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Predicting the winner of an election is of importance to multiple stakeholders. To formulate the problem, we consider an independent sequence of categorical data with a finite number of possible outcomes in each. The data is assumed to be…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-17 Soudeep Deb , Rishideep Roy , Shubhabrata Das

We propose and study a system whose dynamics are governed by predictions of its future states. General formalism and concrete examples are presented. We find that the dynamical characteristics depend on both how to shape predictions as well…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Toru Ohira

We give an overview of the diverse electoral systems used in local, national, or super-national elections around the world. We discuss existing methods for selecting single and multiple winners and give real-world examples for some more…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-25 Siamak F. Shahandashti

Plurality and approval voting are two well-known voting systems with different strengths and weaknesses. In this paper we consider a new voting system we call beta(k) which allows voters to select a single first-choice candidate and approve…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-06-02 Peter Butler , Jerry Lin

In this paper, a new method of detection of election fraud is proposed. This method is based on the calculation of the ratio of two standard normal random variables; estimation of parameters of obtained sample and comparison of these…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-20 Ivan H. Krykun

Ensembles of random stochastic and bistochastic matrices are investigated. While all columns of a random stochastic matrix can be chosen independently, the rows and columns of a bistochastic matrix have to be correlated. We evaluate the…

Exactly Solvable and Integrable Systems · Physics 2009-09-29 V. Cappellini , H. -J. Sommers , W. Bruzda , K. Zyczkowski

Ensuring safety through set invariance has proven to be a valuable method in various robotics and control applications. This paper introduces a comprehensive framework for the safe probabilistic invariance verification of both discrete- and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-06 Taoran Wu , Yiqing Yu , Bican Xia , Ji Wang , Bai Xue

Fixation probabilities are essential for characterizing stochastic evolutionary dynamics, but analytical results remain limited mainly to systems with two competing types. We develop a perturbative framework to compute fixation…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-15 Ian Braga , Lucas Wardil , Ricardo Martinez-Garcia

We propose a new way of thinking about one parameter persistence. We believe topological persistence is fundamentally not about decomposition theorems but a central role is played by a choice of metrics. Choosing a pseudometric between…

Algebraic Topology · Mathematics 2020-02-07 Wojciech Chachólski , Henri Riihimäki

We introduce a general framework for analysing general probabilistic theories, which emphasises the distinction between the dynamical and probabilistic structures of a system. The dynamical structure is the set of pure states together with…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-05-26 Thomas D. Galley , Lluis Masanes

Fairness in multiwinner elections, a growing line of research in computational social choice, primarily concerns the use of constraints to ensure fairness. Recent work proposed a model to find a diverse \emph{and} representative committee…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Kunal Relia

Probabilistic frames are a generalization of finite frames into the Wasserstein space of probability measures with finite second moment. We introduce new probabilistic definitions of duality, analysis, and synthesis and investigate their…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2017-05-03 Clare Wickman , Kasso Okoudjou

The concept of "stochastic precedence" between two real-valued random variables has often emerged in different applied frameworks. In this paper we consider a slightly more general, and completely natural, concept of stochastic precedence…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-17 Emilio De Santis , Fabio Fantozzi , Fabio Spizzichino

We consider a two-round election model involving $m$ voters and $n$ candidates. Each voter is endowed with a strict preference list ranking the candidates. In the first round, the candidates are partitioned into two subsets, $A$ and $B$,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Emilio De Santis , Antonio Di Crescenzo , Verdiana Mustaro

We prove a motivic stabilization result for the cohomology of the local systems on configuration spaces of varieties over $\mathbb{C}$ attached to character polynomials. Our approach interprets the stabilization as a probabilistic…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2020-12-16 Sean Howe

This paper introduces a novel binary stability property for voting rules-called binary self-selectivity-by which a society considering whether to replace its voting rule using itself in pairwise elections will choose not to do so. In…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-27 Héctor Hermida-Rivera , Toygar T. Kerman

We consider a 2-dimensional stochastic differential equation in polar coordinates depending on several parameters. We show that if these parameters belong to a specific regime then the deterministic system explodes in finite time, but the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-06-17 Matti Leimbach , Jonathan C. Mattingly , Michael Scheutzow

In the impartial selection problem, a subset of agents up to a fixed size $k$ among a group of $n$ is to be chosen based on votes cast by the agents themselves. A selection mechanism is impartial if no agent can influence its own chance of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-08-06 Javier Cembrano , Svenja M. Griesbach , Maximilian J. Stahlberg

We establish common fixed point theorems for two pairs of weakly compatible self-mappings using an auxiliary function of two variables. Unlike classical results, our theorems do not assume continuity of the mappings and require completeness…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2025-09-10 Babu G. V. R. , Alemayehu Negash , Sandhya M. L. , Meaza Bogale

Many networks do not live in isolation but are strongly interacting, with profound consequences on their dynamics. Here, we consider the case of two interacting social networks and, in the context of a simple model, we address the case of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-11 Arda Halu , Kun Zhao , Andrea Baronchelli , Ginestra Bianconi