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We discuss the problem of parameter estimation in nonlinear stochastic differential equations based on sampled time series. A central message from the theory of integrating stochastic differential equations is that there exists in general…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-06-26 J. Timmer

The modern design of industrial structures leads to very complex simulations characterized by nonlinearities, high heterogeneities, tortuous geometries... Whatever the modelization may be, such an analysis leads to the solution to a family…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-08-22 Pierre Gosselet , Christian Rey

Estimation of nonlinear dynamic models from data poses many challenges, including model instability and non-convexity of long-term simulation fidelity. Recently Lagrangian relaxation has been proposed as a method to approximate simulation…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-12 Jack Umenberger , Ian R. Manchester

The vast majority of systems of practical interest are characterised by nonlinear dynamics. This renders the control and optimization of such systems a complex task due to their nonlinear behaviour. Additionally, standard methods such as…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-05 Akhil Ahmed , Ehecatl Antonio del Rio-Chanona , Mehmet Mercangoz

In networked dynamical systems, inferring governing parameters is crucial for predicting nodal dynamics, such as gene expression levels, species abundance, or population density. While many parameter estimation techniques rely on…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2025-03-25 Yanna Ding , Malik Magdon-Ismail , Jianxi Gao

This paper presents a new approach to accurately simulating 3D overhead cranes with friction. Although nonlinear friction dynamics has a significant impact on these systems, accurately modeling this phenomenon in simulations is a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-28 Jorge Vicente-Martinez , Edgar Ramirez-Laboreo

In this paper, a systematic approach is developed to embed the dynamical description of a nonlinear system into a linear parameter-varying (LPV) system representation. Initially, the nonlinear functions in the model representation are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-09 Arash Sadeghzadeh , Roland Toth

This paper considers parameter estimation for nonlinear state-space models, which is an important but challenging problem. We address this challenge by employing a variational inference (VI) approach, which is a principled method that has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-15 Jarrad Courts , Adrian Wills , Thomas Schön , Brett Ninness

In this paper, we study the estimation of partially linear models for spatial data distributed over complex domains. We use bivariate splines over triangulations to represent the nonparametric component on an irregular two-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-03 Li Wang , Guannan Wang , Min-Jun Lai , Lei Gao

We present a numerical method for learning the dynamics of slow components of unknown multiscale stochastic dynamical systems. While the governing equations of the systems are unknown, bursts of observation data of the slow variables are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-28 Yuan Chen , Dongbin Xiu

The dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) has become a leading tool for data-driven modeling of dynamical systems, providing a regression framework for fitting linear dynamical models to time-series measurement data. We present a simple…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-04-11 Travis Askham , J. Nathan Kutz

High-throughput data analyses are becoming common in biology, communications, economics and sociology. The vast amounts of data are usually represented in the form of matrices and can be considered as knowledge networks. Spectra-based…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2010-01-06 Viet-Anh Nguyen , Zdena Koukolikova-Nicola , Franco Bagnoli , Pietro Lio

Linear Least Squares is a very well known technique for parameter estimation, which is used even when sub-optimal, because of its very low computational requirements and the fact that exact knowledge of the noise statistics is not required.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-16 Michael Krikheli , Amir Leshem

We evaluate the robustness of a probabilistic formulation of system identification (ID) to sparse, noisy, and indirect data. Specifically, we compare estimators of future system behavior derived from the Bayesian posterior of a learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-02 Nicholas Galioto , Alex Gorodetsky

In system identification, estimating parameters of a model using limited observations results in poor identifiability. To cope with this issue, we propose a new method to simultaneously select and estimate sensitive parameters as key model…

Identification of nonlinear systems is a challenging problem. Physical knowledge of the system can be used in the identification process to significantly improve the predictive performance by restricting the space of possible mappings from…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-27 Anna Wigren , Johan Wågberg , Fredrik Lindsten , Adrian Wills , Thomas B. Schön

There has been much recent progress in forecasting the next observation of a linear dynamical system (LDS), which is known as the improper learning, as well as in the estimation of its system matrices, which is known as the proper learning…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-28 Quan Zhou , Jakub Marecek

We study the problem of modeling a non-linear dynamical system when given a time series by deriving equations directly from the data. Despite the fact that time series data are given as input, models for dynamics and estimation algorithms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Ren Fujiwara , Yasuko Matsubara , Yasushi Sakurai

The non-stationary evolution of observable quantities in complex systems can frequently be described as a juxtaposition of quasi-stationary spells. Given that standard theoretical and data analysis approaches usually rely on the assumption…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-10-18 S. Camargo , S. Duarte Queirós , C. Anteneodo

We propose novel parameter estimation algorithms for a class of dynamical systems with nonlinear parametrization. The class is initially restricted to smooth monotonic functions with respect to a linear functional of the parameters. We show…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Ivan Tyukin , Danil Prokhorov , Cees van Leeuwen