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I propose a finite sample inference procedure that uses a likelihood function derived from the randomization process within an experiment to conduct inference on various quantities that capture heterogeneous intervention effects. One such…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-03 Amanda Kowalski

Using only a binary intervention and outcome and the design of the randomization within an experiment, we construct a design-based likelihood of the joint distribution of potential outcomes in the sample -- the numbers of always takers,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-24 Neil Christy , Amanda Ellen Kowalski

In an empirical study of persuasion, researchers often use a binary instrument to encourage individuals to consume information and take some action. We show that, with a binary Imbens-Angrist instrumental variable model and the monotone…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-02 Zeyang Yu

In this paper, we develop a method to assess the sensitivity of local average treatment effect estimates to potential violations of the monotonicity assumption of Imbens and Angrist (1994). We parameterize the degree to which monotonicity…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-06-14 Claudia Noack

This paper studies the identifying content of the instrument monotonicity assumption of Imbens and Angrist (1994) on the distribution of potential outcomes in a model with a binary outcome, a binary treatment and an exogenous binary…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-10-17 Vishal Kamat

In many machine learning applications, there are multiple decision-makers involved, both automated and human. The interaction between these agents often goes unaddressed in algorithmic development. In this work, we explore a simple version…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-10 David Madras , Toniann Pitassi , Richard Zemel

A random set is a generalisation of a random variable, i.e. a set-valued random variable. The random set theory allows a unification of other uncertainty descriptions such as interval variable, mass belief function in Dempster-Shafer theory…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-11-27 Truong-Vinh Hoang , Hermann G. Matthies

Adaptive experiments such as multi-arm bandits adapt the treatment-allocation policy and/or the decision to stop the experiment to the data observed so far. This has the potential to improve outcomes for study participants within the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-03 Aurélien Bibaut , Nathan Kallus

The instrumental variable method is a prominent approach to recover under certain conditions, valid inference about a treatment causal effect even when unmeasured confounding might be present. In a groundbreaking paper, Imbens and Angrist…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-13 Eric J Tchetgen Tchetgen

Biases in the dataset often enable the model to achieve high performance on in-distribution data, while poorly performing on out-of-distribution data. To mitigate the detrimental effect of the bias on the networks, previous works have…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-12-07 Eojin Jeon , Mingyu Lee , Juhyeong Park , Yeachan Kim , Wing-Lam Mok , SangKeun Lee

We focus on the problem estimating a monotone trend function under additive and dependent noise. New point-wise confidence interval estimators under both short- and long-range dependent errors are introduced and studied. These intervals are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-23 Pramita Bagchi , Moulinath Banerjee , Stilian Stoev

Standard instrumental variables (IV) methods identify a Local Average Treatment Effect under monotonicity, which rules out defiers. In many empirical environments, however, distinct instruments may induce heterogeneous and even opposing…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-16 Johann Caro-Burnett

Inferring causal relationships from observational data is often challenging due to endogeneity. This paper provides new identification results for causal effects of discrete, ordered and continuous treatments using multiple binary…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-21 Nadja van 't Hoff

Instrumental variables are a popular study design for the estimation of treatment effects in the presence of unobserved confounders. In the canonical instrumental variables design, the instrument is a binary variable. In many settings,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-10 Prabrisha Rakshit , Alexander Levis , Luke Keele

This article addresses the issue of estimating observation parameters (response and error parameters) in inverse problems. The focus is on cases where regularization is introduced in a Bayesian framework and the prior is modeled by a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-13 Jean-François Giovannelli

We present a study of surrogate losses and algorithms for the general problem of learning to defer with multiple experts. We first introduce a new family of surrogate losses specifically tailored for the multiple-expert setting, where the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-02 Anqi Mao , Mehryar Mohri , Yutao Zhong

Accurate delay models are important for static and dynamic timing analysis of digital circuits, and mandatory for formal verification. However, F\"ugger et al. [IEEE TC 2016] proved that pure and inertial delays, which are employed for…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-12-08 Matthias Függer , Jürgen Maier , Robert Najvirt , Thomas Nowak , Ulrich Schmid

Recent studies on Next-basket Recommendation (NBR) have achieved much progress by leveraging Personalized Item Frequency (PIF) as one of the main features, which measures the frequency of the user's interactions with the item. However,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-11-17 Xiaohan Li , Zheng Liu , Luyi Ma , Kaushiki Nag , Stephen Guo , Philip Yu , Kannan Achan

The study of online decision-making problems that leverage contextual information has drawn notable attention due to their significant applications in fields ranging from healthcare to autonomous systems. In modern applications, contextual…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-22 Qiyu Han , Will Wei Sun , Yichen Zhang

When constructing a model to estimate the causal effect of a treatment, it is necessary to control for other factors which may have confounding effects. Because the ignorability assumption is not testable, however, it is usually unclear…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Spencer Woody , Carlos M. Carvalho , Jared S. Murray
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