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When a subgroup is identified from the data, it must be evaluated in a replicable way. The usual in-sample approach, which evaluates the post-hoc identified subgroup as predefined, might suffer from selection bias. This issue of in-sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Shuoxun Xu , Xinzhou Guo

We consider learning with possibilistic supervision for multi-class classification. For each training instance, the supervision is a normalized possibility distribution that expresses graded plausibility over the classes. From this…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Ismaïl Baaj , Pierre Marquis

Machine learning typically presupposes classical probability theory which implies that aggregation is built upon expectation. There are now multiple reasons to motivate looking at richer alternatives to classical probability theory as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-30 Christian Fröhlich , Robert C. Williamson

Federated Learning is a framework that jointly trains a model \textit{with} complete knowledge on a remotely placed centralized server, but \textit{without} the requirement of accessing the data stored in distributed machines. Some work…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Jia Qian , Lars Kai Hansen , Xenofon Fafoutis , Prayag Tiwari , Hari Mohan Pandey

Classifier calibration does not always go hand in hand with the classifier's ability to separate the classes. There are applications where good classifier calibration, i.e. the ability to produce accurate probability estimates, is more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Tuomo Alasalmi , Jaakko Suutala , Heli Koskimäki , Juha Röning

Modern deep learning based classifiers show very high accuracy on test data but this does not provide sufficient guarantees for safe deployment, especially in high-stake AI applications such as medical diagnosis. Usually, predictions are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-09 David Stutz , Krishnamurthy , Dvijotham , Ali Taylan Cemgil , Arnaud Doucet

Reliable uncertainty quantification is essential for deploying machine learning systems in high-stakes domains. Conformal prediction provides distribution-free coverage guarantees but often produces overly large prediction sets, limiting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Yunpeng Xu , Wenge Guo , Zhi Wei

In unsupervised ensemble learning, one obtains predictions from multiple sources or classifiers, yet without knowing the reliability and expertise of each source, and with no labeled data to assess it. The task is to combine these possibly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-02-24 Ariel Jaffe , Ethan Fetaya , Boaz Nadler , Tingting Jiang , Yuval Kluger

In learning from aggregate labels, the training data consists of sets or "bags" of feature-vectors (instances) along with an aggregate label for each bag derived from the (usually {0,1}-valued) labels of its instances. In learning from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-12 Yukti Makhija , Rishi Saket

We compare and contrast two approaches to validating a trained classifier while using all in-sample data for training. One is simultaneous validation over an organized set of hypotheses (SVOOSH), the well-known method that began with VC…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-10-12 Eric Bax , Ya Le

We present and empirically evaluate an efficient algorithm that learns to aggregate the predictions of an ensemble of binary classifiers. The algorithm uses the structure of the ensemble predictions on unlabeled data to yield significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-12 Akshay Balsubramani , Yoav Freund

Post-hoc multi-class calibration is a common approach for providing high-quality confidence estimates of deep neural network predictions. Recent work has shown that widely used scaling methods underestimate their calibration error, while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Kanil Patel , William Beluch , Bin Yang , Michael Pfeiffer , Dan Zhang

Many classification problems can be difficult to formulate directly in terms of the traditional supervised setting, where both training and test samples are individual feature vectors. There are cases in which samples are better described…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-12 Veronika Cheplygina , David M. J. Tax , Marco Loog

Though neural network models demonstrate impressive performance, we do not understand exactly how these black-box models make individual predictions. This drawback has led to substantial research devoted to understand these models in areas…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-10 Serena Booth , Ankit Shah , Yilun Zhou , Julie Shah

Conformal prediction provides model-agnostic and distribution-free uncertainty quantification through prediction sets that are guaranteed to include the ground truth with any user-specified probability. Yet, conformal prediction is not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-18 Yan Scholten , Stephan Günnemann

In many operational applications, it is necessary to routinely find, within a very limited time window, provably good solutions to challenging mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) problems. An example is the Security-Constrained Unit…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-23 Xiaoyi Gu , Santanu S. Dey , Álinson S. Xavier , Feng Qiu

This paper addresses binary classification in scenarios where obtaining explicit instance level labels is impractical, by exploiting multiple weak labels defined on instance pairs. The existing SconfConfDiff classification framework relies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Tomoya Tate , Kosuke Sugiyama , Masato Uchida

Proposition. Let $f$ be a predictor trained on a distribution $P$ and evaluated on a shifted distribution $Q$. Under verifiable regularity and complexity constraints, the excess risk under shift admits an explicit upper bound determined by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Chandrasekhar Gokavarapu , Sudhakar Gadde , Y. Rajasekhar , S. R. Bhargava

Many learning tasks can be viewed as sequence prediction problems. For example, online classification can be converted to sequence prediction with the sequence being pairs of input/target data and where the goal is to correctly predict the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-02-10 Tor Lattimore , Marcus Hutter , Vaibhav Gavane

Topic models provide a useful tool to organize and understand the structure of large corpora of text documents, in particular, to discover hidden thematic structure. Clustering documents from big unstructured corpora into topics is an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-09 Olga Klopp , Maxim Panov , Suzanne Sigalla , Alexandre Tsybakov
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