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We consider an agent interacting with an unknown environment. The environment is a function which maps natural numbers to natural numbers; the agent's set of hypotheses about the environment contains all such functions which are computable…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-12-31 Peter de Blanc

This paper discusses a class of uncertain optimization problems, in which unknown parameters are modeled by fuzzy intervals. The membership functions of the fuzzy intervals are interpreted as possibility distributions for the values of the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Adam Kasperski , Pawel Zielinski

This paper investigates the optimal selection of portfolios for power utility maximizing investors in a financial market where stock returns depend on a hidden Gaussian mean reverting drift process. Information on the drift is obtained from…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-01 Abdelali Gabih , Ralf Wunderlich

Utility-Based Shortfall Risk (UBSR) is a risk metric that is increasingly popular in financial applications, owing to certain desirable properties that it enjoys. We consider the problem of estimating UBSR in a recursive setting, where…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-28 Vishwajit Hegde , Arvind S. Menon , L. A. Prashanth , Krishna Jagannathan

This paper proposes a risk-averse approach to energy storage price arbitrage, leveraging conformal uncertainty quantification for electricity price predictions. The method addresses the significant challenges posed by the inherent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-11 Saud Alghumayjan , Ming Yi , Bolun Xu

The future value of a security is described as a random variable. Distribution of this random variable is the formal image of risk uncertainty. On the other side, any present value is defined as a value equivalent to the given future value.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-05 Krzysztof Piasecki

Most work in mechanism design assumes that buyers are risk neutral; some considers risk aversion arising due to a non-linear utility for money. Yet behavioral studies have established that real agents exhibit risk attitudes which cannot be…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-03-13 Shuchi Chawla , Kira Goldner , J. Benjamin Miller , Emmanouil Pountourakis

We study estimation of a multivariate function $f:{\bf R}^d \to {\bf R}$ when the observations are available from function $Af$, where $A$ is a known linear operator. Both the Gaussian white noise model and density estimation are studied.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-21 Jussi Klemelä , Enno Mammen

We develop efficient algorithms to construct utility maximizing mechanisms in the presence of risk averse players (buyers and sellers) in Bayesian settings. We model risk aversion by a concave utility function, and players play…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-06-28 Anand Bhalgat , Tanmoy Chakraborty , Sanjeev Khanna

In the large financial market, which is described by a model with countably many traded assets, we formulate the problem of the expected utility maximization. Assuming that the preferences of an economic agent are modeled with a stochastic…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-21 Oleksii Mostovyi

Fuzzy rule based classification systems are one of the most popular fuzzy modeling systems used in pattern classification problems. This paper investigates the effect of applying nine different T-norms in fuzzy rule based classification…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-08-10 Fahimeh Farahbod , Mahdi Eftekhari

We study stability properties of the expected utility function in Bayesian optimal experimental design. We provide a framework for this problem in a non-parametric setting and prove a convergence rate of the expected utility with respect to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Duc-Lam Duong , Tapio Helin , Jose Rodrigo Rojo-Garcia

The aim of this work consists in the study of the optimal investment strategy for a behavioural investor, whose preference towards risk is described by both a probability distortion and an S-shaped utility function. Within a continuous-time…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-04-30 Miklos Rasonyi , Andrea M. Rodrigues

In the present work we tackle the problem of finding the optimal price tariff to be set by a risk-averse electric retailer participating in the pool and whose customers are price-sensitive. We assume that the retailer has access to a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-24 Román Pérez-Santalla , Miguel Carrión , Carlos Ruiz

We study a robust portfolio optimization problem under model uncertainty for an investor with logarithmic or power utility. The uncertainty is specified by a set of possible L\'evy triplets; that is, possible instantaneous drift, volatility…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-23 Ariel Neufeld , Marcel Nutz

In the hypothesis of rare loss events, the general expression of the policy value has been determined as a functional of the "expected frequency / loss severity" function and of the retention function. Exponential disutility has been chosen…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Renato Ghisellini

In the frictionless discrete time financial market of Bouchard et al.(2015) we consider a trader who, due to regulatory requirements or internal risk management reasons, is required to hedge a claim $\xi$ in a risk-conservative way relative…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-19 Laurence Carassus , Jan Obloj , Johannes Wiesel

In this paper a class of optimization problems with uncertain linear constraints is discussed. It is assumed that the constraint coefficients are random vectors whose probability distributions are only partially known. Possibility theory is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-30 Romain Guillaume , Adam Kasperski , Pawel Zielinski

We study investment and insurance demand decisions for an agent in a theoretical continuous-time expected utility maximization model that combines risky assets with an (exogenous) insurable background risk. This risk takes the form of a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-09 Hugo E. Ramirez , Rafael Serrano

This paper presents a fuzzy queuing location model for congested system. In a queuing system there are different criteria that are not constant such as service rate, service rate demand, queue length, the occupancy probability of a service…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2010-04-21 Reza Rabieyan
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