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Motivated by the increasing integration among electricity markets, in this paper we propose two different methods to incorporate market integration in electricity price forecasting and to improve the predictive performance. First, we…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-08 Jesus Lago , Fjo De Ridder , Peter Vrancx , Bart De Schutter

The paper proposes a computationally efficient electricity market simulation tool (MST) suitable for future grid scenario analysis. The market model is based on a unit commitment (UC) problem and takes into account the uptake of emerging…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-06-13 Shariq Riaz , Gregor Verbic , Archie C. Chapman

The increasing integration of renewable energy, particularly offshore wind, introduces significant uncertainty into hybrid AC-HVDC systems due to forecast errors and power fluctuations. Conventional control strategies typically rely on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-30 Hongjin Du , Rahul Rane , Weijie Xia , Pedro P. Vergara , Aleksandra Lekić

Accurately forecasting electricity price volatility is crucial for effective risk management and decision-making. Traditional forecasting models often fall short in capturing the complex, non-linear dynamics of electricity markets,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Haochen Xue , Chenghao Liu , Chong Zhang , Yuxuan Chen , Angxiao Zong , Zhaodong Wu , Yulong Li , Jiayi Liu , Kaiyu Liang , Zhixiang Lu , Ruobing Li , Jionglong Su

This paper introduces a novel method for optimizing HVAC systems in buildings by integrating a high-fidelity physics-based simulation model with machine learning and measured data. The method enables a real-time building advisory system…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-22 Gulai Shen , Gurpreet Singh , Ali Mehmani

Heat, Ventilation and Air Conditioning (HVAC) systems play a critical role in maintaining a comfortable thermal environment and cost approximately 40% of primary energy usage in the building sector. For smart energy management in buildings,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Dafang Zhao , Zheng Chen , Zhengmao Li , Xiaolei Yuan , Ittetsu Taniguchi

Traditional solar flare forecasting approaches have mostly relied on physics-based or data-driven models using solar magnetograms, treating flare predictions as a point-in-time classification problem. This approach has limitations,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Anli Ji , Chetraj Pandey , Berkay Aydin

Electricity consumption in mobile networks is increasing with the continued 5G expansion, rising data traffic, and more complex infrastructures. However, energy management is often handled independently by each mobile network operator…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-17 Meysam Masoudi , Tahar Zanouda , Milad Ganjalizadeh , Cicek Cavdar

The scheduling and operation of power system becomes prominently complex and uncertain, especially with the penetration of distributed power. Load forecasting matters to the effective operation of power system. This paper proposes a novel…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-05-10 Tinghui Ouyang , Yusen He , Huajin Li , Zhiyu Sun , Stephen Baek

We present an operations-ready multi-model ensemble weather forecasting system which uses hybrid data-driven weather prediction models coupled with the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ocean model to predict global…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-03-26 Jonathan A. Weyn , Divya Kumar , Jeremy Berman , Najeeb Kazmi , Sylwester Klocek , Pete Luferenko , Kit Thambiratnam

Wind power forecasting (WPF), as a significant research topic within renewable energy, plays a crucial role in enhancing the security, stability, and economic operation of power grids. However, due to the high stochasticity of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Mingyi Zhu , Zhaoxin Li , Qiao Lin , Li Ding

We demonstrate that combining machine learning with data assimilation leads to a major improvement in phytoplankton short-range (1-5 day) forecasts for the North-West European Shelf (NWES) seas. We show that excess nitrate concentrations…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-05 Deep S Banerjee , Jozef Skakala , David Ford

Water consumption remains a major concern among the world's future challenges. For applications like load monitoring and demand response, deep learning models are trained using enormous volumes of consumption data in smart cities. On the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Mohammed El Hanjri , Hibatallah Kabbaj , Abdellatif Kobbane , Amine Abouaomar

Accurate load forecasting is critical for efficient and reliable operations of the electric power system. A large part of electricity consumption is affected by weather conditions, making weather information an important determinant of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-16 Jonathan Yang , Mingjian Tuo , Jin Lu , Xingpeng Li

Electricity load forecasting enables the grid operators to optimally implement the smart grid's most essential features such as demand response and energy efficiency. Electricity demand profiles can vary drastically from one region to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-15 Abdul Wahab , Muhammad Anas Tahir , Naveed Iqbal , Faisal Shafait , Syed Muhammad Raza Kazmi

Quantifying forecast uncertainty is a key aspect of state-of-the-art numerical weather prediction and data assimilation systems. Ensemble-based data assimilation systems incorporate state-dependent uncertainty quantification based on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-05-17 Maximiliano A. Sacco , Manuel Pulido , Juan J. Ruiz , Pierre Tandeo

Renewable-energy-based grids development needs new methods to maintain the balance between the load and generation using the efficient energy storages models. Most of the available energy storages models do not take into account such…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-06-10 Denis Sidorov , Qing Tao , Ildar Muftahov , Aleksei Zhukov , Dmitriy Karamov , Aliona Dreglea , Fang Liu

Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) are increasingly used to enable wireless communications. Due to their characteristics, such as the ability to hover and carry cargo, UAVs can serve as communications nodes, including Wi-Fi Access Points and…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2024-06-28 Pedro Ribeiro , André Coelho , Rui Campos

Cellular networks are becoming increasingly heterogeneous with higher base station (BS) densities and ever more frequency bands, making BS selection and band assignment key decisions in terms of rate and coverage. In this paper, we…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-24 Manan Gupta , Sandeep Chinchali , Paul Varkey , Jeffrey G. Andrews

An accurate load forecasting has always been one of the main indispensable parts in the operation and planning of power systems. Among different time horizons of forecasting, while short-term load forecasting (STLF) and long-term load…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-13 Arghavan Zare-Noghabi , Morteza Shabanzadeh , Hossein Sangrody