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Simulating quantum dynamics is one of the central applications of quantum computing. For Hamiltonians written as a sum of many terms, deterministic Trotter--Suzuki product formulas can require applying a large number of term-wise evolutions…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-20 Pegah Mohammadipour , Xiantao Li

Quantifying the uncertainty in model parameters and output is a critical component in model-driven decision support systems for groundwater management. This paper presents a novel algorithmic approach which fuses Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-26 Mikkel B. Lykkegaard , Tim J. Dodwell , David Moxey

We propose a multi-index algorithm for the Monte Carlo (MC) discretization of a linear, elliptic PDE with affine-parametric input. We prove an error vs. work analysis which allows a multi-level finite-element approximation in the physical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-18 Josef Dick , Michael Feischl , Christoph Schwab

Forward simulation-based uncertainty quantification that studies the distribution of quantities of interest (QoI) is a crucial component for computationally robust engineering design and prediction. There is a large body of literature…

Computation · Statistics 2023-07-07 Ruijian Han , Boris Kramer , Dongjin Lee , Akil Narayan , Yiming Xu

This paper introduces a novel uncertainty quantification framework for regression models where the response takes values in a separable metric space, and the predictors are in a Euclidean space. The proposed algorithms can efficiently…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-09 Gábor Lugosi , Marcos Matabuena

The linear micro-instabilities driving turbulent transport in magnetized fusion plasmas (as well as the respective nonlinear saturation mechanisms) are known to be sensitive with respect to various physical parameters characterizing the…

Computer vision leveraging deep learning has achieved significant success in the last decade. Despite the promising performance of the existing deep models in the recent literature, the extent of models' reliability remains unknown.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-04-13 Seyed Omid Sajedi , Xiao Liang

Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) reduces the total computational cost of financial option pricing by combining SDE approximations with multiple resolutions. This paper explores a further avenue for reducing cost and improving power efficiency…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-12 Irina-Beatrice Haas , Michael B. Giles

Trust is a crucial factor affecting the adoption of machine learning (ML) models. Qualitative studies have revealed that end-users, particularly in the medical domain, need models that can express their uncertainty in decision-making…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-21 Andrew Houston , Georgina Cosma

Recent studies have confirmed cardiovascular diseases remain responsible for highest death toll amongst non-communicable diseases. Accurate left ventricular (LV) volume estimation is critical for valid diagnosis and management of various…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-19 F. Terhag , P. Knechtges , A. Basermann , R. Tempone

Constructing unbiased estimators from Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) outputs is a difficult problem that has recently received a lot of attention in the statistics and machine learning communities. However, the current unbiased MCMC…

Computation · Statistics 2022-12-27 Guanyang Wang , Tianze Wang

The modeling and uncertainty quantification of closed curves is an important problem in the field of shape analysis, and can have significant ramifications for subsequent statistical tasks. Many of these tasks involve collections of closed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-15 Hengrui Luo , Justin D. Strait

We propose a Multilevel Monte-Carlo (MLMC) method for computing entropy measure valued solutions of hyperbolic conservation laws. Sharp bounds for the narrow convergence of MLMC for the entropy measure valued solutions are proposed. An…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-11-24 Kjetil Olsen Lye

Whole-body hemodynamics simulators, which model blood flow and pressure waveforms as functions of physiological parameters, are now essential tools for studying cardiovascular systems. However, solving the corresponding inverse problem of…

As modern neural networks get more complex, specifying a model with high predictive performance and sound uncertainty quantification becomes a more challenging task. Despite some promising theoretical results on the true posterior…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-18 Alisa Sheinkman , Sara Wade

The fidelity susceptibility is a general purpose probe of phase transitions. With its origin in quantum information and in the differential geometry perspective of quantum states, the fidelity susceptibility can indicate the presence of a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-07-16 Lei Wang , Ye-Hua Liu , Jakub Imriška , Ping Nang Ma , Matthias Troyer

This paper presents a seamless algorithm for the application of the multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) method to the ensemble transform particle filter (ETPF). The algorithm uses a combination of optimal coupling transformations between coarse…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-06-15 Alastair Gregory , Colin Cotter

Multimodal large language models (MLLMs) can process and integrate information from multimodality sources, such as text and images. However, interrelationship among input modalities, uncertainties due to individual uni-modal data and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-18 Yucheng Tang , Yunguan Fu , Weixi Yi , Yipei Wang , Daniel C. Alexander , Rhodri Davies , Yipeng Hu

In this paper, we investigate the use of multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods for estimating the expectation of discretized random fields. Specifically, we consider a setting in which the input and output vectors of numerical simulators…

In the pursuit of efficient optimization of expensive-to-evaluate systems, this paper investigates a novel approach to Bayesian multi-objective and multi-fidelity (MOMF) optimization. Traditional optimization methods, while effective, often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-21 Faran Irshad , Stefan Karsch , Andreas Döpp