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We propose a Bayesian network model to make inferences and predictions about cardiovascular risk. Both the structure and the probability tables in the underlying model are built using a large dataset collected in Spain from annual work…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-01 J. M. Ordovas , D. Rios Insua , A. Santos-Lozano , A. Lucia , A. Torres , A. Kosgodagan , J. M. Camacho

Structural learning of directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) or Bayesian networks has been studied extensively under the assumption that data are independent. We propose a new Gaussian DAG model for dependent data which assumes the observations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-30 Hangjian Li , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Qing Zhou

In this paper we study how the network of agents adopting a particular technology relates to the structure of the underlying network over which the technology adoption spreads. We develop a model and show that the network of agents adopting…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-04-09 Grant Schoenebeck

Bayes belief networks and influence diagrams are tools for constructing coherent probabilistic representations of uncertain knowledge. The process of constructing such a network to represent an expert's knowledge is used to illustrate a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Max Henrion

This paper studies the problem of distributed classification with a network of heterogeneous agents. The agents seek to jointly identify the underlying target class that best describes a sequence of observations. The problem is first…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-11-24 James Z. Hare , Cesar A. Uribe , Lance Kaplan , Ali Jadbabaie

A spreading process on a network is influenced by the network's underlying spatial structure, and it is insightful to study the extent to which a spreading process follows such structure. We consider a threshold contagion model on a network…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-04-06 Barbara I. Mahler

One of the most defining features of the global financial network is its inherent complex and intertwined structure. From the perspective of systemic risk it is important to understand the influence of this network structure on default…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-11 Nils Detering , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Konstantinos Panagiotou , Daniel Ritter

Network intervention problems often benefit from selecting a highly-connected node to perform interventions using these nodes, e.g. immunization. However, in many network contexts, the structure of network connections is unknown, leading to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-05-20 Vineet Kumar , David Krackhardt , Scott Feld

The development of chemical reaction models aids understanding and prediction in areas ranging from biology to electrochemistry and combustion. A systematic approach to building reaction network models uses observational data not only to…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-01-23 Nikhil Galagali , Youssef M. Marzouk

In the context of epidemic spreading, many intricate dynamical patterns can emerge due to the cooperation of different types of pathogens or the interaction between the disease spread and other failure propagation mechanism. To unravel such…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-07 Bo Li , David Saad

Neural networks predictions are unreliable when the input sample is out of the training distribution or corrupted by noise. Being able to detect such failures automatically is fundamental to integrate deep learning algorithms into robotics.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Antonio Loquercio , Mattia Segù , Davide Scaramuzza

Network data arises through observation of relational information between a collection of entities. Recent work in the literature has independently considered when (i) one observes a sample of networks, connectome data in neuroscience being…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 George Bolt , Simón Lunagómez , Christopher Nemeth

Processes such as disease propagation and information diffusion often spread over some latent network structure which must be learned from observation. Given a set of unlabeled training examples representing occurrences of an event type of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-09 Sriram Somanchi , Daniel B. Neill

During an epidemic, the information available to individuals in the society deeply influences their belief of the epidemic spread, and consequently the preventive measures they take to stay safe from the infection. In this paper, we develop…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-26 Shraddha Pathak , Ankur A. Kulkarni

Bayesian networks provide a language for qualitatively representing the conditional independence properties of a distribution. This allows a natural and compact representation of the distribution, eases knowledge acquisition, and supports…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-18 Craig Boutilier , Nir Friedman , Moises Goldszmidt , Daphne Koller

Weighted networks capture the structure of complex systems where interaction strength is meaningful. This information is essential to a large number of processes, such as threshold dynamics, where link weights reflect the amount of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-28 Samuel Unicomb , Gerardo Iñiguez , Márton Karsai

Causal inference provides an analytical framework to identify and quantify cause-and-effect relationships among a network of interacting agents. This paper offers a novel framework for analyzing cascading failures in power transmission…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-28 Shiuli Subhra Ghosh , Anmol Dwivedi , Ali Tajer , Kyongmin Yeo , Wesley M. Gifford

Bayesian networks (BNs) are a widely used class of probabilistic graphical models employed in numerous application domains. However, inferring the network's graphical structure from data remains challenging. Bayesian structure learners…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 William Zhao , Guy Van den Broeck , Benjie Wang

We study the task of selecting $k$ nodes, in a social network of size $n$, to seed a diffusion with maximum expected spread size, under the independent cascade model with cascade probability $p$. Most of the previous work on this problem…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Dean Eckles , Hossein Esfandiari , Elchanan Mossel , M. Amin Rahimian

We study the problem of learning Bayesian network structures from data. We develop an algorithm for finding the k-best Bayesian network structures. We propose to compute the posterior probabilities of hypotheses of interest by Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Jin Tian , Ru He , Lavanya Ram