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We present new algorithms and fast implementations to find efficient approximations for modelling stochastic processes. For many numerical computations it is essential to develop finite approximations for stochastic processes. While the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Kipngeno Benard Kirui , Georg Ch. Pflug , Alois Pichler

Stochastic processes offer a flexible mathematical formalism to model and reason about systems. Most analysis tools, however, start from the premises that models are fully specified, so that any parameters controlling the system's dynamics…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Luca Bortolussi , Guido Sanguinetti

Outstanding achievements of graph neural networks for spatiotemporal time series analysis show that relational constraints introduce an effective inductive bias into neural forecasting architectures. Often, however, the relational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-03 Andrea Cini , Daniele Zambon , Cesare Alippi

Sparse sequences of neural spikes are posited to underlie aspects of working memory, motor production, and learning. Discovering these sequences in an unsupervised manner is a longstanding problem in statistical neuroscience. Promising…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-13 Alex H. Williams , Anthony Degleris , Yixin Wang , Scott W. Linderman

We propose a new class of parameterizations for spatio-temporal point processes which leverage Neural ODEs as a computational method and enable flexible, high-fidelity models of discrete events that are localized in continuous time and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-19 Ricky T. Q. Chen , Brandon Amos , Maximilian Nickel

In this paper, we present an adaptation of the sequence-to-sequence model for structured output prediction in vision tasks. In this model the output variables for a given input are predicted sequentially using neural networks. The…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-10-25 Georgia Gkioxari , Alexander Toshev , Navdeep Jaitly

Discrete-time modeling of acoustic, mechanical and electrical systems is a prominent topic in the musical signal processing literature. Such models are mostly derived by discretizing a mathematical model, given in terms of ordinary or…

Safe and efficient robot operation in complex human environments can benefit from good models of site-specific motion patterns. Maps of Dynamics (MoDs) provide such models by encoding statistical motion patterns in a map, but existing…

While deep feature learning has revolutionized techniques for static-image understanding, the same does not quite hold for video processing. Architectures and optimization techniques used for video are largely based off those for static…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-12-13 Achal Dave , Olga Russakovsky , Deva Ramanan

Human behavior has the nature of indeterminacy, which requires the pedestrian trajectory prediction system to model the multi-modality of future motion states. Unlike existing stochastic trajectory prediction methods which usually use a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-28 Tianpei Gu , Guangyi Chen , Junlong Li , Chunze Lin , Yongming Rao , Jie Zhou , Jiwen Lu

How can we efficiently propagate uncertainty in a latent state representation with recurrent neural networks? This paper introduces stochastic recurrent neural networks which glue a deterministic recurrent neural network and a state space…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-15 Marco Fraccaro , Søren Kaae Sønderby , Ulrich Paquet , Ole Winther

It is well known that ignoring the presence of stochastic disturbances in the identification of stochastic Wiener models leads to asymptotically biased estimators. On the other hand, optimal statistical identification, via likelihood-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 Mohamed Abdalmoaty , Efe C. Balta , John Lygeros , Roy S. Smith

We introduce a novel modeling approach for time series imputation and forecasting, tailored to address the challenges often encountered in real-world data, such as irregular samples, missing data, or unaligned measurements from multiple…

Event time models predict occurrence times of an event of interest based on known features. Recent work has demonstrated that neural networks achieve state-of-the-art event time predictions in a variety of settings. However, standard event…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-06 Matthew Engelhard , Samuel Berchuck , Joshua D'Arcy , Ricardo Henao

This paper focuses on modeling the dynamic attributes of a dynamic network with a fixed number of vertices. These attributes are considered as time series which dependency structure is influenced by the underlying network. They are modeled…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-11 Jonas Krampe

Continuous-time neural processes are performant sequential decision-makers that are built by differential equations (DE). However, their expressive power when they are deployed on computers is bottlenecked by numerical DE solvers. This…

When people learn mathematical patterns or sequences, they are able to identify the concepts (or rules) underlying those patterns. Having learned the underlying concepts, humans are also able to generalize those concepts to other numbers,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-14 Mohith Damarapati , Inavamsi B. Enaganti , Alfred Ajay Aureate Rajakumar

This paper presents tailor-made neural model structures and two custom fitting criteria for learning dynamical systems. The proposed framework is based on a representation of the system behavior in terms of continuous-time state-space…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-02 Marco Forgione , Dario Piga

Many real-world complex systems are well represented as multilayer networks; predicting interactions in those systems is one of the most pressing problems in predictive network science. To address this challenge, we introduce two stochastic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-04-03 Marc Tarres-Deulofeu , Antonia Godoy-Lorite , Roger Guimera , Marta Sales-Pardo

The class of recurrent mixture density networks is an important class of probabilistic models used extensively in sequence modeling and sequence-to-sequence mapping applications. In this class of models, the density of a target sequence in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-21 Seyedeh Fatemeh Razavi , Reshad Hosseini , Tina Behzad
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