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Basketball shot charts provide valuable information regarding local patterns of in-game performance to coaches, players, sports analysts, and statisticians. The spatial patterns of where shots were attempted and whether the shots were…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-05 Jiahao Cao , Qingpo Cai , Lance A. Waller , DeMarc A. Hickson , Guanyu Hu , Jian Kang

Basketball shot location data provide valuable summary information regarding players to coaches, sports analysts, fans, statisticians, as well as players themselves. Represented by spatial points, such data are naturally analyzed with…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-24 Fan Yin , Jieying Jiao , Guanyu Hu , Jun Yan

Shot charts in basketball analytics provide an indispensable tool for evaluating players' shooting performance by visually representing the distribution of field goal attempts across different court locations. However, conventional methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-16 Luca Scrucca , Dimitris Karlis

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric matrix clustering approach to analyze the latent heterogeneity structure in the shot selection data collected from professional basketball players in the National Basketball Association (NBA). The…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-19 Fan Yin , Guanyu Hu , Weining Shen

We develop a machine learning approach to represent and analyze the underlying spatial structure that governs shot selection among professional basketball players in the NBA. Typically, NBA players are discussed and compared in an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-01-09 Andrew Miller , Luke Bornn , Ryan Adams , Kirk Goldsberry

Basketball analytics has significantly advanced our understanding of the game, with shot selection emerging as a critical factor in both individual and team performance. With the advent of player tracking technologies, a wealth of granular…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-12 Jiahao Cao , Hou-Cheng Yang , Guanyu Hu

Shooting location is a core indicator of offensive style in invasion sports. Existing basketball shot-chart analyses often use spatial information for descriptive visualization, location-based efficiency modeling, or clustering players into…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Kazuhiro Yamada , Keisuke Fujii

We propose a multidimensional tensor clustering approach for studying how professional basketball players' shooting patterns vary over court locations and game time. Unlike most existing methods that only study continuous-valued tensors or…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-23 Guanyu Hu , Yishu Xue , Weining Shen

In this paper, we develop a group learning approach to analyze the underlying heterogeneity structure of shot selection among professional basketball players in the NBA. We propose a mixture of finite mixtures (MFM) model to capture the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-21 Guanyu Hu , Hou-Cheng Yang , Yishu Xue

This paper develops metrics from a social network perspective that are directly translatable to the outcome of a basketball game. We extend a state-of-the-art multi-resolution stochastic process approach to modeling basketball by modeling…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-01 Fan Bu , Sonia Xu , Katherine Heller , Alexander Volfovsky

Sports data analytics is a relevant topic in applied statistics that has been growing in importance in recent years. In basketball, a player or team has a hot hand when their performance during a match is better than expected or they are on…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-02 Gabriel Calvo , Carmen Armero , Luigi Spezia

I address the difficult challenge of measuring the relative influence of competing basketball game strategies, and I apply my analysis to plays resulting in three-point shots. I use a glut of SportVU player tracking data from over 600 NBA…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-22 Bradley A. Sliz

In this paper, we develop a novel depth-based testing procedure on spatial point processes to examine the difference in made and missed field goal attempts for NBA players. Specifically, our testing procedure can statistically detect the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-19 Kai Qi , Guanyu Hu , Wei Wu

Consider the problem of modeling memory effects in discrete-state random walks using higher-order Markov chains. This paper explores cross validation and information criteria as proxies for a model's predictive accuracy. Our objective is to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-22 Joshua C. Chang

Every shot in basketball has an opportunity cost; one player's shot eliminates all potential opportunities from their teammates for that play. For this reason, player-shot efficiency should ultimately be considered relative to the lineup.…

Applications · Statistics 2021-04-19 Nathan Sandholtz , Jacob Mortensen , Luke Bornn

In this paper, we propose two novel basketball metrics: ``expected points'' for team-based comparisons and ``expected points above average (EPAA)'' as a player-evaluation tool. Established within the Bayesian hierarchical model framework,…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-08-05 Benjamin Williams , Erin M. Schliep , Bailey Fosdick , Ryan Elmore

Traditional NBA player evaluation metrics are based on scoring differential or some pace-adjusted linear combination of box score statistics like points, rebounds, assists, etc. These measures treat performances with the outcome of the game…

Applications · Statistics 2023-09-21 Sameer K. Deshpande , Shane T. Jensen

In this paper, Poisson time series models are considered to describe the number of field goals made by a basketball team or player at both the game (within-season) and the minute (within-game) level. To deal with the existence of temporal…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-05 Álvaro Briz-Redón

In this paper we model basketball plays as episodes from team-specific non-stationary Markov decision processes (MDPs) with shot clock dependent transition probabilities. Bayesian hierarchical models are employed in the modeling and…

Applications · Statistics 2021-04-19 Nathan Sandholtz , Luke Bornn

Although basketball is a dynamic process sport, with 5 plus 5 players competing on both offense and defense simultaneously, learning some static information is predominant for professional players, coaches and team mangers. In order to have…

Applications · Statistics 2021-04-05 Guanyu Hu , Hou-Cheng Yang , Yishu Xue , Dipak K. Dey
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