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A birth-death-move process with mutations is a Markov model for a system of marked particles in interaction, that move over time, with births and deaths. In addition the mark of each particle may also change, which constitutes a mutation.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Lisa Balsollier , Frédéric Lavancier

In order to numerically solve high-dimensional nonlinear PDEs and alleviate the curse of dimensionality, a stochastic particle method (SPM) has been proposed to capture the relevant feature of the solution through the adaptive evolution of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-16 Jingyang Huang , Zhengyang Lei , Sihong Shao

This paper presents a stochastic model motivated by the study of a virus-like evolving population with different mutation rates. This is a continuous time birth-death model: the birth processes are mutually-exciting Hawkes processes and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Rahul Roy , Dharmaraja Selvamuthu , Paola Tardelli

We consider a multidimensional inhomogeneous birth-death process (BDP) and obtain bounds on the rate of convergence for the corresponding one-dimensional processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-11 A. I. Zeifman , Y. A. Satin , K. M. Kiseleva , V. Yu. Korolev

We establish connections between the absorption probabilities of a class of birth-death processes with killing, and the stationary tail of a related class of birth-death processes with catastrophes. The major ingredients of the proofs are a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Ellen Baake , Fernando Cordero , Enrico Di Gaspero , Anton Wakolbinger

In this paper, we consider contact processes on locally compact separable metric spaces with birth and death rates heterogeneous in space. Conditions on the rates that ensure the existence of invariant measures of contact processes are…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-28 Sergey Pirogov , Elena Zhizhina

We are interested in modeling some two-level population dynamics, resulting from the interplay of ecological interactions and phenotypic variation of individuals (or hosts) and the evolution of cells (or parasites) of two types living in…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-21 Sylvie Méléard , Sylvie Roelly

This paper considers a natural variant of the $d$-dimensional multitype contact process in which individuals can be fertile or sterile. Fertile individuals of type $i$ give birth to an offspring of their own type at rate $\lambda_i$, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-08 Nicolas Lanchier , Max Mercer , Hyunsik Yun

Neuhauser [Probab. Theory Related Fields 91 (1992) 467--506] considered the two-type contact process and showed that on $\mathbb{Z}^2$ coexistence is not possible if the death rates are equal and the particles use the same dispersal…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Benjamin Chan , Richard Durrett

Using the annealed approach we investigate the asymptotic behavior of the survival probability of a critical multitype branching process evolving in i.i.d. random environment. We show under rather general assumptions on the form of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-12 Vladimir A. Vatutin , Elena E. Dyakonova

We introduce a multitype contact process with temporal heterogeneity involving two species competing for space on the $d$-dimensional integer lattice. Time is divided into seasons called alternately season 1 and season 2. We prove that…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-10-22 B. Chan , R. Durrett , N. Lanchier

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the survival probability of a multitype branching process in random environment. The class of processes we consider here corresponds, in the one-dimensional situation, to the strongly subcritical case.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-21 Vladimir Vatutin , Vitali Wachtel

In this paper, we study the significance of ecological interactions and separation of birth and death dynamics in stochastic heterogeneous populations via general birth-death processes. Interactions can manifest through the birth dynamics,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-03 Erin Beckman , Heyrim Cho , Linh Huynh

This paper is focused on a class of spatial birth and death process of the Euclidean space where the birth rate is constant and the death rate of a given point is the shot noise created at its location by the other points of the current…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-01 Francois Baccelli , Fabien Mathieu , Ilkka Norros

A birth-death process is a continuous-time Markov chain that counts the number of particles in a system over time. In the general process with $n$ current particles, a new particle is born with instantaneous rate $\lambda_n$ and a particle…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-10-11 Forrest W. Crawford , Marc A. Suchard

Under mild non-degeneracy assumptions on branching rates in each generation, we provide a criterion for almost-sure extinction of a multi-type branching process with time-dependent branching rates. We also provide a criterion for the total…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-22 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Pratima Hebbar , Leonid Koralov , Mark Perlman

We consider a generic class of stochastic particle-based models whose state at an instant in time is described by a set of continuous degrees of freedom (e.g. positions), and the length of this set changes stochastically in time due to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-03 Samuel Cameron , Elsen Tjhung

We study general stochastic birth and death processes including delay. We develop several approaches for the analytical treatment of these non-Markovian systems, valid, not only for constant delays, but also for stochastic delays with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-11 Luis F. Lafuerza , Raul Toral

In this paper, we consider time-inhomogeneous branching processes and time-inhomogeneous birth-and-death processes, in which the offspring distribution and birth and death rates (respectively) vary in time. A classical result of branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-02 Nicholas Bhattacharya , Mark Perlman

In numerous papers, the behaviour of stochastic population models is investigated through the sign of a real quantity which is the growth rate of the population near the extinction set. In many cases, it is proven that when this growth rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-06 Dang H. Nguyen , Edouard Strickler