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Stationary and ergodic time series can be constructed using an s-vine decomposition based on sets of bivariate copula functions. The extension of such processes to infinite copula sequences is considered and shown to yield a rich class of…
One of the core advantages topological methods for data analysis provide is that the language of (co)chains can be mapped onto the semantics of the data, providing a natural avenue for human understanding of the results. Here, we describe…
The use of ordinal patterns (OPs) for analyzing the dependence structure of univariate and continuously distributed processes has gained popularity in recent years. This research goes one step further and considers the transcripts being…
Identifying patterns of relations among the units of a complex system from measurements of their activities in time is a fundamental problem with many practical applications. Here, we introduce a method that detects dependencies of any…
Mathematical models are sometime given as functions of independent input variables and equations or inequations connecting the input variables. A probabilistic characterization of such models results in treating them as functions with…
We describe an algorithm for the sequential sampling of entries in multiway contingency tables with given constraints. The algorithm can be used for computations in exact conditional inference. To justify the algorithm, a theory relates…
This thesis describes work on two applications of probabilistic programming: the learning of probabilistic program code given specifications, in particular program code of one-dimensional samplers; and the facilitation of sequential Monte…
Dependence modeling of multivariate count data has garnered significant attention in recent years. Multivariate elliptical copulas are typically preferred in statistical literature to analyze dependence between repeated measurements of…
A function of the empirical characteristic function,exists for the stable distribution, which leads to a linear regression and can be used to estimate the parameters. Two approaches are often used, one to find optimal values of t, but these…
We consider the estimation of approximate factor models for time series data, where strong serial and cross-sectional correlations amongst the idiosyncratic component are present. This setting comes up naturally in many applications, but…
In this article we study random tower maps driven by an ergodic automorphism. We prove quenched exponential correlations decay for tower maps admitting exponential tails. Our technique is based on constructing suitable cones of functions,…
Constraint-based causal discovery algorithms utilize many statistical tests for conditional independence to uncover networks of causal dependencies. These approaches to causal discovery rely on an assumed correspondence between the…
Using the Carleman linearization technique the continuous iteration of a mapping is studied. Based on the detailed analysis of the Carleman embedding matrix the precise mathematical meaning is given to such notion. The ordinary differential…
We study the dynamics of the linear and non-linear serial dependencies in financial time series in a rolling window framework. In particular, we focus on the detection of episodes of statistically significant two- and three-point…
This study aims to develop the limit theorems on the sample autocovariances and sample autocorrelations for certain stationary infinitely divisible processes. We consider the case where the infinitely divisible process has heavy tail…
In this paper we study the ergodic theory of a robust non-uniformly expanding maps where no Markov assumption is required. We prove that the topological pressure is differentiable as a function of the dynamics and analytic with respect to…
Log-Euclidean distances are commonly used to quantify the similarity between positive definite matrices using geometric considerations. This paper analyzes the behavior of this distance when it is used to measure closeness between…
For a class of linear switched systems in continuous time a controllability condition implies that state feedbacks allow to achieve almost sure stabilization with arbitrary exponential decay rates. This is based on the Multiplicative…
Data can be assumed to be continuous functions defined on an infinite-dimensional space for many phenomena. However, the infinite-dimensional data might be driven by a small number of latent variables. Hence, factor models are relevant for…
The study of correlations between brain regions is an important chapter of the analysis of large-scale brain spatiotemporal dynamics. In particular, novel methods suited to extract dynamic changes in mutual correlations are needed. Here we…