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Many popular estimation methods in panel data rely on the assumption that the covariates of interest are strictly exogenous. However, this assumption is empirically restrictive in a wide range of settings. In this paper I argue that…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-22 Stephane Bonhomme

This paper introduces a quantile regression estimator for panel data models with individual heterogeneity and attrition. The method is motivated by the fact that attrition bias is often encountered in Big Data applications. For example,…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-08-13 Matthew Harding , Carlos Lamarche

Predicting the economy's short-term dynamics -- a vital input to economic agents' decision-making process -- often uses lagged indicators in linear models. This is typically sufficient during normal times but could prove inadequate during…

General Economics · Economics 2024-05-21 James T. E. Chapman , Ajit Desai

This paper studies the dynamic programming principle using the measurable selection method for stochastic control of continuous processes. The novelty of this work is to incorporate intermediate expectation constraints on the canonical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-22 Yuk-Loong Chow , Xiang Yu , Chao Zhou

In this survey we discuss the recent causal panel data literature. This recent literature has focused on credibly estimating causal effects of binary interventions in settings with longitudinal data, emphasizing practical advice for…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-26 Dmitry Arkhangelsky , Guido Imbens

We propose model predictive funnel control, a novel model predictive control (MPC) scheme building upon recent results in funnel control. The latter is a high-gain feedback methodology that achieves evolution of the measured output within…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Jens Göbel , Dario Dennstädt , Lukas Lanza , Karl Worthmann , Thomas Berger , Tobias Damm

Predictable forward performance processes (PFPPs) are stochastic optimal control frameworks for an agent who controls a randomly evolving system but can only prescribe the system dynamics for a short period ahead. This is a common scenario…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-26 Bahman Angoshtari , Shida Duan

Economic model predictive control and tracking model predictive control are two popular advanced process control strategies used in various of fields. Nevertheless, which one should be chosen to achieve better performance in the presence of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-07 Jiangbang Liu , Song Bo , Benjamin Decardi-Nelson , Jinfeng Liu , Jingtao Hu , Tao Zou

We address the problem of providing inference from a Bayesian perspective for parameters selected after viewing the data. We present a Bayesian framework for providing inference for selected parameters, based on the observation that…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-13 Daniel Yekutieli

This paper addresses the problem of identifying and estimating the causal effect of a treatment in the presence of unmeasured confounding and various types of right-censoring. Examples of these censoring mechanisms are administrative…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Ilias Willems , Sara Rutten , Gilles Crommen , Ingrid Van Keilegom

Decision support systems for classification tasks are predominantly designed to predict the value of the ground truth labels. However, since their predictions are not perfect, these systems also need to make human experts understand when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Eleni Straitouri , Manuel Gomez Rodriguez

In pharmaceutical and toxicological research, historical control data are increasingly used to validate concurrent control groups, typically via the construction of historical control limits. While methods have been described for continuous…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Sören Budig , Frank Schaarschmidt , Max Menssen

We consider after-study statistical inference for sequentially designed experiments wherein multiple units are assigned treatments for multiple time points using treatment policies that adapt over time. Our goal is to provide inference…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-10 Raaz Dwivedi , Katherine Tian , Sabina Tomkins , Predrag Klasnja , Susan Murphy , Devavrat Shah

In economic theory, an agent chooses from available alternatives -- modeled as a set. In decisions in the field or in the lab, however, agents do not have access to the set of alternatives at once. Instead, alternatives are represented by…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Paulo Oliva , Philipp Zahn

Policy learning utilizing observational data is pivotal across various domains, with the objective of learning the optimal treatment assignment policy while adhering to specific constraints such as fairness, budget, and simplicity. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-12 Pan Zhao , Antoine Chambaz , Julie Josse , Shu Yang

Probabilistic models inform an increasingly broad range of business and policy decisions ultimately made by people. Recent algorithmic, computational, and software framework development progress facilitate the proliferation of Bayesian…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-01-12 Sebastian Stein , John H. Williamson

We propose a method of retrospective counterfactual imputation in panel data settings with later-treated and always-treated units, but no never-treated units. We use the observed outcomes to impute the counterfactual outcomes of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-03 Jason Poulos , Andrea Albanese , Andrea Mercatanti , Fan Li

We introduce novel estimators for quantile causal effects with high dimensional panel data (large $N$ and $T$), where only one or a few units are affected by the intervention or policy. Our method extends the generalized synthetic control…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-19 Yihong Xu , Li Zheng

Two-sided matching markets have long existed to pair agents in the absence of regulated exchanges. A common example is school choice, where a matching mechanism uses student and school preferences to assign students to schools. In such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-17 Stefania Ionescu , Yuhao Du , Kenneth Joseph , Anikó Hannák

We consider regression problems where the number of predictors greatly exceeds the number of observations. We propose a method for variable selection that first estimates the regression function, yielding a "pre-conditioned" response…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-16 Debashis Paul , Eric Bair , Trevor Hastie , Robert Tibshirani