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We present an empirical study of the first passage time (FPT) of order book prices needed to observe a prescribed price change Delta, the time to fill (TTF) for executed limit orders and the time to cancel (TTC) for canceled ones in a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-21 Zoltan Eisler , Janos Kertesz , Fabrizio Lillo , Rosario N. Mantegna

We study a scenario under which variable step random walks give anomalous statistics. We begin by analyzing the Martingale Central Limit Theorem to find a sufficient condition for the limit distribution to be non-Gaussian. We note that the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 Gemunu H. Gunaratne , Joseph L. McCauley , Matthew Nicol , Andrei Torok

Stock price changes occur through transactions, just as diffusion in physical systems occurs through molecular collisions. We systematically explore this analogy and quantify the relation between trading activity - measured by the number of…

The proposed model modifies option pricing formulas for the basic case of log-normal probability distribution providing correspondence to formulated criteria of efficiency and completeness. The model is self-calibrating by historic…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Pavel Levin

The continuous-time random walk (CTRW) is a pure-jump stochastic process with several applications in physics, but also in insurance, finance and economics. A definition is given for a class of stochastic integrals driven by a CTRW, that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-03-19 Guido Germano , Mauro Politi , Enrico Scalas , René L. Schilling

We demonstrate that standard delay systems with a linear instantaneous and a delayed nonlinear term show weak chaos, asymptotically subdiffusive behavior, and weak ergodicity breaking if the nonlinearity is chosen from a specific class of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-07-15 Tony Albers , Lukas Hille , David Müller-Bender , Günter Radons

Financial markets exhibit an apparent paradox: while directional price movements remain largely unpredictable--consistent with weak-form efficiency--the magnitude of price changes displays systematic structure. Here we demonstrate that…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-19 Mainak Singha

We develop at-the-money call-price and implied volatility asymptotic expansions in time to maturity for a class of asset-price models whose log returns follow a L\'evy process. Under mild assumptions placing the driving L\'evy process in…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-25 Allen Hoffmeyer , Christian Houdré

Continuous-time random walk (CTRW) is a model of anomalous sub-diffusion in which particles are immobilized for random times between successive jumps. A power-law distribution of the waiting times, $\psi(\tau) \tau^{-(1+\alpha)}$, leads to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-12-06 Shai Carmi , Eli Barkai

We introduce a heterogeneous continuous time random walk (HCTRW) model as a versatile analytical formalism for studying and modeling diffusion processes in heterogeneous structures, such as porous or disordered media, multiscale or crowded…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-02-07 Denis S. Grebenkov , Liubov Tupikina

We revisit the diffusion properties and the mean drift induced by an external field of a random walk process in a class of branched structures, as the comb lattice and the linear chains of plaquettes. A simple treatment based on scaling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-11-21 Giuseppe Forte , Raffaella Burioni , Fabio Cecconi , Angelo Vulpiani

The L\'evy walk process with rests is discussed. The jumping time is governed by an $\alpha$-stable distribution with $\alpha>1$ while a waiting time distribution is Poissonian and involves a position-dependent rate which reflects a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-11 A. Kamińska , T. Srokowski

We report statistical regularities of the opening and closing auctions of French equities, focusing on the diffusive properties of the indicative auction price. Two mechanisms are at play as the auction end time nears: the typical price…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-03 Damien Challet

Following the foundational work of the Black--Scholes model, extensive research has been developed to price the option by addressing its underlying assumptions and associated pricing biases. This study introduces a novel framework for…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-21 Tapan Kar , Suprio Bhar , Barun Sarkar , Sesha Meka

We investigate a L\'evy-Walk alternating between velocities $\pm v_0$ with opposite sign. The sojourn time probability distribution at large times is a power law lacking its mean or second moment. The first case corresponds to a ballistic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-06-03 D. Froemberg , E. Barkai

Uchaikin suggested a mathematical model of an anomalous diffusion in a space was suggested. This model origins in an investigation of processes in complex systems with variable structure: glasses, liquid crystals, biopolymers, proteins and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 G. Sh. Tsitsiashvili , A. E. Yashin

We show analytically that there is anomalous diffusion when the diffusion constant depends on the concentration as a power law with a positive exponent or a negative exponent with absolute value less than one and the initial condition is a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-12-13 Alex Hansen , Eirik G. Flekkøy

Superslow diffusion, i.e., the long-time diffusion of particles whose mean-square displacement (variance) grows slower than any power of time, is studied in the framework of the decoupled continuous-time random walk model. We show that this…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-11-24 S. I. Denisov , H. Kantz

The problem of European-style option pricing in time-changed L\'{e}vy models in the presence of compound Poisson jumps is considered. These jumps relate to sudden large drops in stock prices induced by political or economical hits. As the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-10 Roman V. Ivanov , Katsunori Ano

Several models of stock trading [P. Bak et al, Physica A {\bf 246}, 430 (1997)] are analyzed in analogy with one-dimensional, two-species reaction-diffusion-branching processes. Using heuristic and scaling arguments, we show that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Lei-Han Tang , Guang-Shan Tian