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Predictive coding (PC) accounts of perception now form one of the dominant computational theories of the brain, where they prescribe a general algorithm for inference and learning over hierarchical latent probabilistic models. Despite this,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-10 Umais Zahid , Qinghai Guo , Karl Friston , Zafeirios Fountas

This thesis describes work on two applications of probabilistic programming: the learning of probabilistic program code given specifications, in particular program code of one-dimensional samplers; and the facilitation of sequential Monte…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-05-21 Yura N Perov

Experimental testing is vital in the optimization of web applications, and as such A/B testing has been widely adopted as a methodology for determining optimal content for many web applications. While some testing platforms provide…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-04 Ian E. Fellows

In this work, we propose an algorithm to simulate rare events for electronic circuit design. Our approach heavily relies on a smart use of importance sampling, which enables us to tackle probabilities of the magnitude 10 --10. Not only can…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-20 Xavier Jonsson , Jérôme Lelong

This paper considers the problem of sequential empirical coordination, where the objective is to achieve a given value of the expected uniform deviation between state-action empirical averages and statistical expectations under a given…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-06-12 Ehsan Shafieepoorfard , Maxim Raginsky

As any scientific discipline, the software engineering (SE) research community strives to contribute to the betterment of the target population of our research: software producers and consumers. We will only achieve this betterment if we…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Julian Frattini , Hans-Martin Heyn , Robert Feldt , Richard Torkar

A critical question for the field of quantum computing in the near future is whether quantum devices without error correction can perform a well-defined computational task beyond the capabilities of state-of-the-art classical computers,…

Forward inference techniques such as sequential Monte Carlo and particle Markov chain Monte Carlo for probabilistic programming can be implemented in any programming language by creative use of standardized operating system functionality…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-07-11 Brooks Paige , Frank Wood

We consider a quantum system that is being continuously monitored, giving rise to a measurement signal. From such a stream of data, information needs to be inferred about the underlying system's dynamics. Here we focus on hypothesis testing…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-03-27 Giulio Gasbarri , Matias Bilkis , Elisabet Roda-Salichs , John Calsamiglia

Space filling designs are central to studying complex systems in various areas of science. They are used for obtaining an overall understanding of the behaviour of the response over the input space, model construction and uncertainty…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-10 Shirin Golchi , Jason L. Loeppky

We introduce a new methodology for analyzing serial data by quantile regression assuming that the underlying quantile function consists of constant segments. The procedure does not rely on any distributional assumption besides serial…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-09 Laura Jula Vanegas , Merle Behr , Axel Munk

A probabilistic approach for estimating sample qualities for stochastic differential equations is introduced in this paper. The aim is to provide a quantitative upper bound of the distance between the invariant probability measure of a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-12-24 Matthew Dobson , Jiayu Zhai , Yao Li

Understanding functional response within a predator-prey dynamic is a cornerstone for many quantitative ecological studies. Over the past 60 years, the methodology for modelling functional response has gradually transitioned from the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-29 Hayden Moffat , Markus Hainy , Nikos E. Papanikolaou , Christopher Drovandi

Quantum circuits that generate coherent superpositions of stochastic processes are key to many downstream quantum-accelerated tasks, such as risk analysis, importance sampling, and DNA sequencing. However, traditional methods for designing…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-26 Ximing Wang , Chengran Yang , Chidambaram Aditya Somasundaram , Jayne Thompson , Mile Gu

Random numbers play a crucial role in science and industry. Many numerical methods require the use of random numbers, in particular the Monte Carlo method. Therefore it is of paramount importance to have efficient random number generators.…

Computational Physics · Physics 2010-05-25 Helmut G. Katzgraber

In this study, we give an extension of Montanaro's arXiv/archive:1504.06987 quantum Monte Carlo method, tailored for computing expected values of random variables that exhibit infinite variance. This addresses a challenge in analyzing…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-03-08 Jose Blanchet , Mario Szegedy , Guanyang Wang

Sequential design is a highly active field of research in active learning which provides a general framework for designing computer experiments with limited computational budgets. It aims to create efficient surrogate models to replace…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-03 Paul Lartaud , Philippe Humbert , Josselin Garnier

We introduce the notion of empirical coordination for quantum correlations. Quantum mechanics enables the calculation of probabilities for experimental outcomes, emphasizing statistical averages rather than detailed descriptions of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-04-08 Husein Natur , Uzi Pereg

A probabilistic expert system emulates the decision-making ability of a human expert through a directional graphical model. The first step in building such systems is to understand data generation mechanism. To this end, one may try to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-29 Vahid Partovi Nia , Xinlin Li , Masoud Asgharian , Shoubo Hu , Zhitang Chen , Yanhui Geng

This paper considers the problem of cardinality estimation in data stream applications. We present a statistical analysis of probabilistic counting algorithms, focusing on two techniques that use pseudo-random variates to form…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-20 Peter Clifford , Ioana A. Cosma
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