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We investigate a model for spatial epidemics explicitly taking into account bi-directional movements between base and destination locations on individual mobility networks. We provide a systematic analysis of generic dynamical features of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-03-07 Vitaly Belik , Theo Geisel , Dirk Brockmann

We investigate how the properties of epidemic networks change depending on the availability of different types of data on a disease outbreak. This is achieved by introducing mathematical and computational methods that estimate the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-09-03 Oscar Fajardo-Fontiveros , Carl J. E. Suster , Eduardo G. Altmann

Networks are representations of complex underlying social processes. However, the same given network may be more suitable to model one behavior of individuals than another. In many cases, aggregate population models may be more effective…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-08-22 Ivan Brugere , Chris Kanich , Tanya Y. Berger-Wolf

A generalization of the standard susceptible-infectious-removed (SIR) stochastic model for epidemics in sparse random networks is introduced which incorporates contact tracing in addition to random screening. We propose a deterministic…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-11-07 Ramon Huerta , Lev S. Tsimring

This document is the Part IV of the book 'Stochastic Epidemic Models with Inference' edited by Tom Britton and Etienne Pardoux. It is written by Catherine Lar\'edo, with the contribution of Viet Chi Tran for the Chapter 4. Epidemic data…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-17 Catherine Larédo , Viet Chi Tran

In this expository paper we give an overview of some statistical methods for the monitoring of social networks. We discuss the advantages and limitations of various methods as well as some relevant issues. One of our primary contributions…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2016-04-01 William H. Woodall , Meng J. Zhao , Kamran Paynabar , Ross Sparks , James D. Wilson

Latent space models are powerful statistical tools for modeling and understanding network data. While the importance of accounting for uncertainty in network analysis has been well recognized, the current literature predominantly focuses on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-15 Jinming Li , Shihao Wu , Chengyu Cui , Gongjun Xu , Ji Zhu

Analytical description of propagation phenomena on random networks has flourished in recent years, yet more complex systems have mainly been studied through numerical means. In this paper, a mean-field description is used to coherently…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-10-08 Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Pierre-André Noël , Vincent Marceau , Antoine Allard , Louis J. Dubé

We propose a model for epidemic spreading on a finite complex network with a restriction to at most one contamination per time step. Because of a highly discrete character of the process, the analysis cannot use the continous approximation,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-07-23 Wojciech Ganczarek

Contagion processes on networks, including disease spreading, information diffusion, or social behaviors propagation, can be modeled as simple contagion, i.e. involving one connection at a time, or as complex contagion, in which multiple…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-19 Giulia Cencetti , Diego Andrés Contreras , Marco Mancastroppa , Alain Barrat

We discuss various models for epidemics on networks that rely on Markov chains. Random walks on graphs are often used to predict epidemic spread and to investigate possible control actions to mitigate them. In this study, we demonstrate…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-07-07 Sooyeong Kim , Jane Breen , Ekaterina Dudkina , Federico Poloni , Emanuele Crisostomi

Contagion processes are strongly linked to the network structures on which they propagate, and learning these structures is essential for understanding and intervention on complex network processes such as epidemics and (mis)information…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-08-12 Caitlin Gray , Lewis Mitchell , Matthew Roughan

Stochastic processes can model many emerging phenomena on networks, like the spread of computer viruses, rumors, or infectious diseases. Understanding the dynamics of such stochastic spreading processes is therefore of fundamental interest.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-01-07 Gerrit Großmann , Verena Wolf

Mixture models are probabilistic models aimed at uncovering and representing latent subgroups within a population. In the realm of network data analysis, the latent subgroups of nodes are typically identified by their connectivity…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-27 Giacomo De Nicola , Benjamin Sischka , Göran Kauermann

The importance of the ability of predict trends in social media has been growing rapidly in the past few years with the growing dominance of social media in our everyday's life. Whereas many works focus on the detection of anomalies in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2011-11-22 Yaniv Altshuler , Wei Pan , Alex Pentland

After the recent COVID-19 outbreaks, it became increasingly evident that individuals' thoughts and beliefs can have a strong impact on disease transmission. It becomes therefore important to understand how information and opinions on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-09-27 Giacomo Albi , Elisa Calzola , Giacomo Dimarco , Mattia Zanella

Inferring how an epidemic will progress and what actions to take when presented with limited information is of critical importance for epidemiologists and health professionals. In real world settings, epidemiology data can be scarce or…

Computation · Statistics 2022-11-02 Georgios Efstathiadis

The importance of spatial networks in the spread of an epidemic is an essential aspect in modeling the dynamics of an infectious disease. Additionally, any realistic data-driven model must take into account the large uncertainty in the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-17 Giulia Bertaglia , Lorenzo Pareschi

Traditionally, statistical and causal inference on human subjects rely on the assumption that individuals are independently affected by treatments or exposures. However, recently there has been increasing interest in settings, such as…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-25 Elizabeth L. Ogburn , Ilya Shpitser , Youjin Lee

We consider an infectious disease spreading along the edges of a network which may have significant clustering. The individuals in the population have heterogeneous infectiousness and/or susceptibility. We define the out-transmissibility of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-05-01 Joel C. Miller