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Basket trials are increasingly used for the simultaneous evaluation of a new treatment in various patient subgroups under one overarching protocol. We propose a Bayesian approach to sample size determination in basket trials that permit…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-02 Haiyan Zheng , Michael J. Grayling , Pavel Mozgunov , Thomas Jaki , James M. S. Wason

Research in oncology has changed the focus from histological properties of tumors in a specific organ to a specific genomic aberration potentially shared by multiple cancer types. This motivates the basket trial, which assesses the efficacy…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-11 Jin Jin , Marie-Karelle Riviere , Xiaodong Luo , Yingwen Dong

Basket trials test a single therapeutic treatment on several patient populations under one master protocol. A desirable adaptive design feature in these studies may be the incorporation of new baskets to an ongoing study. Limited basket…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-09 Libby Daniells , Pavel Mozgunov , Helen Barnett , Alun Bedding , Thomas Jaki

Basket trials in oncology enroll multiple patients with cancer harboring identical gene alterations and evaluate their response to targeted therapies across cancer types. Several existing methods have extended a Bayesian hierarchical model…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-17 Ryo Kitabayashi , Hiroyuki Sato , Akihiro Hirakawa

In recent years, basket trials, which allow the evaluation of an experimental therapy across multiple tumor types within a single protocol, have gained prominence in early-phase oncology development. Unlike traditional trials, which…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-18 Haiming Zhou , Rex Shen , Sutan Wu , Philip He

Basket trials examine the efficacy of an intervention in multiple patient subgroups simultaneously. The division into subgroups, called baskets, is based on matching medical characteristics, which may result in small sample sizes within…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-17 Sabrina Schmitt , Lukas Baumann

External data borrowing in clinical trial designs has increased in recent years. This is accomplished in the Bayesian framework by specifying informative prior distributions. To mitigate the impact of potential inconsistency (bias) between…

We propose an information borrowing strategy for the design and monitoring of phase II basket trials based on the local multisource exchangeability assumption between baskets (disease types). In our proposed local-MEM framework, information…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-13 Yilin Liu , Michael Kane , Denise Esserman , Ondrej Blaha , Daniel Zelterman , Wei Wei

With the advancement of precision medicine there is an increasing need for design and analysis methods in clinical trials with the objective of investigating effect heterogeneity and estimating subgroup effects. As this requires precise…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-12 Shirin Golchi , Satoshi Morita

In this work, we offer a thorough analytical investigation into the role of shared hyperparameters in a hierarchical Bayesian model, examining their impact on information borrowing and posterior inference. Our approach is rooted in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-23 Prasenjit Ghosh , Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati

In basket trials a treatment is investigated in several subgroups. They are primarily used in oncology in early clinical phases as single-arm trials with a binary endpoint. For their analysis primarily Bayesian methods have been suggested,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-16 Lukas Baumann , Lukas Sauer , Meinhard Kieser

Therapeutic advancements in oncology have shifted towards targeted therapy based on genomic aberrations. This necessitates innovative statistical approaches in clinical trials, particularly in master protocol studies. Basket trials, a type…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-12 Antonios Daletzakis , Rutger van den Bor , Vincent van der Noort , Kit CB Roes

This paper develops Bayesian sample size formulae for experiments comparing two groups. We assume the experimental data will be analysed in the Bayesian framework, where pre-experimental information from multiple sources can be represented…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-09 Haiyan Zheng , Thomas Jaki , James M. S. Wason

Recent substantial advances of molecular targeted oncology drug development is requiring new paradigms for early-phase clinical trial methodologies to enable us to evaluate efficacy of several subtypes simultaneously and efficiently. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-17 Satoshi Hattori , Satoshi Morita

Information borrowing from historical data is gaining attention in clinical trials of rare and pediatric diseases, where statistical power may be insufficient for confirmation of efficacy if the sample size is small. Although Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-25 Masahiro Kojima

Bayesian dynamic borrowing methods incorporate historical control data into current clinical trial analyses while allowing the degree of borrowing to depend on the compatibility between historical and current data. Although many methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-27 Tomohiro Ohigashi , Wataru Murasaki , Masahiko Gosho

Basket designs are prospective clinical trials that are devised with the hypothesis that the presence of selected molecular features determine a patient's subsequent response to a particular "targeted" treatment strategy. Basket trials are…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-05 Michael J. Kane , Nan Chen , Alexander M. Kaizer , Xun Jiang , H. Amy Xia , Brian P. Hobbs

Adaptive enrichment trials aim to identify and recruit participants most likely to benefit from treatment based on evolving biomarker evidence, with the goal of informing individualized treatment recommendations. Bayesian methods are well…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-11 Lara Maleyeff , Shirin Golchi , Erica E. M. Moodie

There is currently a focus on statistical methods which can use historical trial information to help accelerate the discovery, development and delivery of medicine. Bayesian methods can be constructed so that the borrowing is "dynamic" in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-13 Darren A. V. Scott , Alex Lewin

We introduce Robust Bayesian Sequential Borrowing (RBSB), a framework for extrapolating evidence across adjacent subgroups in multi-population clinical programmes where studies are conducted in sequence and populations are ordered by…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-27 Erik Hermansson , Lynn Dunsire , David Svensson , Thomas Jaki
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