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We account for time-varying parameters in the conditional expectile-based value at risk (EVaR) model. The EVaR downside risk is more sensitive to the magnitude of portfolio losses compared to the quantile-based value at risk (QVaR). Rather…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-29 Xiu Xu , Andrija Mihoci , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

Based on a point of view that solvency and security are first, this paper considers regular-singular stochastic optimal control problem of a large insurance company facing positive transaction cost asked by reinsurer under solvency…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-12-22 Zongxia Liang , Jicheng Yao

Optimal portfolio selection problems are determined by the (unknown) parameters of the data generating process. If an investor wants to realise the position suggested by the optimal portfolios, he/she needs to estimate the unknown…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-19 Taras Bodnar , Holger Dette , Nestor Parolya , Erik Thorsén

In stochastic finance, one traditionally considers the return as a competitive measure of an asset, {\it i.e.}, the profit generated by that asset after some fixed time span $\Delta t$, say one week or one year. This measures how well (or…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Ingve Simonsen , Mogens H. Jensen , Anders Johansen

We introduce a new approach for prudent risk evaluation based on stochastic dominance, which will be called the model aggregation (MA) approach. In contrast to the classic worst-case risk (WR) approach, the MA approach produces not only a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-11 Tiantian Mao , Ruodu Wang , Qinyu Wu

This paper presents how the most recent improvements made on covariance matrix estimation and model order selection can be applied to the portfolio optimisation problem. The particular case of the Maximum Variety Portfolio is treated but…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-03 Emmanuelle Jay , Eugénie Terreaux , Jean-Philippe Ovarlez , Frédéric Pascal

In this paper, we apply Value-at-Risk (VaR) approaches on the problem of yearly electric generation management. In a classical approach, the future is modelled as a markov chain and the goal is to minimize the average generation cost over…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Vincent Guigues , Papa-Momar Ndiaye

The measure of portfolio risk is an important input of the Markowitz framework. In this study, we explored various methods to obtain a robust covariance estimators that are less susceptible to financial data noise. We evaluated the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-04 Qiqin Zhou

For purposes of Value-at-Risk estimation, we consider several multivariate families of heavy-tailed distributions, which can be seen as multidimensional versions of Paretian stable and Student's t distributions allowing different marginals…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-20 Carlo Marinelli , Stefano d'Addona , Svetlozar T. Rachev

Tail risk protection is in the focus of the financial industry and requires solid mathematical and statistical tools, especially when a trading strategy is derived. Recent hype driven by machine learning (ML) mechanisms has raised the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-25 Bruno Spilak , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

In order to estimate the conditional risk of a portfolio's return, two strategies can be advocated. A multivariate strategy requires estimating a dynamic model for the vector of risk factors, which is often challenging, when at all…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-12 Christian Francq , Jean-Michel Zakoian

We find economically and statistically significant gains when using machine learning for portfolio allocation between the market index and risk-free asset. Optimal portfolio rules for time-varying expected returns and volatility are…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-05 Michael Pinelis , David Ruppert

This paper investigates performance attribution measures as a basis for constraining portfolio optimization. We employ optimizations that minimize expected tail loss and investigate both asset allocation (AA) and the selection effect (SE)…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-09 Yuan Hu , W. Brent Lindquist

This paper studies a continuous-time optimal portfolio selection problem in the complete market for a behavioral investor whose preference is of the prospect type with probability distortion. The investor concerns about the terminal…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-11 Jing Peng , Pengyu Wei , Zuo Quan Xu

This paper extends the utility maximization literature by combining partial information and (robust) regulatory constraints. Partial information is characterized by the fact that the stock price itself is observable by the optimizing…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-23 Nicole Bäuerle , An Chen

Value-at-risk (VaR), also known as quantile, is a crucial risk measure in finance and other fields. However, optimizing VaR metrics in Markov decision processes (MDPs) is challenging because VaR is non-additive and the traditional dynamic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-31 Li Xia , Jinyan Pan

We design an optimal strategy for investment in a portfolio of assets subject to a multiplicative Brownian motion. The strategy provides the maximal typical long-term growth rate of investor's capital. We determine the optimal fraction of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Sergei Maslov , Yi-Cheng Zhang

We consider the problem of optimizing a portfolio of financial assets, where the number of assets can be much larger than the number of observations. The optimal portfolio weights require estimating the inverse covariance matrix of excess…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-29 Anik Burman , Sayantan Banerjee

In portfolio optimization problems, the minimum expected investment risk is not always smaller than the expected minimal investment risk. That is, using a well-known approach from operations research, it is possible to derive a strategy…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-12-15 Takashi Shinzato

I discuss some theoretical results with a view to motivate some practical choices in portfolio optimization. Even though the setting is not completely general (for example, the covariance matrix is assumed to be non-singular), I attempt to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-29 Vassilios Papathanakos
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