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Uncertainty in optimization is often represented as stochastic parameters in the optimization model. In Predict-Then-Optimize approaches, predictions of a machine learning model are used as values for such parameters, effectively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Pieter Smet

We propose a new mapping tool for supervised and unsupervised analysis of multivariate binary data with multiple items, questions, or response variables. The mapping assumes an underlying proximity response function, where participants can…

Computation · Statistics 2025-01-23 Mark de Rooij , Dion Woestenburg , Frank Busing

When classical particle filtering algorithms are used for maximum likelihood parameter estimation in nonlinear state-space models, a key challenge is that estimates of the likelihood function and its derivatives are inherently noisy. The…

Computation · Statistics 2017-11-30 Andreas Svensson , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

The approximation of nonlinear kernels via linear feature maps has recently gained interest due to their applications in reducing the training and testing time of kernel-based learning algorithms. Current random projection methods avoid the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-02-05 A. G. Chung , M. J. Shafiee , A. Wong

This study introduces the Misclassification Likelihood Matrix (MLM) as a novel tool for quantifying the reliability of neural network predictions under distribution shifts. The MLM is obtained by leveraging softmax outputs and clustering…

The field of machine learning (ML) has witnessed significant advancements in recent years. However, many existing algorithms lack interpretability and struggle with high-dimensional and imbalanced data. This paper proposes SPINEX, a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 M. Z. Naser , M. K. albashiti , A. Z. Naser

We derive a family of linear inference algorithms that generalize existing graph-based label propagation algorithms by allowing them to propagate generalized assumptions about "attraction" or "compatibility" between classes of neighboring…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-12-30 Wolfgang Gatterbauer

While deep neural networks are highly performant and successful in a wide range of real-world problems, estimating their predictive uncertainty remains a challenging task. To address this challenge, we propose and implement a loss function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-14 Tony Tohme , Kevin Vanslette , Kamal Youcef-Toumi

We introduce implicit Bayesian neural networks, a simple and scalable approach for uncertainty representation in deep learning. Standard Bayesian approach to deep learning requires the impractical inference of the posterior distribution…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-27 Trung Trinh , Samuel Kaski , Markus Heinonen

Projection predictive inference is a decision theoretic Bayesian approach that decouples model estimation from decision making. Given a reference model previously built including all variables present in the data, projection predictive…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-15 Alejandro Catalina , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Aki Vehtari

The prediction of learning curves for Natural Language Processing (NLP) models enables informed decision-making to meet specific performance objectives, while reducing computational overhead and lowering the costs associated with dataset…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Viktoria Schram , Markus Hiller , Daniel Beck , Trevor Cohn

There remains an open question about the usefulness and the interpretation of Machine learning (MLE) approaches for discrimination of spatial patterns of brain images between samples or activation states. In the last few decades, these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-22 JM Gorriz , R. Martin-Clemente , C. G. Puntonet , A. Ortiz , J. Ramirez , J. Suckling

We derive a parallel sampling algorithm for computational inverse problems that present an unknown linear forcing term and a vector of nonlinear parameters to be recovered. It is assumed that the data is noisy and that the linear part of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-24 Darko Volkov

In this paper, a new approach for classification of target task using limited labeled target data as well as enormous unlabeled source data is proposed which is called self-taught learning. The target and source data can be drawn from…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-10-13 Parvin Razzaghi

A powerful and flexible approach to structured prediction consists in embedding the structured objects to be predicted into a feature space of possibly infinite dimension by means of output kernels, and then, solving a regression problem in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-03 Luc Brogat-Motte , Alessandro Rudi , Céline Brouard , Juho Rousu , Florence d'Alché-Buc

Likelihood based-learning of graphical models faces challenges of computational-complexity and robustness to model mis-specification. This paper studies methods that fit parameters directly to maximize a measure of the accuracy of predicted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-07-04 Justin Domke

In the realm of cryptocurrency, the prediction of Bitcoin prices has garnered substantial attention due to its potential impact on financial markets and investment strategies. This paper propose a comparative study on hybrid machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-02 Shun Liu , Kexin Wu , Chufeng Jiang , Bin Huang , Danqing Ma

This paper introduces distribution-based prediction, a novel approach to using Large Language Models (LLMs) as predictive tools by interpreting output token probabilities as distributions representing the models' learned representation of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Caleb Bradshaw , Caelen Miller , Sean Warnick

In this paper, we are interested in optimal decisions in a partially observable Markov universe. Our viewpoint departs from the dynamic programming viewpoint: we are directly approximating an optimal strategic tree depending on the…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Frederic Dambreville

Meta-learning, or learning-to-learn, seeks to design algorithms that can utilize previous experience to rapidly learn new skills or adapt to new environments. Representation learning -- a key tool for performing meta-learning -- learns a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-04 Nilesh Tripuraneni , Chi Jin , Michael I. Jordan