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There are many time series in the literature with high dimension yet limited sample sizes, such as macroeconomic variables, and it is almost impossible to obtain efficient estimation and accurate prediction by using the corresponding…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-30 Yuchang Lin , Qianqian Zhu , Guodong Li

Multivariate time series data suffer from the problem of missing values, which hinders the application of many analytical methods. To achieve the accurate imputation of these missing values, exploiting inter-correlation by employing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Kohei Obata , Koki Kawabata , Yasuko Matsubara , Yasushi Sakurai

Missing values in multivariate time series data can harm machine learning performance and introduce bias. These gaps arise from sensor malfunctions, blackouts, and human error and are typically addressed by data imputation. Previous work…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Mohammad Rafid Ul Islam , Prasad Tadepalli , Alan Fern

Contemporary time series data often feature objects connected by a social network that naturally induces temporal dependence involving connected neighbours. The network vector autoregressive model is useful for describing the influence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-18 Weichi Wu , Chenlei Leng

When training predictive models on data with missing entries, the most widely used and versatile approach is a pipeline technique where we first impute missing entries and then compute predictions. In this paper, we view prediction with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Dimitris Bertsimas , Arthur Delarue , Jean Pauphilet

High-dimensional time series data exist in numerous areas such as finance, genomics, healthcare, and neuroscience. An unavoidable aspect of all such datasets is missing data, and dealing with this issue has been an important focus in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-27 Amin Jalali , Rebecca Willett

Time series data are observations collected over time intervals. Successful analysis of time series data captures patterns such as trends, cyclicity and irregularity, which are crucial for decision making in research, business, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Daniel Zhang

In many application settings, the data have missing entries which make analysis challenging. An abundant literature addresses missing values in an inferential framework: estimating parameters and their variance from incomplete tables. Here,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-22 Julie Josse , Jacob M. Chen , Nicolas Prost , Erwan Scornet , Gaël Varoquaux

Anomaly detection on time series data is increasingly common across various industrial domains that monitor metrics in order to prevent potential accidents and economic losses. However, a scarcity of labeled data and ambiguous definitions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-29 Lawrence Wong , Dongyu Liu , Laure Berti-Equille , Sarah Alnegheimish , Kalyan Veeramachaneni

In finance, economics and many other fields, observations in a matrix form are often generated over time. For example, a set of key economic indicators are regularly reported in different countries every quarter. The observations at each…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-25 Rong Chen , Han Xiao , Dan Yang

We propose estimation methods for change points in high-dimensional covariance structures with an emphasis on challenging scenarios with missing values. We advocate three imputation like methods and investigate their implications on common…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-26 Malte Londschien , Solt Kovács , Peter Bühlmann

We propose an algorithm to impute and forecast a time series by transforming the observed time series into a matrix, utilizing matrix estimation to recover missing values and de-noise observed entries, and performing linear regression to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-29 Anish Agarwal , Muhammad Jehangir Amjad , Devavrat Shah , Dennis Shen

Modeling multivariate time series as temporal signals over a (possibly dynamic) graph is an effective representational framework that allows for developing models for time series analysis. In fact, discrete sequences of graphs can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Ivan Marisca , Andrea Cini , Cesare Alippi

The imputation of missing values in multivariate time series (MTS) data is critical in ensuring data quality and producing reliable data-driven predictive models. Apart from many statistical approaches, a few recent studies have proposed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-17 Maksims Kazijevs , Manar D. Samad

Motivated by the application to German interest rates, we propose a timevarying autoregressive model for short and long term prediction of time series that exhibit a temporary non-stationary behavior but are assumed to mean revert in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-23 Christoph Berninger , Almond Stöcker , David Rügamer

In the fields of sociology and economics, the modeling of matrix-variate integervalued time series is urgent. However, no prior studies have addressed the modeling of such data. To address this topic, this paper proposes a novel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-10 Nuo Xu , Kai Yang , Fukang Zhu

While data are the primary fuel for machine learning models, they often suffer from missing values, especially when collected in real-world scenarios. However, many off-the-shelf machine learning models, including artificial neural network…

In this paper, we use convolutional neural networks to address the problem of model identification for autoregressive moving average time series models. We compare the performance of several neural network architectures, trained on…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-21 Wai Hoh Tang , Adrian Röllin

Prediction is a key issue in time series analysis. Just as classical mean regression models, classical autoregressive methods, yielding L$^2$ point-predictions, provide rather poor predictive summaries; a much more informative approach is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-06 Alberto González-Sanz , Marc Hallin , Yisha Yao

We present online prediction methods for time series that let us explicitly handle nonstationary artifacts (e.g. trend and seasonality) present in most real time series. Specifically, we show that applying appropriate transformations to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-28 Christopher Xie , Avleen Bijral , Juan Lavista Ferres