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Approximate Bayesian inference methods that scale to very large datasets are crucial in leveraging probabilistic models for real-world time series. Sparse Markovian Gaussian processes combine the use of inducing variables with efficient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-10 William J. Wilkinson , Arno Solin , Vincent Adam

We consider the problem of recovering two-dimensional (2-D) block-sparse signals with \emph{unknown} cluster patterns. Two-dimensional block-sparse patterns arise naturally in many practical applications such as foreground detection and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-05-25 Jun Fang , Lizao Zhang , Hongbin Li

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) can be used for model fitting when the likelihood function is intractable but simulating from the model is feasible. However, even a single evaluation of a complex model may take several hours,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-19 Marko Järvenpää , Michael Gutmann , Aki Vehtari , Pekka Marttinen

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a powerful tool for probabilistic inference over functions. They have been applied to both regression and non-linear dimensionality reduction, and offer desirable properties such as uncertainty estimates,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-01 Yarin Gal , Mark van der Wilk , Carl E. Rasmussen

The Gaussian process (GP) is a widely used probabilistic machine learning method with implicit uncertainty characterization for stochastic function approximation, stochastic modeling, and analyzing real-world measurements of nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-14 Mark D. Risser , Marcus M. Noack , Hengrui Luo , Ronald Pandolfi

Gaussian processes (GPs) are commonly used for prediction and inference for spatial data analyses. However, since estimation and prediction tasks have cubic time and quadratic memory complexity in number of locations, GPs are difficult to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-05 Mohamed A. Abba , Brian J. Reich , Reetam Majumder , Brandon Feng

A new algorithm is developed to tackle the issue of sampling non-Gaussian model parameter posterior probability distributions that arise from solutions to Bayesian inverse problems. The algorithm aims to mitigate some of the hurdles faced…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-19 Leen Alawieh , Jonathan Goodman , John B. Bell

In this work, we use Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) as statistical surrogates for stochastic processes with complex distributions. Conventional inferential methods for DGP models can suffer from high computational complexity as they require…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-02 Liang Ding , Rui Tuo , Shahin Shahrampour

Geostatistics is a branch of statistics concerned with stochastic processes over continuous domains, with Gaussian processes (GPs) providing a flexible and principled modelling framework. However, the high computational cost of simulating…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-20 Flávio B. Gonçalves , Marcos O. Prates , Gareth O. Roberts

This paper presents a new approach for Gaussian process (GP) regression for large datasets. The approach involves partitioning the regression input domain into multiple local regions with a different local GP model fitted in each region.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-10 Chiwoo Park , Daniel Apley

Employing a large dataset (at most, the order of n = 10^6), this study attempts enhance the literature on the comparison between regression and machine learning (ML)-based rent price prediction models by adding new empirical evidence and…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-28 Takahiro Yoshida , Hajime Seya

We derive a Matern Gaussian process (GP) on the vertices of a hypergraph. This enables estimation of regression models of observed or latent values associated with the vertices, in which the correlation and uncertainty estimates are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-04 Thomas Pinder , Kathryn Turnbull , Christopher Nemeth , David Leslie

The next generation of Department of Energy supercomputers will be capable of exascale computation. For these machines, far more computation will be possible than that which can be saved to disk. As a result, users will be unable to rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-23 Michael Grosskopf , Kellin Rumsey , Ayan Biswas , Earl Lawrence

Distributed Gaussian process (DGP) is a popular approach to scale GP to big data which divides the training data into some subsets, performs local inference for each partition, and aggregates the results to acquire global prediction. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-08 Hamed Jalali , Gjergji Kasneci

This paper is concerned with a state-space approach to deep Gaussian process (DGP) regression. We construct the DGP by hierarchically putting transformed Gaussian process (GP) priors on the length scales and magnitudes of the next level of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-24 Zheng Zhao , Muhammad Emzir , Simo Särkkä

Modeling response surfaces with abrupt jumps and discontinuities remains a major challenge across scientific and engineering domains. Although Gaussian process models excel at capturing smooth nonlinear relationships, their stationarity…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-16 Isaac Adjetey , Yiyuan She

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are popular surrogate models for complex nonstationary computer experiments. DGPs use one or more latent Gaussian processes (GPs) to warp the input space into a plausibly stationary regime, then use typical GP…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Annie S. Booth

We study the task of spatio-temporal extrapolation that generates data at target locations from surrounding contexts in a graph. This task is crucial as sensors that collect data are sparsely deployed, resulting in a lack of fine-grained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-31 Junfeng Hu , Yuxuan Liang , Zhencheng Fan , Hongyang Chen , Yu Zheng , Roger Zimmermann

We introduce a new scalable approximation for Gaussian processes with provable guarantees which hold simultaneously over its entire parameter space. Our approximation is obtained from an improved sample complexity analysis for sparse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-18 Quang Minh Hoang , Trong Nghia Hoang , Hai Pham , David P. Woodruff

We introduce a novel Bayesian approach for variable selection using Gaussian process regression, which is crucial for enhancing interpretability and model regularization. Our method employs nearest neighbor Gaussian processes, serving as…

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