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In Bayesian theory, calculating a posterior probability distribution is highly important but usually difficult. Therefore, some methods have been put forward to deal with such problem, among which, the most popular one is the asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-20 Zai-Ying Zhou

The increased availability of massive data sets provides a unique opportunity to discover subtle patterns in their distributions, but also imposes overwhelming computational challenges. To fully utilize the information contained in big…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-12 Stanislav Volgushev , Shih-Kang Chao , Guang Cheng

In this paper we describe a theory of a cumulative distribution function on a space with an order from a probability measure defined in this space. This distribution function plays a similar role to that played in the classical case.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-12 J. F. Gálvez-Rodríguez , M. A. Sánchez-Granero

Predictive distributions need to be aggregated when probabilistic forecasts are merged, or when expert opinions expressed in terms of probability distributions are fused. We take a prediction space approach that applies to discrete, mixed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-09 Tilmann Gneiting , Roopesh Ranjan

The empirical probability density function for the conditional distribution of the true value of Poisson distribution parameter on one measurement is constructed by computer experiment. The analysis of the obtained distributions confirms…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 S. I. Bityukov , V. A. Medvedev , V. V. Smirnova , Yu. V. Zernii

Mixture models are commonly used when data show signs of heterogeneity and, often, it is important to estimate the distribution of the latent variable responsible for that heterogeneity. This is a common problem for data taking values in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-22 Vaidehi Dixit , Ryan Martin

In this paper, we propose a distributionally robust safety verification method for Markov decision processes where only an ambiguous transition kernel is available instead of the precise transition kernel. We define the ambiguity set around…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-27 Abhijit Mazumdar , Yuting Hou , Rafal Wisniewski

Distributional regression aims at estimating the conditional distribution of a targetvariable given explanatory co-variates. It is a crucial tool for forecasting whena precise uncertainty quantification is required. A popular methodology…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-22 Clément Dombry , Ahmed Zaoui

Nonparametric estimation of a mixing distribution based on data coming from a mixture model is a challenging problem. Beyond estimation, there is interest in uncertainty quantification, e.g., confidence intervals for features of the mixing…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-14 Vaidehi Dixit , Ryan Martin

We propose and analyze an algorithm to approximate distribution functions and densities of perpetuities. Our algorithm refines an earlier approach based on iterating discretized versions of the fixed point equation that defines the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-08 Margarete Knape , Ralph Neininger

We present a computational method for measuring financial risk by estimating the Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall from financial series. We have made two assumptions: First, that the predictive distributions of the values of an asset…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-14 I. Garcia , J. Jimenez

This paper proposes a new approach to estimating the distribution of a response variable conditioned on observing some factors. The proposed approach possesses desirable properties of flexibility, interpretability, tractability and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-16 Cheng Peng , Stanislav Uryasev

Finite-precision floating point arithmetic unavoidably introduces rounding errors which are traditionally bounded using a worst-case analysis. However, worst-case analysis might be overly conservative because worst-case errors can be…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-12-11 Fredrik Dahlqvist , Rocco Salvia , George A Constantinides

In this paper, we propose a new class of distributions by exponentiating the random variables associated with the probability density functions of composite distributions. We also derive some mathematical properties of this new class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-05 Bowen Liu , Malwane M. A. Ananda

We describe a method to computationally estimate the probability density function of a univariate random variable by applying the maximum entropy principle with some local conditions given by Gaussian functions. The estimation errors and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-21 Mihail-Ioan Pop

In this paper an iterated function system on the space of distribution functions is built. The inverse problem is introduced and studied by convex optimization problems. Some applications of this method to approximation of distribution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Stefano M. Iacus , Davide La Torre

In this article, a discrete analogue of continuous Teissier distribution is presented. Its several important distributional characteristics have been derived. The estimation of the unknown parameter has been done using the method of maximum…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-22 Bhupendra Singh , Varun Agiwal , Ravindra Pratap Singh , Abhishek Tyagi

In this paper we address the complexity of solving linear programming problems with a set of differential equations that converge to a fixed point that represents the optimal solution. Assuming a probabilistic model, where the inputs are…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Asa Ben-Hur , Joshua Feinberg , Shmuel Fishman , Hava T. Siegelmann

We introduce a method to sample the orientational distribution function in computer simulations. The method is based on the exact torque balance equation for classical many-body systems of interacting anisotropic particles in equilibrium.…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2023-04-12 Johannes Renner , Matthias Schmidt , Daniel de las Heras

In this paper, the joint distribution of the sum and maximum of independent, not necessarily identically distributed, nonnegative random variables is studied for two cases: i) continuous and ii) discrete random variables. First, a recursive…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-01 Christos N. Efrem