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Although earthquake prediction is a big challenge in the world, some simple observational tools can capture many physical signals and demonstrate that an earthquake (EQ) may be forthcoming in short period. Many researchers have studied the…

Fault zones exhibit geometrical complexity and are often surrounded by multiscale fracture networks within their damage zones, influencing rupture dynamics and near-field ground motions. We investigate the ground-motion characteristics of…

We study a 2D quasi-static discrete {\it crack} anti-plane model of a tectonic plate with long range elastic forces and quenched disorder. The plate is driven at its border and the load is transfered to all elements through elastic forces.…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2020-01-29 Didier Sornette , Christian Vanneste

We review the "critical point" concept for large earthquakes and enlarge it in the framework of so-called "finite-time singularities". The singular behavior associated with accelerated seismic release is shown to result from a positive…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 S. G. Sammis , D. Sornette

In this article we implemented simulations of the OFC model for earthquakes for two different topologies: regular and small-world, where in the latter the links are randomly rewired with probability $p$ . In both topologies, we have studied…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2014-05-05 Douglas S. R. Ferreira , Andrés R. R. Papa , Ronaldo Menezes

The MyShake project aims to build a global smartphone seismic network to facilitate large-scale earthquake early warning and other applications by leveraging the power of crowdsourcing. The MyShake mobile application first detects…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-06-09 Qingkai Kong , Robert Martin-Short , Richard M. Allen

Currently, one of the best performing and most popular earthquake forecasting models rely on the working hypothesis that: "locations of past background earthquakes reveal the probable location of future seismicity". As an alternative, we…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-01-08 Shyam Nandan , Guy Ouillon , Didier Sornette , Stefan Wiemer

A hanging glacier at the east face of Weisshorn broke off in 2005. We were able to monitor and measure surface motion and icequake activity for 21 days up to three days prior to the break-off. Results are presented from the analysis of…

Geophysics · Physics 2009-07-01 J. Faillettaz , M. Funk , D. Sornette

Predicting earthquakes is of the utmost importance, especially to those countries of high risk, and although much effort has been made, it has yet to be realised. Nevertheless, there is a paucity of statistical approaches in seismic studies…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-02-07 Tomokazu Konishi

In models of triggered seismicity and in their inversion with empirical data, the detection threshold m_d is commonly equated to the magnitude m_0 of the smallest triggering earthquake. This unjustified assumption neglects the possibility…

Geophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 D. Sornette , M. J. Werner

Globally disruptive events include asteroid/comet impacts, large igneous provinces and glaciations, all of which have been considered as contributors to mass extinctions. Understanding the overall relationship between the timings of the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2016-04-15 Michael Gillman , Hilary Erenler

Motivated by the hypothesis that financial crashes are macroscopic examples of critical phenomena associated with a discrete scaling symmetry, we reconsider the evidence of log-periodic precursors to financial crashes and test the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 James Feigenbaum

Although researchers accumulated knowledge about seismogenesis and decades-long earthquake data, predicting imminent individual earthquakes at a specific time and location remains a long-standing enigma. This study hypothesizes that the…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-07-28 In Ho Cho

The existence of magnitude dependence in earthquake triggering has been reported. Such a correlation is linked to the issue of seismic predictability and remains under intense debate whether it is physical or is caused by incomplete data…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-07-06 Giuseppe Petrillo , Jiancang Zhuang

``Remote triggering" refers to the inducement of earthquakes by weak perturbations that emanate from far away sources, typically intense earthquakes that happen at much larger distances than their nearby aftershocks, sometimes even around…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-10-13 Harish Charan , Anna Pomyalov , Itamar Procaccia

We study statistical properties of the number of large earthquakes over the past century. We analyze the cumulative distribution of the number of earthquakes with magnitude larger than threshold M in time interval T, and quantify the…

Geophysics · Physics 2012-03-30 Eric G. Daub , Eli Ben-Naim , Robert A. Guyer , Paul A. Johnson

Poroelasticity problems play an important role in various engineering, geophysical, and biological applications. Their full discretization results in a large-scale saddle-point system at each time step that is becoming singular for locking…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-27 Weizhang Huang , Zhuoran Wang

Many systems used by society are extremely vulnerable to space weather events such as solar flares and geomagnetic storms which could potentially cause catastrophic damage. In recent years, many works have emerged to provide early warning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Charles Topliff , Morris Cohen , William Bristow

This paper studies when a sequence of probability measures on a metric space admit subsequential weak limits. A sufficient condition called sequential tightness is formulated, which relaxes some assumptions for asymptotic tightness used in…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-20 Osama Abuzaid

Coulomb-stress theory has been used for years in seismology to understand how earthquakes trigger each other. Whenever an earthquake occurs, the stress field changes, and places with positive increases are brought closer to failure.…

Geophysics · Physics 2019-07-31 Víctor Navas-Portella , Abigail Jiménez , Álvaro Corral