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We present a multivariate Gaussian process regression approach for parameter field reconstruction based on the field's measurements collected at two different scales, the coarse and fine scales. The proposed approach treats the parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-19 David A. Barajas-Solano , Alexandre M. Tartakovsky

This paper presents a real-time capable algorithm for the learning of Gaussian Processes (GP) for submodels. It extends an existing recursive Gaussian Process (RGP) algorithm which requires a measurable output. In many applications,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-24 Ricus Husmann , Sven Weishaupt , Harald Aschemann

This paper introduces a new periodic fractional autoregressive process (PFAR) driven by fractional Gaussian noise (fGn) to model time series of precipitation evapotranspiration. Compared with the similar model in [\emph{Water Resources…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Chunhao Cai , Yiwu Shang

Short-term forecasting of solar photovoltaic energy (PV) production is important for powerplant management. Ideally these forecasts are equipped with error bars, so that downstream decisions can account for uncertainty. To produce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-31 Sean Nassimiha , Peter Dudfield , Jack Kelly , Marc Peter Deisenroth , So Takao

Despite the widespread utilization of Gaussian process models for versatile nonparametric modeling, they exhibit limitations in effectively capturing abrupt changes in function smoothness and accommodating relationships with heteroscedastic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-01 Taehee Lee , Jun S. Liu

Let $P$ be a linear differential operator over $\mathcal{D} \subset \mathbb{R}^d$ and $U = (U_x)_{x \in \mathcal{D}}$ a second order stochastic process. In the first part of this article, we prove a new necessary and sufficient condition…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-11 Iain Henderson , Pascal Noble , Olivier Roustant

The accurate prediction of precipitation is important to allow for reliable warnings of flood or drought risk in a changing climate. However, to make trust-worthy predictions of precipitation, at a local scale, is one of the most difficult…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-26 Sherman Lo , Peter Watson , Peter Dueben , Ritabrata Dutta

The incomplete sampling of data in complex polarization measurements from radio telescopes negatively affects both the rotation measure (RM) transfer function and the Faraday depth spectra derived from these data. Such gaps in polarization…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-02-24 S. W. Ndiritu , A. M. M. Scaife , D. L. Tabb , M. Carcamo , J. Hanson

Climate projections using data driven machine learning models acting as emulators, is one of the prevailing areas of research to enable policy makers make informed decisions. Use of machine learning emulators as surrogates for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-24 Anmol Chaure , Ashok Kumar Behera , Sudip Bhattacharya

Improving the accuracy of soil moisture estimation is required for advancing irrigation scheduling and water conservation efforts. Central to this task are soil hydraulic parameters, which govern moisture dynamics but are rarely known…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-06 Bernard T. Agyeman , Erfan Orouskhani , Mohamed Naouri , Willemijn Appels , Maik Wolleben , Jinfeng Liu , Sirish L. Shah

While the generalized Langevin equation (GLE) is a powerful tool to understand the behavior of complex dissipative systems, driving by external fields renders standard GLE construction workflows invalid. Filtering approaches that separate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-03 Thomas Sayer , Andrés Montoya-Castillo

The residential electrical energy scheduling of solar Photovoltaics (PV) is an important research area of the modern green buildings. On the demand side, factors such as building load, and the renewable PV energy resources are integrated…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-16 Sara Zainaa , Shima Sadaf , Ansaruddin Kunjuc , Mohammad Meraj , Devrim Unal , Farid Touati

Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) is a Bayesian method for inferring profiles based on input data. The technique is increasing in popularity in the fusion community due to its many advantages over traditional fitting techniques including…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Jarrod Leddy , Sandeep Madireddy , Eric Howell , Scott Kruger

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are a class of kernel methods that have shown to be very useful in geoscience applications. They are widely used because they are simple, flexible and provide very accurate estimates for nonlinear problems,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-10 Juan Emmanuel Johnson , Valero Laparra , Gustau Camps-Valls

Accurate prediction of effluent temperature in recharge basins is essential for optimizing the Soil Aquifer Treatment (SAT) process, as temperature directly influences water viscosity and infiltration rates. This study develops and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Roy Elkayam

Credible forecasting and representation learning of dynamical systems are of ever-increasing importance for reliable decision-making. To that end, we propose a family of Gaussian processes (GP) for dynamical systems with linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Petar Bevanda , Max Beier , Armin Lederer , Alexandre Capone , Stefan Sosnowski , Sandra Hirche

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are widely recognized as powerful non-parametric models for regression and classification. Traditional GP frameworks predominantly operate under the assumption that the inputs are either accurately known or subject…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-14 Muzaffar Qureshi , Tochukwu Elijah Ogri , Zachary I. Bell , Wanjiku A. Makumi , Rushikesh Kamalapurkar

Time series forecasting is a growing domain with diverse applications. However, changes of the system behavior over time due to internal or external influences are challenging. Therefore, predictions of a previously learned fore-casting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-07 Florian Haselbeck , Dominik G. Grimm

Gaussian processes regression is applied to augment experimental data of transfer-path analysis (TPA) by known information about the underlying physical properties of the system under investigation. The approach can be used as an…

Classical Physics · Physics 2019-05-21 Christopher Albert

Using very long baseline interferometry (VLBI) observations at (sub)millimeter wavelengths, the Event Horizon Telescope (EHT) currently achieves the finest angular resolution of any astronomical facility, necessary for imaging the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-23 Uri Rolls , Dominic W. Pesce , Paul Tiede , Lindy Blackburn , Iniyan Natarajan , Sheperd S. Doeleman