neuroscience question about synchrony detection in spike train analysis, we deal with the independence testing problem for point processes. We introduce non-parametric test statistics, which are rescaled general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-28 Mélisande Albert , Yann Bouret , Magalie Fromont , Patricia Reynaud-Bouret

We consider penalized extremum estimation of a high-dimensional, possibly nonlinear model that is sparse in the sense that most of its parameters are zero but some are not. We use the SCAD penalty function, which provides model selection…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-23 Joel L. Horowitz , Ahnaf Rafi

The most common way to sample from a probability distribution is to use Monte-Carlo methods. For distributions on a continuous state space, one can find diffusions with the target distribution as equilibrium measure, so that the state of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-28 Chii-Ruey Hwang , Raoul Normand , Sheng-Jhih Wu