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We consider the valuation problem of an (insurance) company under partial information. Therefore we use the concept of maximizing discounted future dividend payments. The firm value process is described by a diffusion model with constant…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-16 Gunther Leobacher , Michaela Szölgyenyi , Stefan Thonhauser

We consider a modification of the dividend maximization problem from ruin theory. Based on a classical risk process we maximize the difference of expected cumulated discounted dividends and total expected discounted additional funding…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-21 Josef Anton Strini , Stefan Thonhauser

Motivated by investigating spatio-temporal patterns of the distribution of continuous variables, we consider describing the conditional distribution function of the response variable incorporating spatio-temporal components given…

We consider continuous time risk processes in which the claim sizes are dependent and non-identically distributed phase-type distributions. The class of distributions we propose is easy to characterize and allows to incorporate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-28 Oscar Peralta , Matthieu Simon

Because the asset value of a private company does not observable except in quarterly reports, the structural model has not been developed for a private company. For this reason, this paper attempt to develop the Merton's structural model…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-04 Battulga Gankhuu

This paper investigates the second order asymptotic expansion for tail probabilities of discounted aggregate claims in continuous-time renewal risk models with constant interest force. Concretely, two types of continuous-time renewal risk…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-07 Bingzhen Genga , Shijie Wanga , Yang Yang

In a dual risk model, the premiums are considered as the costs and the claims are regarded as the profits. The surplus can be interpreted as the wealth of a venture capital, whose profits depend on research and development. In most of the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-02 Lingjiong Zhu

In this paper we consider dividend problem for an insurance company whose risk evolves as a spectrally negative L\'{e}vy process (in the absence of dividend payments) when Parisian delay is applied. The objective function is given by the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-19 Irmina Czarna , Zbigniew Palmowski

We develop a class of non-life reserving models using a stable-1/2 random bridge to simulate the accumulation of paid claims, allowing for an essentially arbitrary choice of a priori distribution for the ultimate loss. Taking an…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Edward Hoyle , Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina

In this paper, we give a Breiman's theorem for conditional dependent random vector, where one component has a regularly-varying-tailed distribution with the index $\alpha\ge0$ and its slowly varying function satisfies a relaxed condition,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-06 Zhaolei Cui , Yuebao Wang

We study the generalization of the G/G/1 queue obtained by relaxing the assumption of independence between inter-arrival times and service requirements. The analysis is carried out for the class of multivariate matrix exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-05 E. S. Badila , O. J. Boxma , J. A. C. Resing

Consider an insurance company exposed to a stochastic economic environment that contains two kinds of risk. The first kind is the insurance risk caused by traditional insurance claims, and the second kind is the financial risk resulting…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-29 Jinzhu Li , Qihe Tang

The collective risk model differentiates usually between claims frequencies (and their distribution) and claim sizes (and their distribution). For the claims frequencies typically classical discrete distributions are considered, such as…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-12 Dietmar Pfeifer

In this work, we consider extensions of the dual risk model with proportional gains by introducing a dependence structure between gain sizes and gain interrarrival times. Among others, we further consider the case where the proportional…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-23 Ioannis Dimitriou

In this paper we consider the Parisian ruin probabilities for the dual risk model in a discrete-time setting. By exploiting the strong Markov property of the risk process we derive a recursive expression for the fnite-time Parisian ruin…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-24 Zbigniew Palmowski , Lewis Ramsden , Apostolos D. Papaioannou

We consider an insurance company which faces financial risk in the form of insurance claims and market-dependent surplus fluctuations. The company aims to simultaneously control its terminal wealth (e.g. at the end of an accounting period)…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-24 Aleksandar Arandjelović , Julia Eisenberg

This paper proceeds an approximate calculation of ultimate time survival probability for bi-seasonal discrete time risk model when premium rate equals two. The same model with income rate equal to one was investigated in 2014 by Damarackas…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-08 Alina Alencenovič , Andrius Grigutis

Probabilistic model checking traditionally verifies properties on the expected value of a measure of interest. This restriction may fail to capture the quality of service of a significant proportion of a system's runs, especially when the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-10 Xiaotong Ji , Hanchun Wang , Antonio Filieri , Ilenia Epifani

Motivated by the need to analyze continuously updated data sets in the context of time-to-event modeling, we propose a novel nonparametric approach to estimate the conditional hazard function given a set of continuous and discrete…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-03 Daphné Aurouet , Valentin Patilea

In this paper we propose a refracted skew Brownian motion as a risk model with endogenous regime switching, which generalizes the refracted diffusion risk process introduced by Gerber and Shiu. We consider an optimal dividend problem for…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-29 Zhongqin Gao , Yan Lv , Xiaowen Zhou