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Many statistical models have likelihoods which are intractable: it is impossible or too expensive to compute the likelihood exactly. In such settings, a common approach is to replace the likelihood with an approximation, and proceed with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-23 Helen Ogden

For multi-class classification under class-conditional label noise, we prove that the accuracy metric itself can be robust. We concretize this finding's inspiration in two essential aspects: training and validation, with which we address…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-09 Pengfei Chen , Junjie Ye , Guangyong Chen , Jingwei Zhao , Pheng-Ann Heng

This paper presents a simple method for carrying out inference in a wide variety of possibly nonlinear IV models under weak assumptions. The method is non-asymptotic in the sense that it provides a finite sample bound on the difference…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-09-12 Joel L. Horowitz

This paper develops a theory of distribution- and time-uniform asymptotics, culminating in the first large-sample anytime-valid inference procedures that are shown to be uniformly valid in a rich class of distributions. Historically,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-16 Ian Waudby-Smith , Edward H. Kennedy , Aaditya Ramdas

In contrast with software-generated randomness (called pseudo-randomness), quantum randomness is provable incomputable, i.e.\ it is not exactly reproducible by any algorithm. We provide experimental evidence of incomputability --- an…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2010-08-09 Cristian S. Calude , Michael J. Dinneen , Monica Dumitrescu , Karl Svozil

Likelihood-based methods of statistical inference provide a useful general methodology that is appealing, as a straightforward asymptotic theory can be applied for their implementation. It is important to assess the relationships between…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-20 Thomas J. DiCiccio , Todd A. Kuffner , G. Alastair Young , Russell Zaretzki

The effect of small noise in a smooth dynamical system is negligible on any finite time interval. Here we study situations when it persists on intervals increasing to infinity. Such asymptotic regime occurs when the system starts from…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 J. Baker , P. Chigansky , K. Hamza , F. C. Klebaner

This work deals with the stability analysis of nonlinear sampled-data systems under nonuniform sampling. It establishes novel relationships between the stability property of the exact discrete-time model for a given sequence of (aperiodic)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-28 Alexis J. Vallarella , Hernan Haimovich

The likelihood ratio statistic, with its asymptotic $\chi^2$ distribution at regular model points, is often used for hypothesis testing. At model singularities and boundaries, however, the asymptotic distribution may not be $\chi^2$, as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-25 Jonathan D. Mitchell , Elizabeth S. Allman , John A. Rhodes

Asymptotic theory for M-estimation problems usually focuses on the asymptotic convergence of the sample descriptor, defined as the minimizer of the sample loss function. Here, we explore a related question and formulate asymptotic theory…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-15 Benjamin Eltzner

The problem of binary hypothesis testing between two probability measures is considered. New sharp bounds are derived for the best achievable error probability of such tests based on independent and identically distributed observations.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Valentinian Lungu , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

Results on the hardness of approximate sampling are seen as important stepping stones towards a convincing demonstration of the superior computational power of quantum devices. The most prominent suggestions for such experiments include…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-05-31 Dominik Hangleiter , Martin Kliesch , Jens Eisert , Christian Gogolin

We propose a new class of unit root tests that exploits invariance properties in the Locally Asymptotically Brownian Functional limit experiment associated to the unit root model. The invariance structures naturally suggest tests that are…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-18 Bo Zhou , Ramon van den Akker , Bas J. M. Werker

Methods to certify the robustness of neural networks in the presence of input uncertainty are vital in safety-critical settings. Most certification methods in the literature are designed for adversarial input uncertainty, but researchers…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-26 Brendon G. Anderson , Somayeh Sojoudi

We investigate the asymptotic behavior, in the long time limit, of the random homology associated to realizations of stochastic diffusion processes on a compact Riemannian manifold. In particular a rigidity result is established: if the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-26 Artem Galkin , Mauro Mariani

Sharp, nonasymptotic bounds are obtained for the relative entropy between the distributions of sampling with and without replacement from an urn with balls of $c\geq 2$ colors. Our bounds are asymptotically tight in certain regimes and,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Oliver Johnson , Lampros Gavalakis , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

Randomized smoothing is sound when using infinite precision. However, we show that randomized smoothing is no longer sound for limited floating-point precision. We present a simple example where randomized smoothing certifies a radius of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-26 Václav Voráček , Matthias Hein

Stochastic dynamical systems consisting of non-invertible continuous maps on an interval are studied. It is proved that if they satisfy the recently introduced so-called $\mu$-injectivity and some mild assumptions, then proximality,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-12-11 Sander C. Hille , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Oppelmayer , Tomasz Szarek

Randomized smoothing has achieved great success for certified robustness against adversarial perturbations. Given any arbitrary classifier, randomized smoothing can guarantee the classifier's prediction over the perturbed input with…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-08-22 Hanbin Hong , Yuan Hong

In this paper we study the effects of noise on the bipower variation (BPV), realized volatility (RV) and testing for co-jumps in high-frequency data under the small noise framework. We first establish asymptotic properties of the BPV in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-21 Daisuke Kurisu