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A theoretical framework is developed to describe the transformation that distributes probability density functions uniformly over space. In one dimension, the cumulative distribution can be used, but does not generalize to higher…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-09-08 Eric Kee

In this paper, a new method of detection of election fraud is proposed. This method is based on the calculation of the ratio of two standard normal random variables; estimation of parameters of obtained sample and comparison of these…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-20 Ivan H. Krykun

We propose a novel approach to parameter estimation for simulator-based statistical models with intractable likelihood. Our proposed method involves recursive application of kernel ABC and kernel herding to the same observed data. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-13 Takafumi Kajihara , Motonobu Kanagawa , Keisuke Yamazaki , Kenji Fukumizu

A general method is proposed which allows one to estimate drift and diffusion coefficients of a stochastic process governed by a Langevin equation. It extends a previously devised approach [R. Friedrich et al., Physics Letters A 271, 217…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-11 D. Kleinhans , R. Friedrich , A. Nawroth , J. Peinke

Benchmarking studies in computational chemistry use reference datasets to assess the accuracy of a method through error statistics. The commonly used error statistics, such as the mean signed and mean unsigned errors, do not inform…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2018-03-19 Pascal Pernot , Andreas Savin

Bayesian networks provide a method of representing conditional independence between random variables and computing the probability distributions associated with these random variables. In this paper, we extend Bayesian network structures to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Eric Driver , Darryl Morrell

We develop a new method for generating prediction sets that combines the flexibility of conformal methods with an estimate of the conditional distribution $P_{Y \mid X}$. Existing methods, such as conformalized quantile regression and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-10 Vincent Plassier , Alexander Fishkov , Mohsen Guizani , Maxim Panov , Eric Moulines

The cumulative distribution and quantile functions for the one-sided one sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov probability distributions are used for goodness-of-fit testing. While the Smirnov-Birnbaum-Tingey formula for the CDF appears straight…

Computation · Statistics 2018-02-21 Paul van Mulbregt

The problem of iterated partial summations is solved for some discrete distributions defined on discrete supports. The power method, usually used as a computational approach to finding matrix eigenvalues and eigenvectors, is in some cases…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-28 Michaela Koscova , Radoslav Harman , Jan Macutek

Computing and storing probabilities is a hard problem as soon as one has to deal with complex distributions over multiple random variables. The problem of efficient representation of probability distributions is central in term of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-08-16 David Bellot , Pierre Bessiere

A parametric method similar to autoregressive spectral estimators is proposed to determine the probability density function (pdf) of a random set. The method proceeds by maximizing the likelihood of the pdf, yielding estimates that perform…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-10-31 T. Dudok de Wit , E. Floriani

The distribution of the sum of dependent risks is a crucial aspect in actuarial sciences, risk management and in many branches of applied probability. In this paper, we obtain analytic expressions for the probability density function (pdf)…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-02 José María Sarabia , Emilio Gómez-Déniz , Faustino Prieto , Vanesa Jordá

The evaluation of the probability of union of a large number of independent events requires several combinations involving the factorial and the use of high performance computers with several hours of processing. Bounds and simplifications…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-07 Edson Luiz Ursini , Paulo S. Martins

In this manuscript, we study the problem of scalar-on-distribution regression; that is, instances where subject-specific distributions or densities, or in practice, repeated measures from those distributions, are the covariates related to a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-22 Bohao Tang , Sandipan Pramanik , Yi Zhao , Brian Caffo , Abhirup Datta

Lognormal random variables appear naturally in many engineering disciplines, including wireless communications, reliability theory, and finance. So, too, does the sum of (correlated) lognormal random variables. Unfortunately, no closed form…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-01 Christopher J. Rook , Mitchell Kerman

In this paper we study the tightness of solutions for a family of recursion equations. These equations arise naturally in the study of random walks on tree-like structures. Examples include the maximal displacement of a branching random…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-23 Maury Bramson , Ofer Zeitouni

Recently, diffusion probabilistic models (DPMs) have achieved promising results in diverse generative tasks. A typical DPM framework includes a forward process that gradually diffuses the data distribution and a reverse process that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Tianyu Pang , Cheng Lu , Chao Du , Min Lin , Shuicheng Yan , Zhijie Deng

The work is devoted to the analysis of the Resampling method proposed by A. Andronov and to the analysis of the Resampling method application possibility to the estimation and simulation of the calculation and logical systems reliability.…

Applications · Statistics 2013-04-25 Maxim Fioshin

In this short note we report on results on a computational search for a counterexample to the strong coincidence conjecture. In particular, we discuss the method used so that further searches can be conducted.

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-06-19 Scott Balchin

The paper presents a new efficient and robust method for rare event probability estimation for computational models of an engineering product or a process returning categorical information only, for example, either success or failure. For…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Miroslav Vořechovský