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We present upper and lower bounds for the prediction error of the Lasso. For the case of random Gaussian design, we show that under mild conditions the prediction error of the Lasso is up to smaller order terms dominated by the prediction…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-04 Sara van de Geer

Classical univariate isotonic regression involves nonparametric estimation under a monotonicity constraint of the true signal. We consider a variation of this generating process, which we term adversarial sign-corrupted isotonic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-15 Shamindra Shrotriya , Matey Neykov

Weak consistency and asymptotic normality of the ordinary least-squares estimator in a linear regression with adaptive learning is derived when the crucial, so-called, `gain' parameter is estimated in a first step by nonlinear least squares…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-11 Alexander Mayer

In high-dimensional data, structured noise caused by observed and unobserved factors affecting multiple target variables simultaneously, imposes a serious challenge for modeling, by masking the often weak signal. Therefore, (1) explaining…

Investigating the main determinants of the mechanical performance of metals is not a simple task. Already known physical inspired qualitative relations between 2D microstructure characteristics and 3D mechanical properties can act as the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-05 Martina Vittorietti , Javier Hidalgo , Jilt Sietsma , Wei Li , Geurt Jongbloed

A common method for estimating the Hessian operator from random samples on a low-dimensional manifold involves locally fitting a quadratic polynomial. Although widely used, it is unclear if this estimator introduces bias, especially in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-10 Chih-Wei Chen , Hau-Tieng Wu

An adaptive nonparametric estimation procedure is constructed for heteroscedastic regression when the noise variance depends on the unknown regression. A non-asymptotic upper bound for a quadratic risk (oracle inequality) is obtained

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-09 Leonid Galtchouk , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

We consider a high-dimensional regression model with a possible change-point due to a covariate threshold and develop the Lasso estimator of regression coefficients as well as the threshold parameter. Our Lasso estimator not only selects…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-23 Sokbae Lee , Myung Hwan Seo , Youngki Shin

Heteroscedastic regression is the task of supervised learning where each label is subject to noise from a different distribution. This noise can be caused by the labelling process, and impacts negatively the performance of the learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-12 Vincent Mai , Waleed Khamies , Liam Paull

Ordinary least-squares (OLS) estimators for a linear model are very sensitive to unusual values in the design space or outliers among y values. Even one single atypical value may have a large effect on the parameter estimates. This article…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-28 Chun Yu , Weixin Yao , Xue Bai

Ordinary least squares (OLS) linear regression is one of the most basic statistical techniques for data analysis. In the main stream literature and the statistical education, the study of linear regression is typically restricted to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-28 Arun K. Kuchibhotla , Lawrence D. Brown , Andreas Buja

When studying the causal effect of $x$ on $y$, researchers may conduct regression and report a confidence interval for the slope coefficient $\beta_{x}$. This common confidence interval provides an assessment of uncertainty from sampling…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-26 Brian Knaeble , Braxton Osting , Mark Abramson

The logistic regression estimator is known to inflate the magnitude of its coefficients if the sample size $n$ is small, the dimension $p$ is (moderately) large or the signal-to-noise ratio $1/\sigma$ is large (probabilities of observing a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-01 Felix Kuchelmeister , Sara van de Geer

This paper deals with the estimation of hidden periodicities in a non-linear regression model with stationary noise displaying cyclical dependence. Consistency and asymptotic normality are established for the least-squares estimates.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-25 A. V. Ivanov , N. N. Leonenko , M. D. Ruiz-Medina , B. M. Zhurakovsky

We study the probabilistic sampling of a random variable, in which the variable is sampled only if it falls outside a given set, which is called the silence set. This helps us to understand optimal event-based sampling for the special case…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-17 Maben Rabi , Junfeng Wu , Vyoma Singh , Karl Henrik Johansson

We consider the estimation of a scalar parameter, when two estimators are available. The first is always consistent. The second is inconsistent in general, but has a smaller asymptotic variance than the first, and may be consistent if an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-29 Clément de Chaisemartin , Xavier D'Haultfœuille

Robust regression techniques rely on least-squares optimization, which works well for Gaussian noise but fails in the presence of asymmetric structured noise. We propose a hybrid neural-symbolic architecture where a transformer encoder…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-06 Roman Gutierrez , Tony Kai Tang , Isabel Gutierrez

The phenomenon of benign overfitting, where a predictor perfectly fits noisy training data while attaining near-optimal expected loss, has received much attention in recent years, but still remains not fully understood beyond well-specified…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-18 Ohad Shamir

We consider in this paper the multivariate regression problem, when the target regression matrix $A$ is close to a low rank matrix. Our primary interest in on the practical case where the variance of the noise is unknown. Our main…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-24 Christophe Giraud

We obtain robust and computationally efficient estimators for learning several linear models that achieve statistically optimal convergence rate under minimal distributional assumptions. Concretely, we assume our data is drawn from a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-07 Ainesh Bakshi , Adarsh Prasad
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