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This study applied Bayesian optimization likelihood-free inference(BOLFI) to virus dynamics experimental data and efficiently inferred the model parameters with uncertainty measure. The computational benefit is remarkable compared to…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-11 Yingying Xu

In this work, we consider the problem of predicting the course of a progressive disease, such as cancer or Alzheimer's. Progressive diseases often start with mild symptoms that might precede a diagnosis, and each patient follows their own…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-19 Yingying Zhu , Mert R. Sabuncu

The win ratio (WR) statistic is increasingly used to evaluate treatment effects based on prioritized composite endpoints, yet existing Bayesian adaptive designs are not directly applicable because the WR is a summary statistic derived from…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-20 Di Zhu , Yong Zang

Randomized experiments are the preferred approach for evaluating the effects of interventions, but they are costly and often yield estimates with substantial uncertainty. On the other hand, in silico experiments leveraging foundation models…

To better understand effects of exposure to food allergens, food challenge studies are designed to slowly increase the dose of an allergen delivered to allergic individuals until an objective reaction occurs. These dose-to-failure studies…

Applications · Statistics 2019-08-30 Matthew W. Wheeler , Joost Westerhout , Joe L. Baumert , Benjamin C. Remington

Background: We aimed to design a Bayesian adaption trial through extensive simulations to determine values for key design parameters, demonstrate error rates, and establish the expected sample size. The complexity of the proposed outcome…

The proportional hazards assumption in the commonly used Cox model for censored failure time data is often violated in scientific studies. Yang and Prentice (2005) proposed a novel semiparametric two-sample model that includes the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-06 Guoqing Diao , Donglin Zeng , Song Yang

The objective is to model longitudinal and survival data jointly taking into account the dependence between the two responses in a real HIV/AIDS dataset using a shared parameter approach inside a Bayesian framework. We propose a linear…

Applications · Statistics 2016-05-02 Rui Martins

A hierarchical logistic regression Bayesian model is proposed and implemented in R to model the probability of patient improvement corresponding to any given dosage of a certain drug. RStan is used to obtain samples from the posterior…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-01 Dorsa Mohammadi Arezooji

Excess hazard modeling is one of the main tools in population-based cancer survival research. Indeed, this setting allows for direct modeling of the survival due to cancer even in the absence of reliable information on the cause of death,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-12 A. Eletti , G. Marra , M. Quaresma , R. Radice , F. J. Rubio

Analyses of time to event datasets have been invariably based on the Cox proportional hazards model (PHM). Reformulations of the PHM as a Poisson Generalized Additive Model (GAM) or as a Generalized Linear Mixed Model (GLMM) have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-17 Christos Argyropoulos , Hamza Mir , Maria-Eleni Roumelioti , Pablo Garcia

This paper describes a method for a model-based analysis of clinical safety data called multivariate Bayesian logistic regression (MBLR). Parallel logistic regression models are fit to a set of medically related issues, or response…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-10-02 William DuMouchel

Comparing survival experiences of different groups of data is an important issue in several applied problems. A typical example is where one wishes to investigate treatment effects. Here we propose a new Bayesian approach based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-17 Alan Riva-Palacio , Fabrizio Leisen , Antonio Lijoi

Network meta-analysis (NMA) is widely used in healthcare decision-making, where estimates of the effect of multiple treatments on outcomes are required. For time-to-event outcomes such as survival or disease progression the most common…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 David M. Phillippo , Ayman Sadek , Hugo Pedder , Nicky J. Welton

In survival studies it is important to record the values of key longitudinal covariates until the occurrence of event of a subject. For this reason, it is essential to study the association between longitudinal and time-to-event outcomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-09 Khandoker Akib Mohammad , Yuichi Hirose , Yuan Yao , Budhi Surya

This article introduces the bpcs R package (Bayesian Paired Comparison in Stan) and the statistical models implemented in the package. This package aims to facilitate the use of Bayesian models for paired comparison data in behavioral…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-21 David Issa Mattos , Érika Martins Silva Ramos

Prognostic outcomes related to hospital admissions typically do not suffer from censoring, and can be modeled either categorically or as time-to-event. Competing events are common but often ignored. We compared the performance of random…

As cancer patient survival improves, late effects from treatment are becoming the next clinical challenge. Chemotherapy and radiotherapy, for example, potentially increase the risk of both morbidity and mortality from second malignancies…

In this work, we propose a new Bayesian spatial homogeneity pursuit method for survival data under the proportional hazards model to detect spatially clustered patterns in baseline hazard and regression coefficients. Specially, regression…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-24 Lijiang Geng , Guanyu Hu

Statisticians often face the choice between using probability models or a paradigm defined by minimising a loss function. Both approaches are useful and, if the loss can be re-cast into a proper probability model, there are many tools to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Jack Jewson , David Rossell
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