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In this work, we review the theory involved in the Bayesian calibration of complex computer models, with particular emphasis on their use for applications involving computationally expensive simulations and scarce experimental data. In the…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-02 Christina Schenk , Ignacio Romero

Characterizing driving styles of human drivers using vehicle sensor data, e.g., GPS, is an interesting research problem and an important real-world requirement from automotive industries. A good representation of driving features can be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-10-11 Weishan Dong , Jian Li , Renjie Yao , Changsheng Li , Ting Yuan , Lanjun Wang

This research addresses critical autonomous vehicle control challenges arising from road roughness variation, which induces course deviations and potential loss of road contact during steering operations. We present a novel real-time road…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-06-27 Edwina Lewis , Aditya Parameshwaran , Laura Redmond , Yue Wang

Autonomous vehicles need to model the behavior of surrounding human driven vehicles to be safe and efficient traffic participants. Existing approaches to modeling human driving behavior have relied on both data-driven and rule-based…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-08-31 Raunak Bhattacharyya , Soyeon Jung , Liam Kruse , Ransalu Senanayake , Mykel Kochenderfer

Modeling car-following behavior is fundamental to microscopic traffic simulation, yet traditional deterministic models often fail to capture the full extent of variability and unpredictability in human driving. While many modern approaches…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-30 Chengyuan Zhang , Zhengbing He , Cathy Wu , Lijun Sun

Most state-of-the-art works in trajectory forecasting for automotive target predicting the pose and orientation of the agents in the scene. This represents a particularly useful problem, for instance in autonomous driving, but it does not…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Luca Paparusso , Stefano Melzi , Francesco Braghin

Decarbonization of the transport sector sets increasingly strict demands to maximize thermal efficiency and minimize greenhouse gas emissions of Internal Combustion Engines. This has led to complex engines with a surge in the number of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-27 Maarten Vlaswinkel , Duarte Antunes , Frank Willems

Bayesian statistics has gained popularity in psychological research due to its intuitive uncertainty quantification and convenient information-updating rules. In many applications, however, prior distributions are introduced merely as…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Yang Liu , Jonathan P. Williams , Jan Hannig

Traffic simulation models have long been popular in modern traffic planning and operation applications. Efficient calibration of simulation models is usually a crucial step in a simulation study. However, traditional calibration procedures…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Ran Sun , Zihao Wang , Xingmin Wang , Henry X. Liu

This paper tackles the multi-objective optimization of the cost functional of a path-following model predictive control for vehicle longitudinal and lateral control. While the inherent optimal character of the model predictive control and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-04-09 Ali Gharib , David Stenger , Robert Ritschel , Rick Voßwinkel

Making good predictions of a physical system using a computer code requires the inputs to be carefully specified. Some of these inputs called control variables have to reproduce physical conditions whereas other inputs, called parameters,…

Computation · Statistics 2018-04-04 Guillaume Damblin , Pierre Barbillon , Merlin Keller , Alberto Pasanisi , Eric Parent

Controller tuning is a labor-intensive process that requires human intervention and expert knowledge. Bayesian optimization has been applied successfully in different fields to automate this process. However, when tuning on hardware, such…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-12 Johanna Menn , Pietro Pelizzari , Michael Fleps-Dezasse , Sebastian Trimpe

In Part I of this paper series, several macroscopic traffic model elements for mathematically describing freeway networks equipped with managed lane facilities were proposed. These modeling techniques seek to capture at the macroscopic the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-28 Matthew A. Wright , Roberto Horowitz , Alex A. Kurzhanskiy

Numerical simulations are widely used to predict the behavior of physical systems, with Bayesian approaches being particularly well suited for this purpose. However, experimental observations are necessary to calibrate certain simulator…

There are many practical difficulties in the calibration of computer models to experimental data. One such complication is the fact that certain combinations of the calibration inputs can cause the code to output data lacking fundamental…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-16 Peter W. Marcy , Curtis B. Storlie

Driver observation models are rarely deployed under perfect conditions. In practice, illumination, camera placement and type differ from the ones present during training and unforeseen behaviours may occur at any time. While observing the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-04-12 Alina Roitberg , Kunyu Peng , David Schneider , Kailun Yang , Marios Koulakis , Manuel Martinez , Rainer Stiefelhagen

Mathematical models implemented on a computer have become the driving force behind the acceleration of the cycle of scientific processes. This is because computer models are typically much faster and economical to run than physical…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-05 Vojtech Kejzlar , Mookyong Son , Shrijita Bhattacharya , Tapabrata Maiti

Probabilistic predictions from neural networks which account for predictive uncertainty during classification is crucial in many real-world and high-impact decision making settings. However, in practice most datasets are trained on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-30 Satya Borgohain , Klaus Ackermann , Ruben Loaiza-Maya

Deep neural network controllers for autonomous driving have recently benefited from significant performance improvements, and have begun deployment in the real world. Prior to their widespread adoption, safety guarantees are needed on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-24 Rhiannon Michelmore , Matthew Wicker , Luca Laurenti , Luca Cardelli , Yarin Gal , Marta Kwiatkowska

The capability to follow a lead-vehicle and avoid rear-end collisions is one of the most important functionalities for human drivers and various Advanced Driver Assist Systems (ADAS). Existing safety performance justification of the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Bowen Weng , Minghao Zhu , Keith Redmill