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Human activity recognition (HAR) with wearables is promising research that can be widely adopted in many smart healthcare applications. In recent years, the deep learning-based HAR models have achieved impressive recognition performance.…
In machine learning, ensembles are important tools for improving the model performance. In natural language processing specifically, ensembles boost the performance of a method due to multiple large models available in open source. However,…
This paper introduces a novel paradigm to impute missing data that combines a decision tree with an auto-associative neural network (AANN) based model and a principal component analysis-neural network (PCA-NN) based model. For each model,…
As online retail services proliferate and are pervasive in modern lives, applications for classifying fashion apparel features from image data are becoming more indispensable. Online retailers, from leading companies to start-ups, can…
Using probabilistic approach, the transient dynamics of sparsely connected Hopfield neural networks is studied for arbitrary degree distributions. A recursive scheme is developed to determine the time evolution of overlap parameters. As…
This paper develops an approach to classify instances of product failure in a complex textiles manufacturing dataset using explainable techniques. The dataset used in this study was obtained from a New Zealand manufacturer of woollen…
We consider the problem of neural network training in a time-varying context. Machine learning algorithms have excelled in problems that do not change over time. However, problems encountered in financial markets are often time-varying. We…
Estimating hidden processes from non-linear noisy observations is particularly difficult when the parameters of these processes are not known. This paper adopts a machine learning approach to devise variational Bayesian inference for such…
Accurate mechanisms for forecasting solar irradiance and insolation provide important information for the planning of renewable energy and agriculture projects as well as for environmental and socio-economical studies. This research…
We propose a Weighted Autoregressive Varying gatE (WAVE) attention mechanism equipped with both Autoregressive (AR) and Moving-average (MA) components. It can adapt to various attention mechanisms, enhancing and decoupling their ability to…
We report on a series of experiments in which we study the coevolutionary "arms-race" dynamics among groups of agents that engage in adaptive automated trading in an accurate model of contemporary financial markets. At any one time, every…
Standard risk models reduce the rich dependence structure of financial markets to scalar volatility estimates, discarding the topological information encoded in cross-asset correlation networks. We present ORCA (Online Regime Correlation…
In this work, we consider the class of multi-state autoregressive processes that can be used to model non-stationary time-series of interest. In order to capture different autoregressive (AR) states underlying an observed time series, it is…
Prediction of network traffic behavior is significant for the effective management of modern telecommunication networks. However, the intuitive approach of predicting network traffic using administrative experience and market analysis data…
Every change of trend in the forex market presents a great opportunity as well as a risk for investors. Accurate forecasting of forex prices is a crucial element in any effective hedging or speculation strategy. However, the complex nature…
Multivariate time series classification (TSC) is critical for various applications in fields such as healthcare and finance. While various approaches for TSC have been explored, important properties of time series, such as shift…
Time Series forecasting (univariate and multivariate) is a problem of high complexity due the different patterns that have to be detected in the input, ranging from high to low frequencies ones. In this paper we propose a new model for…
Dynamic model averaging (DMA) combines the forecasts of a large number of dynamic linear models (DLMs) to predict the future value of a time series. The performance of DMA critically depends on the appropriate choice of two forgetting…
This paper presents a practical architecture for after-sales demand forecasting and monitoring that unifies a revenue- and cluster-aware ensemble of statistical, machine-learning, and deep-learning models with a role-driven analytics layer…
Modeling heterogeneous correlated time series requires the ability to learn hidden dynamic relationships between component time series with possibly varying periodicities and generative processes. To address this challenge, we formulate and…