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We develop a Bayesian hierarchical semiparametric model for phenomena related to time series of counts. The main feature of the model is its capability to learn a latent pattern of heterogeneity in the distribution of the process innovation…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-09 Helton Graziadei , Hedibert F. Lopes , Paulo C. Marques F

The Hierarchical Mixture of Experts (HME) is a well-known tree-based model for regression and classification, based on soft probabilistic splits. In its original formulation it was trained by maximum likelihood, and is therefore prone to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-12 Christopher M. Bishop , Markus Svensen

We examine the problem of making reconciled forecasts of large collections of related time series through a behavioural/Bayesian lens. Our approach explicitly acknowledges and exploits the 'connectedness' of the series in terms of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-03 Ross Hollyman , Fotios Petropoulos , Michael E. Tipping

Bayesian optimisation is a popular technique for hyperparameter learning but typically requires initial exploration even in cases where similar prior tasks have been solved. We propose to transfer information across tasks using learnt…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-28 Ho Chung Leon Law , Peilin Zhao , Lucian Chan , Junzhou Huang , Dino Sejdinovic

We classify two types of Hierarchical Bayesian Model found in the literature as Hierarchical Prior Model (HPM) and Hierarchical Stochastic Model (HSM). Then, we focus on studying the theoretical implications of the HSM. Using examples of…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-10 Stephen Wu , Panagiotis Angelikopoulos , James L. Beck , Petros Koumoutsakos

It is reasonable to consider, in many cases, that individuals' latent traits have a hierarchical structure such that more general traits are a suitable composition of more specific ones. Existing item response models that account for such…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-28 Juliane Venturelli S. L. , Flavio B. Gonçalves , Dalton F. Andrade

We consider a dictionary learning problem whose objective is to design a dictionary such that the signals admits a sparse or an approximate sparse representation over the learned dictionary. Such a problem finds a variety of applications…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-10 Linxiao Yang , Jun Fang , Hong Cheng , Hongbin Li

Predicting keywords performance, such as number of impressions, click-through rate (CTR), conversion rate (CVR), revenue per click (RPC), and cost per click (CPC), is critical for sponsored search in the online advertising industry. An…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-10 Yuan Yuan , Xiaojing Dong , Chen Dong , Yiwen Sun , Zhenyu Yan , Abhishek Pani

Ubiquitous personalized recommender systems are built to achieve two seemingly conflicting goals, to serve high quality content tailored to individual user's taste and to adapt quickly to the ever changing environment. The former requires a…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-08-31 Yunbo Ouyang , Jun Shi , Haichao Wei , Huiji Gao

There are many issues that can cause problems when attempting to infer model parameters from data. Data and models are both imperfect, and as such there are multiple scenarios in which standard methods of inference will lead to misleading…

Computation · Statistics 2024-05-01 Simon L. Cotter

In recent years there has been a flurry of works on learning Bayesian networks from data. One of the hard problems in this area is how to effectively learn the structure of a belief network from incomplete data- that is, in the presence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Nir Friedman

In recent years, deep learning has gained an indisputable success in computer vision, speech recognition, and natural language processing. After its rising success on these challenging areas, it has been studied on recommender systems as…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-10-01 Ezgi Yıldırım , Payam Azad , Şule Gündüz Öğüdücü

Deep neural networks have been shown to be very successful at learning feature hierarchies in supervised learning tasks. Generative models, on the other hand, have benefited less from hierarchical models with multiple layers of latent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-12 Shengjia Zhao , Jiaming Song , Stefano Ermon

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-11-14 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

Recommender systems are designed to predict user preferences over collections of items. These systems process users' previous interactions to decide which items should be ranked higher to satisfy their desires. An ensemble recommender…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-06-23 Alireza Gharahighehi , Celine Vens , Konstantinos Pliakos

Stacking is a widely used model averaging technique that asymptotically yields optimal predictions among linear averages. We show that stacking is most effective when model predictive performance is heterogeneous in inputs, and we can…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-29 Yuling Yao , Gregor Pirš , Aki Vehtari , Andrew Gelman

Bayesian learning is a powerful learning framework which combines the external information of the data (background information) with the internal information (training data) in a logically consistent way in inference and prediction. By…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-11 Erdong Guo , David Draper

Recent recommender system advancements have focused on developing sequence-based and graph-based approaches. Both approaches proved useful in modeling intricate relationships within behavioral data, leading to promising outcomes in…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-03-18 Vladimir Baikalov , Evgeny Frolov

Feature selection is an important task in many problems occurring in pattern recognition, bioinformatics, machine learning and data mining applications. The feature selection approach enables us to reduce the computation burden and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-08-30 Hadi Zare , Mojtaba Niazi

Hierarchical models are increasingly used in many applications. Along with this increased use comes a desire to investigate whether the model is compatible with the observed data. Bayesian methods are well suited to eliminate the many…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-02-08 M. J. Bayarri , M. E. Castellanos