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Related papers: Ensemble Kalman Inversion: mean-field limit and co…

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Many parameter estimation problems arising in applications are best cast in the framework of Bayesian inversion. This allows not only for an estimate of the parameters, but also for the quantification of uncertainties in the estimates.…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-28 Emmet Cleary , Alfredo Garbuno-Inigo , Shiwei Lan , Tapio Schneider , Andrew M Stuart

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a popular technique for performing inference in state-space models (SSMs), particularly when the dynamic process is high-dimensional. Unlike reweighting methods such as sequential Monte Carlo (SMC, i.e.…

We address the problem of uncertainty propagation and Bayesian fusion on unimodular Lie groups. Starting from a stochastic differential equation (SDE) defined on Lie groups via Mckean-Gangolli injection, we first convert it to a parametric…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-10 Jikai Ye , Gregory S. Chirikjian

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) has become a standard methodology for state estimation in high-dimensional systems, yet its various stochastic and deterministic formulations often appear conceptually disconnected. In this paper, a unified…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Jin Won Kim

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is the most popular approach to inferring parameters in the case where the data model is specified in the form of a simulator. It is not possible to directly implement standard Monte Carlo methods for…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-29 Richard G Everitt

This paper investigates an approximation scheme of the optimal nonlinear Bayesian filter based on the Gaussian mixture representation of the state probability distribution function. The resulting filter is similar to the particle filter,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-30 Ibrahim Hoteit , Xiaodong Luo , Dinh-Tuan Pham

We study the convergence to equilibrium of the mean field PDE associated with the derivative-free methodologies for solving inverse problems. We show stability estimates in the euclidean Wasserstein distance for the mean field PDE by using…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-10-24 J. A. Carrillo , U. Vaes

Many applications, such as intermittent data assimilation, lead to a recursive application of Bayesian inference within a Monte Carlo context. Popular data assimilation algorithms include sequential Monte Carlo methods and ensemble Kalman…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-01-15 Sebastian Reich

Kernel learning forward backward SDE filter is an iterative and adaptive meshfree approach to solve the nonlinear filtering problem. It builds from forward backward SDE for Fokker-Planker equation, which defines evolving density for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Yunzheng Lyu , Feng Bao

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a method for combining a dynamical model with data in a sequential fashion. Despite its widespread use, there has been little analysis of its theoretical properties. Many of the algorithmic innovations…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-17 D. T. B. Kelly , K. J. H. Law , A. M. Stuart

Variational inference (VI) combined with Bayesian nonlinear filtering produces state-of-the-art results for latent time-series modeling. A body of recent work has focused on sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) and its variants, e.g., forward…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-10 Tsuyoshi Ishizone , Tomoyuki Higuchi , Kazuyuki Nakamura

The ensemble Kalman inversion is widely used in practice to estimate unknown parameters from noisy measurement data. Its low computational costs, straightforward implementation, and non-intrusive nature makes the method appealing in various…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Dirk Blömker , Claudia Schillings , Philipp Wacker , Simon Weissmann

This paper deals with a class of neural SDEs and studies the limiting behavior of the associated sampled optimal control problems as the sample size grows to infinity. The neural SDEs with $N$ samples can be linked to the $N$-particle…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-19 Huafu Liao , Alpár R. Mészáros , Chenchen Mou , Chao Zhou

Consensus based optimization (CBO) employs a swarm of particles evolving as a system of stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Recently, it has been adapted to yield a derivative free sampling method referred to as consensus based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-06 Marvin Koß , Simon Weissmann , Jakob Zech

The analysis step of the ensemble Kalman filter, called the ensemble Kalman update (EnKU), is widely used for approximating posterior distributions in inverse problems and data assimilation. The EnKU approximates the posterior distribution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Frederic J. N. Jorgensen , Youssef M. Marzouk

Randomized algorithms exploit stochasticity to reduce computational complexity. One important example is random feature regression (RFR) that accelerates Gaussian process regression (GPR). RFR approximates an unknown function with a random…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Oliver R. A. Dunbar , Nicholas H. Nelsen , Maya Mutic

This paper extends the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) for inverse problems to identify trending model coefficients. This is done by repeatedly inflating the ensemble while maintaining the mean of the particles. As a benchmark serves a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-30 M. Schwenzer , G. Visconti , M. Ay , T. Bergs , M. Herty , D. Abel

Ensemble data assimilation methods such as the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) are a key component of probabilistic weather forecasting. They represent the uncertainty in the initial conditions by an ensemble which incorporates information…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-17 Sylvain Robert , Daniel Leuenberger , Hans R. Künsch

This paper investigates the approximation of stochastic delay differential equations (SDDEs) via the backward Euler-Maruyama (BEM) method under generalized monotonicity and Khasminskii-type conditions in the infinite horizon. First, by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-20 Yudong Wang , Hongjiong Tian

This paper develops an efficient implementation of the ensemble Kalman filter based on a modified Cholesky decomposition for inverse covariance matrix estimation. This implementation is named EnKF-MC. Background errors corresponding to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-31 Elias D. Nino , Adrian Sandu , Xinwei Deng
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